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Your model for Toulouse v Estac Troyes

Ligue 1 · Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

89 players across every market.

Shots17
Thomas JørgensenLM · #8+12pp
Jacen Russell-RoweST · #13+5pp
More players (15)
Antoine MilleCAM · #17+5pp
Casper TengstedtCAM · #20+3pp
Aron DønnumRM · #15-6pp
Adrien-Mehdi MonfrayRCB · #6-6pp
Lucas MaronnierRB · #2-15pp
Mouhamed DiopRDM · #8-18pp
Dermane KarimLDM · #29-23pp
Cristian CásseresRDM · #23-25pp
Seny KoumbassaRCB · #5-26pp
Rafik MessaliRB · #22-26pp
Christ TapéLB · #12-29pp
Rasmus NicolaisenLCB · #2-29pp
Anis OuzenadjiLB · #3-40pp
Hugo PicardLM · #22-42pp
Alexis VossahLDM · #6-45pp
Shots on target16
Casper TengstedtCAM · #20+8pp
Adrien-Mehdi MonfrayRCB · #6+7pp
More players (14)
Lucas MaronnierRB · #2+3pp
Antoine MilleCAM · #17-4pp
Seny KoumbassaRCB · #5-5pp
Rasmus NicolaisenLCB · #2-6pp
Aron DønnumRM · #15-11pp
Christ TapéLB · #12-12pp
Thomas JørgensenLM · #8-13pp
Dermane KarimLDM · #29-14pp
Jacen Russell-RoweST · #13-17pp
Hugo PicardLM · #22-18pp
Mouhamed DiopRDM · #8-23pp
Anis OuzenadjiLB · #3-27pp
Alexis VossahLDM · #6-50pp
Rafik MessaliRB · #22-50pp
To be booked218

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Antoine MilleCAM · #17+19pp
Cristian CásseresRDM · #23+15pp
More players (16)
Alexis VossahLDM · #6+3pp
Aron DønnumRM · #15+3pp
Christ TapéLB · #12+1pp
Dermane KarimLDM · #29+1pp
Jacen Russell-RoweST · #13-3pp
Rasmus NicolaisenLCB · #2-3pp
Casper TengstedtCAM · #20-3pp
Rafik MessaliRB · #22-3pp
Jérémy Le DouaronST · #9-6pp
Lucas MaronnierRB · #2-7pp
Seny KoumbassaRCB · #5-7pp
Mouhamed DiopRDM · #8-9pp
Guillaume RestesGK · #16-11pp
Adrien-Mehdi MonfrayRCB · #6-14pp
Patrick BeachGK · #33-15pp
Michel DiazLCB · #4
Headed shot on target16
Rasmus NicolaisenLCB · #2
Michel DiazLCB · #4
More players (14)
Jérémy Le DouaronST · #9
Seny KoumbassaRCB · #5
Jacen Russell-RoweST · #13
Adrien-Mehdi MonfrayRCB · #6
Guillaume RestesGK · #16
Rafik MessaliRB · #22
Alexis VossahLDM · #6
Mouhamed DiopRDM · #8
Antoine MilleCAM · #17
Aron DønnumRM · #15
Cristian CásseresRDM · #23
Thomas JørgensenLM · #8
Merwan IfnaouiRM · #10
Hugo PicardLM · #22
Shot on target from outside the box22
Cristian CásseresRDM · #23
Casper TengstedtCAM · #20
More players (20)
Thomas JørgensenLM · #8
Jacen Russell-RoweST · #13
Dermane KarimLDM · #29
Alexis VossahLDM · #6
Lucas MaronnierRB · #2
Antoine MilleCAM · #17
Mouhamed DiopRDM · #8
Hugo PicardLM · #22
Jérémy Le DouaronST · #9
Adrien-Mehdi MonfrayRCB · #6
Rasmus NicolaisenLCB · #2
Rafik MessaliRB · #22
Aron DønnumRM · #15
Guillaume RestesGK · #16
Anis OuzenadjiLB · #3
Christ TapéLB · #12
Seny KoumbassaRCB · #5
Merwan IfnaouiRM · #10
Patrick BeachGK · #33
Michel DiazLCB · #4
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Toulouse
Estac Troyes

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Geoffrey Kubler will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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