v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Willy Delajod runs average on cards, and 3 of the 4 rows we would back are Auxerre's.
92 players across every market.
Louis MafoutaST · #14Shots
DataPitch 97% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 97% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap +14pp
Now: DataPitch 97% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap +14pp
Harold VoyerLCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Dame GuèyeCAM · #25Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Cameron ArcherST · #9Shots
DataPitch 95% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 95% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 95% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Daniel NamasoLW · #10Shots
DataPitch 91% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 91% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 91% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Romain FaivreRW · #21Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 89%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -5pp
Jean VercruysseLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 75% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 75% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 75% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Axel TuanzebeLB · #4Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Djibril SidibéRDM · #19Shots
DataPitch 19% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Clément AkpaLCB · #92Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Naouirou AhamadaRCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Yasser LarouciLB · #76Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Noa BoisséRCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 0% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Lamine SyRB · #27-28ppLamine SyRB · #27Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -28pp
Christ MakossoRCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Kévin DanoisLCM · #5Shots
DataPitch 32% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Fredrik OppegårdCM · #22Shots
DataPitch 9% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -55pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -55pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -55pp
Harold VoyerLCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Clément AkpaLCB · #92Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 13% at 8.00 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 13% at 8.00 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Axel TuanzebeLB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Djibril SidibéRDM · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Fredrik OppegårdCM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Kévin DanoisLCM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Christ MakossoRCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Naouirou AhamadaRCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Yasser LarouciLB · #76Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Cameron ArcherST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 63% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -8pp
Lamine SyRB · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Daniel NamasoLW · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 51% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Noa BoisséRCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Romain FaivreRW · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -17pp
Jean VercruysseLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -17pp
Dame GuèyeCAM · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Louis MafoutaST · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -23pp
The books expect about 4 cards.
Daniel NamasoLW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +12pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Kévin DanoisLCM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +8pp
Jean VercruysseLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +6pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +6pp
Axel TuanzebeLB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Noa BoisséRCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 37% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Clément AkpaLCB · #92To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +4pp
Harold VoyerLCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +3pp
Louis MafoutaST · #14To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +1pp
Christ MakossoRCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Lamine SyRB · #27To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -3pp
Cameron ArcherST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Yasser LarouciLB · #76To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Romain FaivreRW · #21To be booked
DataPitch 6% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Lucas BuadésLDM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Naouirou AhamadaRCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Fredrik OppegårdCM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 6% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Dame GuèyeCAM · #25To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -10pp
Djibril SidibéRDM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -13pp
Paul NardiGK · #1-13ppPaul NardiGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Samuel YohouRB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Axel TuanzebeLB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Samuel YohouRB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicolas KocikGK · #98Nicolas KocikGK · #98Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Cameron ArcherST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Paul NardiGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Clément AkpaLCB · #92Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Romain FaivreRW · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Harold VoyerLCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Louis MafoutaST · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Naouirou AhamadaRCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lamine SyRB · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jean VercruysseLM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Djibril SidibéRDM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Yasser LarouciLB · #76Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas BuadésLDM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Fredrik OppegårdCM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Daniel NamasoLW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Naouirou AhamadaRCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jean VercruysseLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Romain FaivreRW · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kévin DanoisLCM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Cameron ArcherST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Yasser LarouciLB · #76Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lamine SyRB · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Daouda TraoréRM · #23Daouda TraoréRM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Clément AkpaLCB · #92Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Harold VoyerLCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dame GuèyeCAM · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Paul NardiGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Axel TuanzebeLB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Louis MafoutaST · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Fredrik OppegårdCM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Christ MakossoRCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas BuadésLDM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Djibril SidibéRDM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Samuel YohouRB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicolas KocikGK · #98Nicolas KocikGK · #98Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Noa BoisséRCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Willy Delajod will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 208 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.69/match · Away 2.02/match
3.56/match in tight games · 2.94/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.