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Your model for Marseille v Le Havre

Ligue 1 · Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

91 players across every market.

Shots17
Amir RichardsonLCM · #7+25pp
Joshua MajaLAM · #9+10pp
More players (15)
Simon EbonogRCM · #26+8pp
Timothy WeahCAM · #22+4pp
Amine HaritRM · #77+1pp
Mbwana SamattaST · #25-1pp
Amine GouiriST · #9-6pp
Ayumu SekoRCB · #15-7pp
Ahmed ToubaLCB · #5-13pp
Himad AbdelliLM · #8-16pp
Nayef AguerdLCB · #21-24pp
Conrad Egan-RileyRCB · #4-26pp
Junior MwangaLM · #6-27pp
Rassoul NdiayeRM · #14-29pp
Tochukwu NnadiRDM · #6-30pp
EmersonLB · #33-35pp
Geoffrey KondogbiaRB · #19-39pp
Shots on target17
Amine HaritRM · #77+11pp
Ahmed ToubaLCB · #5+1pp
More players (15)
Simon EbonogRCM · #26-1pp
Junior MwangaLM · #6-1pp
Rassoul NdiayeRM · #14-5pp
Ayumu SekoRCB · #15-5pp
Timothy WeahCAM · #22-6pp
Amir RichardsonLCM · #7-6pp
Nayef AguerdLCB · #21-6pp
Tochukwu NnadiRDM · #6-10pp
Geoffrey KondogbiaRB · #19-13pp
Joshua MajaLAM · #9-14pp
EmersonLB · #33-14pp
Himad AbdelliLM · #8-16pp
Conrad Egan-RileyRCB · #4-17pp
Mbwana SamattaST · #25-20pp
Amine GouiriST · #9-39pp
To be booked218

The books expect about 3 cards.

Tochukwu NnadiRDM · #6+10pp
Amine HaritRM · #77+4pp
More players (16)
Geoffrey KondogbiaRB · #19+4pp
Timothy WeahCAM · #22+4pp
Amir RichardsonLCM · #7+3pp
Nayef AguerdLCB · #21+1pp
Simon EbonogRCM · #26+0pp
Himad AbdelliLM · #8+0pp
Ayumu SekoRCB · #15-1pp
Ahmed ToubaLCB · #5-2pp
Joshua MajaLAM · #9-4pp
Conrad Egan-RileyRCB · #4-5pp
Amine GouiriST · #9-7pp
Gauthier GallonGK · #93-7pp
Junior MwangaLM · #6-8pp
Rassoul NdiayeRM · #14-12pp
EmersonLB · #33
Mbwana SamattaST · #25
Headed shot on target17
Nayef AguerdLCB · #21
Geoffrey KondogbiaRB · #19
More players (15)
Ahmed ToubaLCB · #5
Jeffrey de LangeGK · #12
Amir RichardsonLCM · #7
Ayumu SekoRCB · #15
Mbwana SamattaST · #25
Amine GouiriST · #9
Himad AbdelliLM · #8
Timothy WeahCAM · #22
EmersonLB · #33
Gauthier GallonGK · #93
Junior MwangaLM · #6
Amine HaritRM · #77
Joshua MajaLAM · #9
Rassoul NdiayeRM · #14
Sota NakamuraRAM · #30
Shot on target from outside the box22
Mbwana SamattaST · #25
Nouhoum KamissokoLDM · #42
More players (20)
Rassoul NdiayeRM · #14
Amine GouiriST · #9
Amir RichardsonLCM · #7
Timothy WeahCAM · #22
Simon EbonogRCM · #26
Joshua MajaLAM · #9
EmersonLB · #33
Geoffrey KondogbiaRB · #19
Tochukwu NnadiRDM · #6
D. OuziadCB · #20
Ayumu SekoRCB · #15
Amine HaritRM · #77
Sota NakamuraRAM · #30
Himad AbdelliLM · #8
Nayef AguerdLCB · #21
Jeffrey de LangeGK · #12
Conrad Egan-RileyRCB · #4
Ahmed ToubaLCB · #5
Gauthier GallonGK · #93
Junior MwangaLM · #6
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Marseille
Le Havre

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Clement Turpin will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

Every match in play, refreshed every two minutesGet told in Telegram when it happensToday's fixtures, priced player by playerAuxerre v Le Mans, Ligue 1Rennes v Strasbourg, Ligue 1Angers v Lorient, Ligue 1Toulouse v Estac Troyes, Ligue 1SC Freiburg v Bayern München, Bundesliga