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Your model for Scotland v FYR Macedonia

UEFA Nations League · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

157 players across every market.

Fouls committed17
Luke GrahamCB · #18-3pp
Ben DoakRM · #17-6pp
More players (15)
John McGinnCAM · #7-10pp
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3-12pp
Scott McTominayLS · #4-14pp
Billy GilmourLCM · #8-15pp
Eljif ElmasLCM · #7-17pp
Lewis FergusonRCM · #19-18pp
Visar MusliuLCB · #6-18pp
Kieran TierneyLCB · #6-19pp
Elmin RastoderST · #11-24pp
Ezgjan AlioskiLB · #8-25pp
Ché AdamsRS · #10-29pp
Aaron HickeyD (sub) · #2-11pp
Jack HendryD (sub) · #13-11pp
Oliver McBurnieF (sub) · #9-13pp
AJ. Atanasov-22pp
Fouls drawn117
Luke GrahamCB · #18+6pp
Billy GilmourLCM · #8-14pp
More players (15)
Kieran TierneyLCB · #6-19pp
Lewis FergusonRCM · #19-21pp
Visar MusliuLCB · #6-21pp
Scott McTominayLS · #4-23pp
Ben DoakRM · #17-23pp
John McGinnCAM · #7-27pp
Ezgjan AlioskiLB · #8-27pp
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3-27pp
Eljif ElmasLCM · #7-31pp
Elmin RastoderST · #11-32pp
Ché AdamsRS · #10-34pp
Jack HendryD (sub) · #13-7pp
Oliver McBurnieF (sub) · #9-14pp
AJ. Atanasov-16pp
Aaron HickeyD (sub) · #2-21pp
Tackles216
Luke GrahamCB · #18+11pp
Kieran TierneyLCB · #6+9pp
More players (14)
Elmin RastoderST · #11+5pp
Scott McTominayLS · #4+1pp
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3+1pp
Ché AdamsRS · #10+1pp
John McGinnCAM · #7-4pp
Visar MusliuLCB · #6-10pp
Billy GilmourLCM · #8-12pp
Ben DoakRM · #17-14pp
Ezgjan AlioskiLB · #8-17pp
Lewis FergusonRCM · #19-17pp
Oliver McBurnieF (sub) · #9+9pp
Jack HendryD (sub) · #13+8pp
Aaron HickeyD (sub) · #2+0pp
AJ. Atanasov-14pp
Shots17
Ben DoakRM · #17+1pp
Visar MusliuLCB · #6-1pp
More players (15)
Elmin RastoderST · #11-4pp
Ché AdamsRS · #10-5pp
Scott McTominayLS · #4-5pp
Eljif ElmasLCM · #7-5pp
Ezgjan AlioskiLB · #8-10pp
John McGinnCAM · #7-12pp
Luke GrahamCB · #18-12pp
Kieran TierneyLCB · #6-30pp
Lewis FergusonRCM · #19-34pp
Billy GilmourLCM · #8-36pp
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3-46pp
AJ. Atanasov-2pp
Aaron HickeyD (sub) · #2-8pp
Oliver McBurnieF (sub) · #9-19pp
Jack HendryD (sub) · #13-38pp
Shots on target17
Visar MusliuLCB · #6+4pp
Eljif ElmasLCM · #7+1pp
More players (15)
Ezgjan AlioskiLB · #8-1pp
Luke GrahamCB · #18-3pp
Elmin RastoderST · #11-7pp
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3-8pp
Kieran TierneyLCB · #6-9pp
Lewis FergusonRCM · #19-12pp
Billy GilmourLCM · #8-18pp
Scott McTominayLS · #4-21pp
Ben DoakRM · #17-30pp
John McGinnCAM · #7-33pp
Ché AdamsRS · #10-34pp
AJ. Atanasov+6pp
Aaron HickeyD (sub) · #2-1pp
Jack HendryD (sub) · #13-8pp
Oliver McBurnieF (sub) · #9-35pp
To be booked414

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Ben DoakRM · #17+15pp
John McGinnCAM · #7+7pp
More players (12)
Lewis FergusonRCM · #19+5pp
Scott McTominayLS · #4+5pp
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3+3pp
Billy GilmourLCM · #8+1pp
Angus GunnGK · #1-7pp
Oliver McBurnieF (sub) · #9+14pp
Aaron HickeyD (sub) · #2+9pp
Jack HendryD (sub) · #13+7pp
BL. Binks+5pp
AJ. Atanasov-9pp
IB. Ilievski-13pp
MD. Mitrovski-13pp
Offsides8
Elmin RastoderST · #11
Ché AdamsRS · #10
More players (6)
Darko ChurlinovRW · #11
Scott McTominayLS · #4
Ben DoakRM · #17
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3
Ljupcho DorievLW · #19
John McGinnCAM · #7
Headed shot on target122
Scott McTominayLS · #4+7pp
Visar MusliuLCB · #6+4pp
More players (20)
Kieran TierneyLCB · #6+3pp
Billy GilmourLCM · #8-2pp
Darko ChurlinovRW · #11-5pp
Ezgjan AlioskiLB · #8-5pp
Elmin RastoderST · #11-6pp
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3-8pp
Ljupcho DorievLW · #19-8pp
Enis BardhiRCM · #10-8pp
John McGinnCAM · #7-10pp
Lewis FergusonRCM · #19-14pp
Ché AdamsRS · #10-19pp
Ryan PorteousRCB · #15
Angus GunnGK · #1
Stole DimitrievskiGK · #23
Eljif ElmasLCM · #7
BL. Binks+24pp
Aaron HickeyD (sub) · #2+0pp
AJ. Atanasov-1pp
Jack HendryD (sub) · #13-2pp
Oliver McBurnieF (sub) · #9-23pp
Shot on target from outside the box29
Andrew RobertsonLM · #3+11pp
Visar MusliuLCB · #6+2pp
More players (27)
Ché AdamsRS · #10-1pp
Darko ChurlinovRW · #11-1pp
Mario MladenovskiRCB · #14-1pp
Ezgjan AlioskiLB · #8-5pp
Luke GrahamCB · #18-5pp
Kieran TierneyLCB · #6-6pp
Lewis FergusonRCM · #19-7pp
Matej GashtarovCM · #16-7pp
Elmin RastoderST · #11-7pp
Ben DoakRM · #17-11pp
Enis BardhiRCM · #10-11pp
Billy GilmourLCM · #8-13pp
Ljupcho DorievLW · #19-13pp
John McGinnCAM · #7-18pp
Scott McTominayLS · #4-22pp
Ryan PorteousRCB · #15
Eljif ElmasLCM · #7
Angus GunnGK · #1
Stole DimitrievskiGK · #23
AJ. Atanasov+14pp
MD. Mitrovski+0pp
IB. Ilievski-2pp
Anes MeljichiD (sub) · #13-2pp
Jack HendryD (sub) · #13-3pp
Oliver McBurnieF (sub) · #9-7pp
Aaron HickeyD (sub) · #2-7pp
BL. Binks-7pp
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Scotland
FYR Macedonia

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Michal Ocenas will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

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