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Your model for Serbia v Germany

UEFA Nations League · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

210 players across every market.

Fouls committed24
Petar SukacevLWB · #2+15pp
Nikola MilenkovićRCB · #4-3pp
More players (22)
Florian WirtzCAM · #17-4pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #2-5pp
Maximilian MittelstädtLB · #18-5pp
Derry ScherhantLM · #9-9pp
Kai HavertzST · #7-13pp
Philipp TreuRB · #13-13pp
Sergej Milinković-SavićLCM · #20-15pp
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5-16pp
Jonathan TahLCB · #4-16pp
Dušan TadićLS · #10-17pp
Lazar SamardžićRCM · #21-20pp
Joshua KimmichRDM · #6-22pp
Mihajlo CvetkovićRS · #18-26pp
Said El MalaM (sub) · #7-3pp
Felix NmechaM (sub) · #8-13pp
LS. Lukić-17pp
Luka JovićF (sub) · #8-19pp
Nathaniel BrownD (sub) · #18-27pp
Nico SchlotterbeckD (sub) · #15-37pp
Andrija ŽivkovićF (sub) · #14-38pp
Strahinja ErakovićD (sub) · #16-48pp
Lennart KarlM (sub) · #15-52pp
Fouls drawn24
Nikola MilenkovićRCB · #4-4pp
Philipp TreuRB · #13-8pp
More players (22)
Joshua KimmichRDM · #6-13pp
Jonathan TahLCB · #4-17pp
Kai HavertzST · #7-20pp
Maximilian MittelstädtLB · #18-20pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #2-21pp
Petar SukacevLWB · #2-22pp
Lazar SamardžićRCM · #21-22pp
Mihajlo CvetkovićRS · #18-23pp
Sergej Milinković-SavićLCM · #20-23pp
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5-23pp
Florian WirtzCAM · #17-28pp
Derry ScherhantLM · #9-29pp
Dušan TadićLS · #10-50pp
Nico SchlotterbeckD (sub) · #15-11pp
Luka JovićF (sub) · #8-13pp
Felix NmechaM (sub) · #8-19pp
Andrija ŽivkovićF (sub) · #14-20pp
Said El MalaM (sub) · #7-27pp
LS. Lukić-29pp
Nathaniel BrownD (sub) · #18-36pp
Strahinja ErakovićD (sub) · #16-42pp
Lennart KarlM (sub) · #15-46pp
Tackles24
Florian WirtzCAM · #17+8pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #2+0pp
More players (22)
Kai HavertzST · #7+0pp
Nikola MilenkovićRCB · #4-2pp
Derry ScherhantLM · #9-3pp
Jonathan TahLCB · #4-7pp
Petar SukacevLWB · #2-8pp
Mihajlo CvetkovićRS · #18-10pp
Joshua KimmichRDM · #6-12pp
Lazar SamardžićRCM · #21-12pp
Maximilian MittelstädtLB · #18-16pp
Dušan TadićLS · #10-19pp
Sergej Milinković-SavićLCM · #20-20pp
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5-25pp
Philipp TreuRB · #13-35pp
Luka JovićF (sub) · #8-2pp
Said El MalaM (sub) · #7-6pp
Nico SchlotterbeckD (sub) · #15-11pp
Felix NmechaM (sub) · #8-16pp
Lennart KarlM (sub) · #15-21pp
Strahinja ErakovićD (sub) · #16-21pp
Andrija ŽivkovićF (sub) · #14-26pp
LS. Lukić-27pp
Nathaniel BrownD (sub) · #18-33pp
Shots24
Sergej Milinković-SavićLCM · #20+16pp
Lazar SamardžićRCM · #21+14pp
More players (22)
Petar SukacevLWB · #2+9pp
Kai HavertzST · #7-1pp
Florian WirtzCAM · #17-4pp
Mihajlo CvetkovićRS · #18-4pp
Derry ScherhantLM · #9-5pp
Nikola MilenkovićRCB · #4-7pp
Dušan TadićLS · #10-13pp
Joshua KimmichRDM · #6-17pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #2-26pp
Maximilian MittelstädtLB · #18-27pp
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5-31pp
Jonathan TahLCB · #4-39pp
Philipp TreuRB · #13-41pp
Said El MalaM (sub) · #7+3pp
Lennart KarlM (sub) · #15+2pp
Luka JovićF (sub) · #8-2pp
Felix NmechaM (sub) · #8-7pp
Andrija ŽivkovićF (sub) · #14-7pp
Strahinja ErakovićD (sub) · #16-7pp
Nico SchlotterbeckD (sub) · #15-17pp
Nathaniel BrownD (sub) · #18-23pp
LS. Lukić-47pp
Shots on target24
Nikola MilenkovićRCB · #4+4pp
Petar SukacevLWB · #2+3pp
More players (22)
Dušan TadićLS · #10-1pp
Sergej Milinković-SavićLCM · #20-2pp
Lazar SamardžićRCM · #21-2pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #2-3pp
Maximilian MittelstädtLB · #18-4pp
Jonathan TahLCB · #4-5pp
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5-8pp
Philipp TreuRB · #13-11pp
Mihajlo CvetkovićRS · #18-12pp
Joshua KimmichRDM · #6-15pp
Derry ScherhantLM · #9-27pp
Kai HavertzST · #7-33pp
Florian WirtzCAM · #17-36pp
Strahinja ErakovićD (sub) · #16+10pp
Andrija ŽivkovićF (sub) · #14+1pp
Nathaniel BrownD (sub) · #18-5pp
Nico SchlotterbeckD (sub) · #15-7pp
Luka JovićF (sub) · #8-10pp
Said El MalaM (sub) · #7-13pp
Felix NmechaM (sub) · #8-17pp
Lennart KarlM (sub) · #15-22pp
LS. Lukić-24pp
To be booked322

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Kai HavertzST · #7+8pp
Jonathan TahLCB · #4+6pp
More players (20)
Florian WirtzCAM · #17+4pp
Philipp TreuRB · #13+1pp
Dušan TadićLS · #10-3pp
Joshua KimmichRDM · #6-3pp
Srđan BabićCB · #15-4pp
Marc-André ter StegenGK · #1-7pp
Vanja Milinković-SavićGK · #23-11pp
Kosta NedeljkovićRWB · #2-16pp
LS. Lukić+11pp
Andrija ŽivkovićF (sub) · #14+7pp
Nico SchlotterbeckD (sub) · #15+5pp
Said El MalaM (sub) · #7+5pp
Felix NmechaM (sub) · #8+4pp
Nathaniel BrownD (sub) · #18+0pp
Luka JovićF (sub) · #8-2pp
Strahinja ErakovićD (sub) · #16-7pp
MN. Maksimović-10pp
Lennart KarlM (sub) · #15-11pp
PS. Pavlović
TA. Terzić
Offsides9
Kai HavertzST · #7+3pp
Mihajlo CvetkovićRS · #18-2pp
More players (7)
Dušan TadićLS · #10-5pp
Sergej Milinković-SavićLCM · #20-11pp
Derry ScherhantLM · #9-15pp
Petar SukacevLWB · #2-17pp
Brajan GrudaRM · #10-17pp
Florian WirtzCAM · #17-17pp
Kosta NedeljkovićRWB · #2
Headed shot on target27
Malick ThiawRCB · #2+8pp
Nikola MilenkovićRCB · #4+3pp
More players (25)
Srđan BabićCB · #15+2pp
Stefan GudeljLCB · #19-1pp
Stefan DžodićCM · #19-1pp
Maximilian MittelstädtLB · #18-1pp
Lazar SamardžićRCM · #21-1pp
Kai HavertzST · #7-2pp
Philipp TreuRB · #13-3pp
Jonathan TahLCB · #4-5pp
Joshua KimmichRDM · #6-5pp
Sergej Milinković-SavićLCM · #20-6pp
Dušan TadićLS · #10-7pp
Florian WirtzCAM · #17-13pp
Derry ScherhantLM · #9-19pp
Brajan GrudaRM · #10-31pp
Vanja Milinković-SavićGK · #23
Marc-André ter StegenGK · #1
Nico SchlotterbeckD (sub) · #15+2pp
Strahinja ErakovićD (sub) · #16+2pp
LS. Lukić+0pp
Andrija ŽivkovićF (sub) · #14-3pp
MN. Maksimović-9pp
Felix NmechaM (sub) · #8-13pp
Luka JovićF (sub) · #8-17pp
Said El MalaM (sub) · #7-19pp
Lennart KarlM (sub) · #15-28pp
Shot on target from outside the box132
Derry ScherhantLM · #9+15pp
Maximilian MittelstädtLB · #18+9pp
More players (30)
Sergej Milinković-SavićLCM · #20+7pp
Petar SukacevLWB · #2+2pp
Malick ThiawRCB · #2+0pp
Stefan GudeljLCB · #19+0pp
Jonathan TahLCB · #4-1pp
Srđan BabićCB · #15-1pp
Joshua KimmichRDM · #6-3pp
Nikola MilenkovićRCB · #4-3pp
Kai HavertzST · #7-4pp
Mihajlo CvetkovićRS · #18-4pp
Stefan DžodićCM · #19-4pp
Kosta NedeljkovićRWB · #2-4pp
Dušan TadićLS · #10-6pp
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5-7pp
Brajan GrudaRM · #10-8pp
Philipp TreuRB · #13-13pp
Lazar SamardžićRCM · #21-14pp
Florian WirtzCAM · #17-23pp
Marc-André ter StegenGK · #1
Vanja Milinković-SavićGK · #23
Said El MalaM (sub) · #7+17pp
Felix NmechaM (sub) · #8+16pp
Nathaniel BrownD (sub) · #18+2pp
Nico SchlotterbeckD (sub) · #15+1pp
Luka JovićF (sub) · #8-2pp
MN. Maksimović-2pp
Strahinja ErakovićD (sub) · #16-3pp
Lennart KarlM (sub) · #15-5pp
Andrija ŽivkovićF (sub) · #14-13pp
LS. Lukić-14pp
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Serbia
Germany

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

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Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Javier Alberola Rojas will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

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Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

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