v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Rohit Saggi runs average on cards, and 6 of the 6 rows we would back are Netherlands's.
195 players across every market.
Cody GakpoLW · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 35% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Donyell MalenST · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 68%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Frenkie de JongLCM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lazaros RotaRB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Micky van de VenLCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Fotis IoannidisLS · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.20 to 1.17 Paddy Power.
Tijjani ReijndersCM · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
Christos TzolisLM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Johannes VeermanRCM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.57 to 1.50 Bet365.
Thanasis AndroutsosLCM · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.29 to 1.30 Paddy Power.
Noa LangF (sub) · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Georgios VagiannidisD (sub) · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Konstantinos KoulierakisD (sub) · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
not in the confirmed eleven
D. Kourbelis-28ppD. KourbelisFouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Giorgos MasourasF (sub) · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 43% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Lazaros RotaRB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Frenkie de JongLCM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 76% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
Thanasis AndroutsosLCM · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 71% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Micky van de VenLCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Tijjani ReijndersCM · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Johannes VeermanRCM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Cody GakpoLW · #11-21ppCody GakpoLW · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Christos TzolisLM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Fotis IoannidisLS · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
Donyell MalenST · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
Konstantinos KoulierakisD (sub) · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Georgios VagiannidisD (sub) · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Noa LangF (sub) · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
not in the confirmed eleven
D. Kourbelis-19ppD. KourbelisFouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Giorgos MasourasF (sub) · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Cody GakpoLW · #11Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 3.40 to 2.75 Bet365.
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Lazaros RotaRB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 55% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Tijjani ReijndersCM · #14Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19Tackles
DataPitch 25% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Donyell MalenST · #18Tackles
DataPitch 15% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Fotis IoannidisLS · #8Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Frenkie de JongLCM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Johannes VeermanRCM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Micky van de VenLCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 63%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Christos TzolisLM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 25% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
Noa LangF (sub) · #10Tackles
DataPitch 24% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
not in the confirmed eleven
D. Kourbelis-15ppD. KourbelisTackles
DataPitch 54% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Konstantinos KoulierakisD (sub) · #3Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Giorgos MasourasF (sub) · #7Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Georgios VagiannidisD (sub) · #2Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.44 to 1.40 Paddy Power.
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14Shots
DataPitch 94% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 35% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 3.20 to 3.10 Paddy Power.
Donyell MalenST · #18Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 34%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Tijjani ReijndersCM · #14Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.07 to 1.06 Paddy Power.
Cody GakpoLW · #11Shots
DataPitch 90% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.05 to 1.04 Paddy Power.
Johannes VeermanRCM · #18Shots
DataPitch 65% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Thanasis AndroutsosLCM · #15Shots
DataPitch 45% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.83 to 1.80 Paddy Power.
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7Shots
DataPitch 87% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Christos TzolisLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 79% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.22 to 1.14 Paddy Power.
Micky van de VenLCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.00 to 1.83 Bet365.
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 39% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.80 to 1.73 Bet365.
Lazaros RotaRB · #15Shots
DataPitch 13% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22Shots
DataPitch 52% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.33 to 1.28 Bet365.
Fotis IoannidisLS · #8Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 87%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Frenkie de JongLCM · #21Shots
DataPitch 6% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -52pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Noa LangF (sub) · #10Shots
DataPitch 94% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.11 to 1.10 Bet365.
Konstantinos KoulierakisD (sub) · #3Shots
DataPitch 39% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 3.00 to 2.80 Paddy Power.
Giorgos MasourasF (sub) · #7Shots
DataPitch 78% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.22 to 1.18 Bet365.
Georgios VagiannidisD (sub) · #2Shots
DataPitch 21% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.70 to 2.60 Paddy Power.
D. Kourbelis-21ppD. KourbelisShots
DataPitch 28% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.25 to 1.83 Bet365.
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 8.00 to 7.50 Paddy Power.
Thanasis AndroutsosLCM · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lazaros RotaRB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 3.75 to 3.50 Bet365.
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 5.00 to 5.50 Bet365.
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 51% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.73 to 1.67 Bet365.
Frenkie de JongLCM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Christos TzolisLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.25 to 2.10 Bet365.
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 31% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Micky van de VenLCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 26%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 4.33 to 3.75 Bet365.
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 39%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.50 to 2.25 Bet365.
Donyell MalenST · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 65% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Fotis IoannidisLS · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Johannes VeermanRCM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.50 to 2.25 Bet365.
Tijjani ReijndersCM · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 63%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.61 to 1.57 Bet365.
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 68%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.44 to 1.40 Bet365.
Cody GakpoLW · #11-30ppCody GakpoLW · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 47% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.28 to 1.25 Bet365.
Konstantinos KoulierakisD (sub) · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Georgios VagiannidisD (sub) · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
D. Kourbelis-4ppD. KourbelisShots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 5.50 to 3.75 Bet365.
Noa LangF (sub) · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 46% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.73 to 1.67 Bet365.
Giorgos MasourasF (sub) · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 31% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.25 to 2.10 Bet365.
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Drifted since this morning: 4.50 to 4.80 Ladbrokes.
Micky van de VenLCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 5.25 to 5.50 Ladbrokes.
It was not a positive trade this morning and is now.
Johannes VeermanRCM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Tijjani ReijndersCM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 6.50 to 7.00 Ladbrokes.
Thanasis AndroutsosLCM · #15To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 26%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 3.75 to 3.80 Ladbrokes.
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 19%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 5.00 to 5.25 Ladbrokes.
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 3.20 to 3.10 Bet365.
Christos TzolisLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Cody GakpoLW · #11To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 26%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Bart VerbruggenGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Konstantinos TzolakisGK · #12To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 9.00 to 9.50 Ladbrokes.
D. Kourbelis+0ppD. KourbelisTo be booked
DataPitch 35% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Drifted since this morning: 2.80 to 2.88 Paddy Power.
Georgios VagiannidisD (sub) · #2To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Shortened since this morning: 4.00 to 3.75 Bet365.
Giorgos MasourasF (sub) · #7To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Noa LangF (sub) · #10To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Shortened since this morning: 4.80 to 4.00 Bet365.
Konstantinos KoulierakisD (sub) · #3To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
not in the confirmed eleven
Shortened since this morning: 3.80 to 3.10 Bet365.
R. GravenberchR. GravenberchTo be booked
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
V. van DijkV. van DijkTo be booked
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Cody GakpoLW · #11Offsides
DataPitch 44% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Shortened since this morning: 2.90 to 2.80 Ladbrokes.
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7Offsides
DataPitch 28% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Shortened since this morning: 3.70 to 3.60 Ladbrokes.
Donyell MalenST · #18Offsides
DataPitch 40% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14Offsides
DataPitch 47% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Drifted since this morning: 1.91 to 1.95 Ladbrokes.
Fotis IoannidisLS · #8Offsides
DataPitch 27% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22Offsides
DataPitch 15% · Market 26%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Christos TzolisLM · #10Offsides
DataPitch 18% · Market 34%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Drifted since this morning: 2.87 to 2.90 Ladbrokes.
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19Offsides
DataPitch 14% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
centre back, wins headers against a smaller marker (189cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 5.00 to 4.50 Bet365.
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
centre back, wins headers against a smaller marker (194cm over a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Johannes VeermanRCM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
level in the air (185cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Micky van de VenLCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
centre back, wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side; held at his shot on target number
Shortened since this morning: 7.00 to 6.00 Bet365.
Cody GakpoLW · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
wide forward, wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 5.00 to 4.50 Bet365.
Frenkie de JongLCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
gives up height in the air (181cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
full back, gives up height in the air (179cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Lazaros RotaRB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
full back, gives up height in the air (177cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
centre back, level in the air (186cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (171cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Tijjani ReijndersCM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
full back, wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
striker, level in the air (186cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 6.50 to 6.00 Bet365.
Donyell MalenST · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
striker, gives up height in the air (176cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Jurriën TimberLB · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
full back, gives up height in the air (179cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (174cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Christos TzolisLM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (179cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 6.00 to 5.00 Bet365.
Bart VerbruggenGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Konstantinos TzolakisGK · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thanasis AndroutsosLCM · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Noa LangF (sub) · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
Shortened since this morning: 11.00 to 10.00 Bet365.
Giorgos MasourasF (sub) · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
Georgios VagiannidisD (sub) · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
D. Kourbelis-12ppD. KourbelisHeaded shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
Shortened since this morning: 8.00 to 7.00 Bet365.
Donyell MalenST · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 38% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Jurriën TimberLB · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 13 logged matches
Cody GakpoLW · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 36% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
The numbers turned against it since this morning.
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 29.00 to 26.00 Bet365.
Micky van de VenLCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Johannes VeermanRCM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 25% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches; held at his shot on target number
Nectarios TriantisRCM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 12 logged matches
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 8 logged matches
Lazaros RotaRB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 6 logged matches
Vangelis PavlidisRS · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 8.00 to 7.00 Bet365.
Frenkie de JongLCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
Denzel DumfriesRB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 12 logged matches
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 15 logged matches
Crysencio SummervilleRW · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 26% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 5 logged matches
Tijjani ReijndersCM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 23% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 5 logged matches
Christos TzolisLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 12 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 6.00 to 5.00 Bet365.
Fotis IoannidisLS · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 15 logged matches
Thanasis AndroutsosLCM · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bart VerbruggenGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Konstantinos TzolakisGK · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Noa LangF (sub) · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 32% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
Konstantinos KoulierakisD (sub) · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
D. Kourbelis-4ppD. KourbelisShot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
Shortened since this morning: 21.00 to 17.00 Bet365.
Georgios VagiannidisD (sub) · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
Giorgos MasourasF (sub) · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
priced this morning; not in the starting eleven
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Rohit Saggi will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 88 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.80/match · Away 2.31/match
2.85/match in tight games · 3.96/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.