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Your model for Portugal v Norway

UEFA Nations League · Sun 4 Oct, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

243 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.

Fouls committed20
Marcus PedersenRB · #16
Kristoffer AjerLCB · #3
More players (18)
Antonio NusaLW · #20
Oscar BobbRW · #22
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
João NevesRDM · #15
VitinhaLDM · #23
Julian RyersonRCB · #14
Erling HaalandST · #9
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
João CanceloRB · #20
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Pedro NetoRM · #18
João FélixCAM · #11
David Møller WolfeLB · #5
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Sander BergeLCM · #8
Patrick BergCM · #6
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Fouls drawn20
Nuno MendesLB · #19
João NevesRDM · #15
More players (18)
Marcus PedersenRB · #16
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
VitinhaLDM · #23
Antonio NusaLW · #20
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Erling HaalandST · #9
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
Sander BergeLCM · #8
Kristoffer AjerLCB · #3
João FélixCAM · #11
João CanceloRB · #20
David Møller WolfeLB · #5
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Julian RyersonRCB · #14
Patrick BergCM · #6
Oscar BobbRW · #22
Tackles220
João FélixCAM · #11
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
More players (18)
Antonio NusaLW · #20
Oscar BobbRW · #22
Kristoffer AjerLCB · #3
Erling HaalandST · #9
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Julian RyersonRCB · #14
VitinhaLDM · #23
Sander BergeLCM · #8
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
João NevesRDM · #15
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
João CanceloRB · #20
Patrick BergCM · #6
David Møller WolfeLB · #5
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Marcus PedersenRB · #16
Shots20
Erling HaalandST · #9
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
More players (18)
João FélixCAM · #11
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Antonio NusaLW · #20
Patrick BergCM · #6
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Pedro NetoRM · #18
João NevesRDM · #15
David Møller WolfeLB · #5
Kristoffer AjerLCB · #3
João CanceloRB · #20
Oscar BobbRW · #22
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Sander BergeLCM · #8
Marcus PedersenRB · #16
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Julian RyersonRCB · #14
VitinhaLDM · #23
Shots on target20
David Møller WolfeLB · #5
Kristoffer AjerLCB · #3
More players (18)
João NevesRDM · #15
Marcus PedersenRB · #16
João CanceloRB · #20
Sander BergeLCM · #8
Erling HaalandST · #9
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
Oscar BobbRW · #22
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Antonio NusaLW · #20
Patrick BergCM · #6
VitinhaLDM · #23
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Julian RyersonRCB · #14
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
João FélixCAM · #11
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
To be booked422

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
More players (20)
Pedro NetoRM · #18
João CanceloRB · #20
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Julian RyersonRCB · #14
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
VitinhaLDM · #23
Kristoffer AjerLCB · #3
Erling HaalandST · #9
João FélixCAM · #11
João NevesRDM · #15
Antonio NusaLW · #20
Sander BergeLCM · #8
Patrick BergCM · #6
David Møller WolfeLB · #5
Oscar BobbRW · #22
Diogo CostaGK · #1
Marcus PedersenRB · #16
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
Ørjan NylandGK · #1
Headed shot on target20
Kristoffer AjerLCB · #3
Sander BergeLCM · #8
More players (18)
Julian RyersonRCB · #14
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
João CanceloRB · #20
Antonio NusaLW · #20
Marcus PedersenRB · #16
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Oscar BobbRW · #22
Patrick BergCM · #6
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
VitinhaLDM · #23
Erling HaalandST · #9
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
João FélixCAM · #11
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
Ørjan NylandGK · #1
Diogo CostaGK · #1
Shot on target from outside the box22
VitinhaLDM · #23
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
More players (20)
Patrick BergCM · #6
Nuno MendesLB · #19
João CanceloRB · #20
João NevesRDM · #15
Kristoffer AjerLCB · #3
David Møller WolfeLB · #5
Julian RyersonRCB · #14
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Marcus PedersenRB · #16
Sander BergeLCM · #8
Oscar BobbRW · #22
Antonio NusaLW · #20
Erling HaalandST · #9
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
João FélixCAM · #11
Diogo CostaGK · #1
Ørjan NylandGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Portugal
Norway

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Maurizio Mariani will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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