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Your model for Greece v Germany

UEFA Nations League · Sun 4 Oct, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

241 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.

Fouls committed120
Said El MalaLM · #7
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4
More players (18)
Malick ThiawRB · #2
Waldemar AntonRCB · #3
Georgios VagiannidisRB · #2
Florian WirtzCAM · #17
Tom BischofRDM · #8
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19
Thanasis AndroutsosCAM · #15
Vangelis PavlidisST · #14
Serge GnabryRM · #20
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5
Philipp TreuLCB · #13
Manolis SaliakasRDM · #17
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5
David RaumLB · #22
Dimitrios KourbelisLDM · #6
Nick WoltemadeST · #11
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21
Giorgos MasourasLM · #7
Fouls drawn20
Georgios VagiannidisRB · #2
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19
More players (18)
Vangelis PavlidisST · #14
Waldemar AntonRCB · #3
Philipp TreuLCB · #13
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4
Nick WoltemadeST · #11
Thanasis AndroutsosCAM · #15
Said El MalaLM · #7
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5
Malick ThiawRB · #2
Manolis SaliakasRDM · #17
Dimitrios KourbelisLDM · #6
Serge GnabryRM · #20
Giorgos MasourasLM · #7
David RaumLB · #22
Florian WirtzCAM · #17
Tom BischofRDM · #8
Tackles19
Vangelis PavlidisST · #14
Nick WoltemadeST · #11
More players (17)
Florian WirtzCAM · #17
Waldemar AntonRCB · #3
Said El MalaLM · #7
Tom BischofRDM · #8
Malick ThiawRB · #2
Serge GnabryRM · #20
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19
Dimitrios KourbelisLDM · #6
David RaumLB · #22
Philipp TreuLCB · #13
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5
Manolis SaliakasRDM · #17
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5
Giorgos MasourasLM · #7
Georgios VagiannidisRB · #2
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21
Shots20
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4
Said El MalaLM · #7
More players (18)
Serge GnabryRM · #20
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5
Vangelis PavlidisST · #14
Tom BischofRDM · #8
Nick WoltemadeST · #11
Florian WirtzCAM · #17
Manolis SaliakasRDM · #17
Giorgos MasourasLM · #7
David RaumLB · #22
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5
Waldemar AntonRCB · #3
Thanasis AndroutsosCAM · #15
Dimitrios KourbelisLDM · #6
Philipp TreuLCB · #13
Malick ThiawRB · #2
Georgios VagiannidisRB · #2
Shots on target20
Said El MalaLM · #7
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21
More players (18)
Malick ThiawRB · #2
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5
Tom BischofRDM · #8
Philipp TreuLCB · #13
Manolis SaliakasRDM · #17
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4
David RaumLB · #22
Georgios VagiannidisRB · #2
Thanasis AndroutsosCAM · #15
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5
Waldemar AntonRCB · #3
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19
Giorgos MasourasLM · #7
Dimitrios KourbelisLDM · #6
Serge GnabryRM · #20
Vangelis PavlidisST · #14
Florian WirtzCAM · #17
Nick WoltemadeST · #11
To be booked222

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Malick ThiawRB · #2
Waldemar AntonRCB · #3
More players (20)
Dimitrios KourbelisLDM · #6
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5
David RaumLB · #22
Said El MalaLM · #7
Tom BischofRDM · #8
Florian WirtzCAM · #17
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19
Thanasis AndroutsosCAM · #15
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5
Georgios VagiannidisRB · #2
Vangelis PavlidisST · #14
Giorgos MasourasLM · #7
Philipp TreuLCB · #13
Serge GnabryRM · #20
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4
Nick WoltemadeST · #11
Manolis SaliakasRDM · #17
Jonas UrbigGK · #1
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21
Konstantinos TzolakisGK · #12
Headed shot on target121
Nick WoltemadeST · #11
Waldemar AntonRCB · #3
More players (19)
Malick ThiawRB · #2
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21
David RaumLB · #22
Philipp TreuLCB · #13
Manolis SaliakasRDM · #17
Vangelis PavlidisST · #14
Georgios VagiannidisRB · #2
Giorgos MasourasLM · #7
Tom BischofRDM · #8
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19
Serge GnabryRM · #20
Florian WirtzCAM · #17
Dimitrios KourbelisLDM · #6
Said El MalaLM · #7
Konstantinos TzolakisGK · #12
Jonas UrbigGK · #1
Thanasis AndroutsosCAM · #15
Shot on target from outside the box122
Said El MalaLM · #7
Waldemar AntonRCB · #3
More players (20)
Manolis SaliakasRDM · #17
Malick ThiawRB · #2
Panagiotis RetsosLCB · #5
Konstantinos MavropanosRCB · #4
Dimitrios KourbelisLDM · #6
Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5
David RaumLB · #22
Georgios VagiannidisRB · #2
Philipp TreuLCB · #13
Giorgos MasourasLM · #7
Vangelis PavlidisST · #14
Konstantinos TsimikasLB · #21
Serge GnabryRM · #20
Konstantinos KaretsasRM · #19
Tom BischofRDM · #8
Nick WoltemadeST · #11
Florian WirtzCAM · #17
Jonas UrbigGK · #1
Thanasis AndroutsosCAM · #15
Konstantinos TzolakisGK · #12
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Greece
Germany

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Clement Turpin will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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