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Your model for Denmark v Portugal

UEFA Nations League · Thu 1 Oct, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

234 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.

Fouls committed19
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9
Rasmus KristensenRB · #13
More players (17)
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3
Mikkel DamsgaardLM · #14
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
Pedro NetoRM · #18
João NevesRDM · #15
Joakim MæhleLB · #5
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
VitinhaLDM · #23
João CanceloRB · #20
João FélixCAM · #11
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2
Fouls drawn19
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21
João NevesRDM · #15
More players (17)
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Rasmus KristensenRB · #13
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
VitinhaLDM · #23
Joakim MæhleLB · #5
João FélixCAM · #11
Mikkel DamsgaardLM · #14
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3
João CanceloRB · #20
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Tackles318
João FélixCAM · #11
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
More players (16)
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3
Rasmus KristensenRB · #13
VitinhaLDM · #23
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21
Joakim MæhleLB · #5
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
João NevesRDM · #15
Pedro NetoRM · #18
João CanceloRB · #20
Mikkel DamsgaardLM · #14
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Shots19
Joakim MæhleLB · #5
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23
More players (17)
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
João FélixCAM · #11
João NevesRDM · #15
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
João CanceloRB · #20
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
Mikkel DamsgaardLM · #14
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2
VitinhaLDM · #23
Rasmus KristensenRB · #13
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3
Shots on target19
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2
Nuno MendesLB · #19
More players (17)
Rasmus KristensenRB · #13
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21
João CanceloRB · #20
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Joakim MæhleLB · #5
VitinhaLDM · #23
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23
João NevesRDM · #15
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3
Pedro NetoRM · #18
João FélixCAM · #11
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Mikkel DamsgaardLM · #14
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
To be booked321

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3
Rasmus KristensenRB · #13
More players (19)
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Nuno MendesLB · #19
VitinhaLDM · #23
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8
Mohamed DaramyCAM · #20
João CanceloRB · #20
João FélixCAM · #11
Mikkel DamsgaardLM · #14
João NevesRDM · #15
Diogo CostaGK · #1
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23
Joakim MæhleLB · #5
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9
Headed shot on target21
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2
Rasmus KristensenRB · #13
More players (19)
Joakim MæhleLB · #5
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
João CanceloRB · #20
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Mikkel DamsgaardLM · #14
VitinhaLDM · #23
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Mohamed DaramyCAM · #20
João FélixCAM · #11
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8
Mads HermansenGK · #16
Diogo CostaGK · #1
Shot on target from outside the box22
Mohamed DaramyCAM · #20
João CanceloRB · #20
More players (20)
VitinhaLDM · #23
Nuno MendesLB · #19
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23
Gonçalo RamosST · #9
João NevesRDM · #15
Mikkel DamsgaardLM · #14
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9
Rúben DiasRCB · #3
Renato VeigaLCB · #13
Joakim MæhleLB · #5
Rasmus KristensenRB · #13
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21
Pedro NetoRM · #18
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
João FélixCAM · #11
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8
Diogo CostaGK · #1
Mads HermansenGK · #16
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Denmark
Portugal

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Mikola Balakin will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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