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Your model for Germany v Serbia

UEFA Nations League · Thu 1 Oct, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.

›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.

⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

204 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.

Fouls committed16

Aleksa TerzićLWB · #17

Florian WirtzLM · #17

More players (14)

Dejan JoveljićST · #9

Waldemar AntonRCB · #3

Ridle BakuRM · #23

Strahinja PavlovićLCB · #3

Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5

Filip KostićRWB · #11

Saša LukićLCM · #22

David RaumLB · #22

Nemanja GudeljCB · #6

Sergej Milinković-SavićLM · #20

Aleksandar StankovićRCM · #7

Jonathan BurkardtST · #10

Andrija ŽivkovićRM · #14

Strahinja ErakovićRCB · #16

Fouls drawn116

Strahinja PavlovićLCB · #3

Filip KostićRWB · #11

More players (14)

Andrija ŽivkovićRM · #14

Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5

Ridle BakuRM · #23

Dejan JoveljićST · #9

Waldemar AntonRCB · #3

Aleksa TerzićLWB · #17

Aleksandar StankovićRCM · #7

Nemanja GudeljCB · #6

Saša LukićLCM · #22

Sergej Milinković-SavićLM · #20

David RaumLB · #22

Florian WirtzLM · #17

Jonathan BurkardtST · #10

Strahinja ErakovićRCB · #16

Tackles116

Florian WirtzLM · #17

Dejan JoveljićST · #9

More players (14)

Filip KostićRWB · #11

Aleksa TerzićLWB · #17

Strahinja ErakovićRCB · #16

Waldemar AntonRCB · #3

Ridle BakuRM · #23

Nemanja GudeljCB · #6

David RaumLB · #22

Sergej Milinković-SavićLM · #20

Andrija ŽivkovićRM · #14

Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5

Saša LukićLCM · #22

Strahinja PavlovićLCB · #3

Jonathan BurkardtST · #10

Aleksandar StankovićRCM · #7

Shots16

Sergej Milinković-SavićLM · #20

Strahinja PavlovićLCB · #3

More players (14)

Nemanja GudeljCB · #6

Dejan JoveljićST · #9

Andrija ŽivkovićRM · #14

Aleksa TerzićLWB · #17

Jonathan BurkardtST · #10

Florian WirtzLM · #17

Strahinja ErakovićRCB · #16

Ridle BakuRM · #23

David RaumLB · #22

Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5

Aleksandar StankovićRCM · #7

Waldemar AntonRCB · #3

Filip KostićRWB · #11

Saša LukićLCM · #22

Shots on target16

Dejan JoveljićST · #9

Aleksa TerzićLWB · #17

More players (14)

Andrija ŽivkovićRM · #14

Sergej Milinković-SavićLM · #20

Aleksandar StankovićRCM · #7

Strahinja PavlovićLCB · #3

Filip KostićRWB · #11

Strahinja ErakovićRCB · #16

David RaumLB · #22

Nemanja GudeljCB · #6

Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5

Waldemar AntonRCB · #3

Saša LukićLCM · #22

Ridle BakuRM · #23

Jonathan BurkardtST · #10

Florian WirtzLM · #17

To be booked321

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Strahinja PavlovićLCB · #3

Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5

More players (19)

Waldemar AntonRCB · #3

David RaumLB · #22

Florian WirtzLM · #17

Andrija ŽivkovićRM · #14

Ridle BakuRM · #23

Saša LukićLCM · #22

Nemanja GudeljCB · #6

Sergej Milinković-SavićLM · #20

Jonathan BurkardtST · #10

Filip KostićRWB · #11

Dejan JoveljićST · #9

Strahinja ErakovićRCB · #16

Aleksa TerzićLWB · #17

Aleksandar StankovićRCM · #7

Karim-David AdeyemiCAM · #19

Jonathan TahLCB · #4

Yann Aurel BisseckRB · #2

Joshua KimmichRDM · #6

Marc-André ter StegenGK · #1

Headed shot on target20

Strahinja PavlovićLCB · #3

Nemanja GudeljCB · #6

More players (18)

Waldemar AntonRCB · #3

Aleksa TerzićLWB · #17

Strahinja ErakovićRCB · #16

Filip KostićRWB · #11

Saša LukićLCM · #22

David RaumLB · #22

Andrija ŽivkovićRM · #14

Sergej Milinković-SavićLM · #20

Dejan JoveljićST · #9

Ridle BakuRM · #23

Florian WirtzLM · #17

Jonathan BurkardtST · #10

Jonathan TahLCB · #4

Yann Aurel BisseckRB · #2

Đorđe PetrovićGK · #1

Marc-André ter StegenGK · #1

Karim-David AdeyemiCAM · #19

Joshua KimmichRDM · #6

Shot on target from outside the box22

Sergej Milinković-SavićLM · #20

Waldemar AntonRCB · #3

More players (20)

Strahinja PavlovićLCB · #3

Strahinja ErakovićRCB · #16

David RaumLB · #22

Dejan JoveljićST · #9

Andrija ŽivkovićRM · #14

Aleksandar PavlovićLDM · #5

Jonathan BurkardtST · #10

Nemanja GudeljCB · #6

Filip KostićRWB · #11

Aleksa TerzićLWB · #17

Saša LukićLCM · #22

Aleksandar StankovićRCM · #7

Ridle BakuRM · #23

Florian WirtzLM · #17

Joshua KimmichRDM · #6

Karim-David AdeyemiCAM · #19

Jonathan TahLCB · #4

Marc-André ter StegenGK · #1

Yann Aurel BisseckRB · #2

Đorđe PetrovićGK · #1

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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Germany

Serbia

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Espen Eskas will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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