v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Christopher Penso runs strict on cards, and 3 of the 5 rows we would back are Columbus Crew's.
142 players across every market.
Lewis MorganLS · #90Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap +5pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Steven MoreiraRCB · #31Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Benjamín KuscevicLCB · #13Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Josef MartínezST · #77Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Theodor CorbeanuRM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Joshua SargentRS · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Dániel SallóiLM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Anass ZarouryLM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Jonathan OsorioRCM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Brais MéndezRW · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Sean ZawadzkiCB · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Matheus PereiraLB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 68% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Mohamed FarsiRM · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 44% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Niklas DorschLCM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 68% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Santiago RodríguezLW · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Malte AmundsenLCB · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Taha HabrouneLCM · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Richmond LaryeaRB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
André GomesRCM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Jonathan OsorioRCM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 54% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap +19pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap +19pp
André GomesRCM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap +4pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Matheus PereiraLB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 81% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 81% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 81% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Steven MoreiraRCB · #31Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Theodor CorbeanuRM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Niklas DorschLCM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 67% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 67% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 67% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Lewis MorganLS · #90Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Richmond LaryeaRB · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 79% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 79% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 79% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Sean ZawadzkiCB · #25Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Dániel SallóiLM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Malte AmundsenLCB · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Brais MéndezRW · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 65% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Taha HabrouneLCM · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Santiago RodríguezLW · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 72% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Josef MartínezST · #77Fouls drawn
DataPitch 32% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Joshua SargentRS · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Benjamín KuscevicLCB · #13Fouls drawn
DataPitch 19% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Anass ZarouryLM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Mohamed FarsiRM · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 39% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Matheus PereiraLB · #3Shots
DataPitch 70% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap +18pp
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap +18pp
Josef MartínezST · #77Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 93% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 93% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Anass ZarouryLM · #21Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 89% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 89% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -4pp
Benjamín KuscevicLCB · #13Shots
DataPitch 39% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -5pp
Dániel SallóiLM · #20Shots
DataPitch 83% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 83% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 83% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Taha HabrouneLCM · #16Shots
DataPitch 75% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 75% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 75% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Theodor CorbeanuRM · #7Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Joshua SargentRS · #9Shots
DataPitch 79% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 79% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 79% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Brais MéndezRW · #10Shots
DataPitch 82% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 82% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 82% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Lewis MorganLS · #90Shots
DataPitch 77% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 77% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 77% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -16pp
Walker ZimmermanRCB · #25Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Santiago RodríguezLW · #8Shots
DataPitch 78% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 97% at 1.03 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 97% at 1.03 Bet365, gap -19pp
Richmond LaryeaRB · #22Shots
DataPitch 37% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Jonathan OsorioRCM · #21Shots
DataPitch 42% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Niklas DorschLCM · #6Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -28pp
Mohamed FarsiRM · #23Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Sean ZawadzkiCB · #25Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -42pp
André GomesRCM · #20Shots
DataPitch 29% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -49pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -49pp
Steven MoreiraRCB · #31Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -49pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -49pp
Malte AmundsenLCB · #18Shots
DataPitch 11% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -53pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -53pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -53pp
Matheus PereiraLB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Benjamín KuscevicLCB · #13Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Walker ZimmermanRCB · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Niklas DorschLCM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -3pp
Steven MoreiraRCB · #31Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Richmond LaryeaRB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Taha HabrouneLCM · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Sean ZawadzkiCB · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -16pp
Malte AmundsenLCB · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Jonathan OsorioRCM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Theodor CorbeanuRM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -20pp
Mohamed FarsiRM · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -20pp
André GomesRCM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Anass ZarouryLM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 42% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -22pp
Brais MéndezRW · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 51% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -24pp
Dániel SallóiLM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -26pp
Santiago RodríguezLW · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -28pp
Lewis MorganLS · #90Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -28pp
Joshua SargentRS · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -35pp
Josef MartínezST · #77Shots on target
DataPitch 47% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -36pp
The books expect about 4 cards.
Santiago RodríguezLW · #8To be booked
DataPitch 34% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +5pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +5pp
Brais MéndezRW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
André GomesRCM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Taha HabrouneLCM · #16To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Malte AmundsenLCB · #18To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Niklas DorschLCM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -3pp
Benjamín KuscevicLCB · #13To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -3pp
Walker ZimmermanRCB · #25To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jonathan OsorioRCM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Steven MoreiraRCB · #31To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Josef MartínezST · #77To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Richmond LaryeaRB · #22To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Anass ZarouryLM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 6% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Mohamed FarsiRM · #23To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Sean ZawadzkiCB · #25To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Joshua SargentRS · #9To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Lewis MorganLS · #90To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Luka GavranGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Dániel SallóiLM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -10pp
Theodor CorbeanuRM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -10pp
Patrick SchulteGK · #28To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 11% at 9.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 11% at 9.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Matheus PereiraLB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 34%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Brais MéndezRW · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Patrick SchulteGK · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 24%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Walker ZimmermanRCB · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luka GavranGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
André GomesRCM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joshua SargentRS · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Benjamín KuscevicLCB · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Malte AmundsenLCB · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Steven MoreiraRCB · #31Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Taha HabrouneLCM · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Theodor CorbeanuRM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Josef MartínezST · #77Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Santiago RodríguezLW · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dániel SallóiLM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lewis MorganLS · #90Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Richmond LaryeaRB · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mohamed FarsiRM · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Anass ZarouryLM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Niklas DorschLCM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jonathan OsorioRCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Brais MéndezRW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 50%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Anass ZarouryLM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 50%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Santiago RodríguezLW · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 40%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Taha HabrouneLCM · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Niklas DorschLCM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joshua SargentRS · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Josef MartínezST · #77Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dániel SallóiLM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Theodor CorbeanuRM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Malte AmundsenLCB · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mohamed FarsiRM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jonathan OsorioRCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matheus PereiraLB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
André GomesRCM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Walker ZimmermanRCB · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Richmond LaryeaRB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lewis MorganLS · #90Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Benjamín KuscevicLCB · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Steven MoreiraRCB · #31Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sean ZawadzkiCB · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Patrick SchulteGK · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luka GavranGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Christopher Penso will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
strict, 115 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.37/match · Away 2.36/match
4.98/match in tight games · 4.62/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.