v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Christopher Penso runs strict on cards, and the 4 rows we would back lean evenly between the two sides.
117 players across every market.
Kamal MillerLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Robert TaylorRW · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
João KlaussST · #99Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
David Pereira da CostaLCM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Kristoffer VeldeLW · #99Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Diego CharáCM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 67% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 67% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Jakob GlesnesRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Ariel LassiterRW · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Joseph PaintsilRCM · #28Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Ronald HernándezRCM · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Jimer ForyLB · #27-23ppJimer ForyLB · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Justin HaakLCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Erik ThommyCM · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Kyogo FuruhashiLW · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Joseph PaintsilRCM · #28Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 100% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 100% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
João KlaussST · #99Shots
DataPitch 98% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 98% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 98% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Kristoffer VeldeLW · #99Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 92% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 92% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -3pp
Vincent JanssenST · #14Shots
DataPitch 91% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 91% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 91% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Kyogo FuruhashiLW · #7Shots
DataPitch 87% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 87% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 87% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Erik ThommyCM · #27Shots
DataPitch 75% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 75% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 75% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Brandon ByeRB · #5-13ppBrandon ByeRB · #5Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -13pp
Ronald HernándezRCM · #12Shots
DataPitch 22% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 36% at 2.75 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 36% at 2.75 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Robert TaylorRW · #21Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 73% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 73% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Ariel LassiterRW · #7Shots
DataPitch 71% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 71% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 71% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
David Pereira da CostaLCM · #10Shots
DataPitch 65% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Harbor MillerRB · #26Shots
DataPitch 68% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 94% at 1.06 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 94% at 1.06 Bet365, gap -26pp
Jimer ForyLB · #27-26ppJimer ForyLB · #27Shots
DataPitch 12% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Justin HaakLCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -31pp
Kamal MillerLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 13% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -32pp
Jakob GlesnesRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -42pp
Finn SurmanRCB · #20Shots
DataPitch 12% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -44pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -44pp
Sergi RobertoLCM · #6Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -51pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -51pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -51pp
Diego CharáCM · #21Shots
DataPitch 7% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -55pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -55pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -55pp
Brandon ByeRB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +0pp
Ronald HernándezRCM · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 12% at 8.50 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 12% at 8.50 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Jimer ForyLB · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Kamal MillerLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Jakob GlesnesRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Justin HaakLCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
David Pereira da CostaLCM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Finn SurmanRCB · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -15pp
João KlaussST · #99Shots on target
DataPitch 65% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Kristoffer VeldeLW · #99Shots on target
DataPitch 51% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -18pp
Erik ThommyCM · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 46% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Vincent JanssenST · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 54% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -19pp
Joseph PaintsilRCM · #28Shots on target
DataPitch 56% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Diego CharáCM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Ariel LassiterRW · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Robert TaylorRW · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Harbor MillerRB · #26Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -36pp
Kyogo FuruhashiLW · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -39pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -39pp
Sergi RobertoLCM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -44pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -44pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Ronald HernándezRCM · #12To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +12pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Diego CharáCM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 41% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap +10pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap +10pp
Jakob GlesnesRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +10pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +10pp
Erik ThommyCM · #27To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Joseph PaintsilRCM · #28To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +4pp
Kristoffer VeldeLW · #99To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +2pp
Justin HaakLCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +1pp
Robert TaylorRW · #21To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Kamal MillerLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -2pp
Brandon ByeRB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Kyogo FuruhashiLW · #7To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Vincent JanssenST · #14To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -3pp
CalegariLB · #2-4ppCalegariLB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
João KlaussST · #99To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Harbor MillerRB · #26To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
David Pereira da CostaLCM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Jimer ForyLB · #27-10ppJimer ForyLB · #27To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
James MarcinkowskiGK · #12To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Ariel LassiterRW · #7To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -12pp
James PantemisGK · #41To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Finn SurmanRCB · #20To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -18pp
Sergi RobertoLCM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 27%
Bet365 withdrew this market before kick off. The last price we held was 3.25 at Bet365; there is no price on it now.
João KlaussST · #99Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Finn SurmanRCB · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jakob GlesnesRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jimer ForyLB · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Vincent JanssenST · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kamal MillerLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Brandon ByeRB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Justin HaakLCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Robert TaylorRW · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James PantemisGK · #41Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kristoffer VeldeLW · #99Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James MarcinkowskiGK · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ariel LassiterRW · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kyogo FuruhashiLW · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ronald HernándezRCM · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
CalegariLB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sergi RobertoLCM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Diego CharáCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joseph PaintsilRCM · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Erik ThommyCM · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
David Pereira da CostaLCM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kristoffer VeldeLW · #99Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 26%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
João KlaussST · #99Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ariel LassiterRW · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Robert TaylorRW · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Erik ThommyCM · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kyogo FuruhashiLW · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joseph PaintsilRCM · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Vincent JanssenST · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
David Pereira da CostaLCM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sergi RobertoLCM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Brandon ByeRB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
CalegariLB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Harbor MillerRB · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jakob GlesnesRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Justin HaakLCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Diego CharáCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James MarcinkowskiGK · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ronald HernándezRCM · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James PantemisGK · #41Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kamal MillerLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jimer ForyLB · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Finn SurmanRCB · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Christopher Penso will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
strict, 114 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.36/match · Away 2.35/match
4.98/match in tight games · 4.58/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.