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Your model for Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes

Major League Soccer · Thu 15 Oct, 02:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

121 players across every market.

Fouls committed19
Juan AriasLM · #21+2pp
Philip QuintonCB · #26+1pp
More players (17)
Noel CaliskanRCM · #92-5pp
Eduard LöwenCM · #23-8pp
Daniel MunieCB · #5-9pp
Timo WernerLS · #11-11pp
Nikolas TsakirisRCM · #10-17pp
Juan SanabriaLAM · #8-17pp
Beau LerouxLCM · #34-18pp
David RomneyRCB · #4-18pp
Kobi HenryLCB · #3-20pp
Vítor CostaLWB · #87-20pp
DeAndre YedlinRCB · #2-23pp
S. SolansST · #22-24pp
Paul MarieRWB · #3-24pp
Morgan GuilavoguiRM · #9-25pp
Stijn SpieringsLCM · #6-26pp
Preston JuddRS · #19-28pp
Reid RobertsLCB · #18-31pp
Shots20
Preston JuddRS · #19+4pp
S. SolansST · #22+0pp
More players (18)
Eduard LöwenCM · #23-4pp
Juan SanabriaLAM · #8-4pp
Morgan GuilavoguiRM · #9-6pp
Timo WernerLS · #11-6pp
Philip QuintonCB · #26-7pp
Stijn SpieringsLCM · #6-13pp
Vítor CostaLWB · #87-14pp
Beau LerouxLCM · #34-15pp
DeAndre YedlinRCB · #2-15pp
Daniel MunieCB · #5-18pp
Noel CaliskanRCM · #92-20pp
David RomneyRCB · #4-20pp
Nikolas TsakirisRCM · #10-21pp
Juan AriasLM · #21-23pp
Reid RobertsLCB · #18-27pp
Luca MoisaRAM · #34-43pp
Paul MarieRWB · #3-51pp
Kobi HenryLCB · #3-57pp
Shots on target20
Reid RobertsLCB · #18+3pp
David RomneyRCB · #4-3pp
More players (18)
Stijn SpieringsLCM · #6-5pp
Daniel MunieCB · #5-6pp
DeAndre YedlinRCB · #2-6pp
Vítor CostaLWB · #87-8pp
Beau LerouxLCM · #34-12pp
Preston JuddRS · #19-13pp
Luca MoisaRAM · #34-13pp
Juan SanabriaLAM · #8-15pp
Kobi HenryLCB · #3-16pp
Philip QuintonCB · #26-17pp
Timo WernerLS · #11-19pp
Noel CaliskanRCM · #92-19pp
Eduard LöwenCM · #23-21pp
S. SolansST · #22-22pp
Paul MarieRWB · #3-22pp
Juan AriasLM · #21-22pp
Nikolas TsakirisRCM · #10-24pp
Morgan GuilavoguiRM · #9-25pp
To be booked22

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Morgan GuilavoguiRM · #9
Juan AriasLM · #21
More players (20)
Stijn SpieringsLCM · #6
DeAndre YedlinRCB · #2
Luca MoisaRAM · #34
Reid RobertsLCB · #18
Vítor CostaLWB · #87
Preston JuddRS · #19
Noel CaliskanRCM · #92
Juan SanabriaLAM · #8
Kobi HenryLCB · #3
Paul MarieRWB · #3
Beau LerouxLCM · #34
Eduard LöwenCM · #23
Nikolas TsakirisRCM · #10
Daniel MunieCB · #5
Philip QuintonCB · #26
S. SolansST · #22
Timo WernerLS · #11
David RomneyRCB · #4
Angus GunnGK · #1
Rafael CabralGK · #1
Headed shot on target18
Philip QuintonCB · #26
Preston JuddRS · #19
More players (16)
Kobi HenryLCB · #3
David RomneyRCB · #4
Angus GunnGK · #1
Reid RobertsLCB · #18
Morgan GuilavoguiRM · #9
Daniel MunieCB · #5
Stijn SpieringsLCM · #6
Eduard LöwenCM · #23
Vítor CostaLWB · #87
Rafael CabralGK · #1
Timo WernerLS · #11
DeAndre YedlinRCB · #2
Paul MarieRWB · #3
Juan SanabriaLAM · #8
Luca MoisaRAM · #34
Nikolas TsakirisRCM · #10
Shot on target from outside the box22
Eduard LöwenCM · #23
Noel CaliskanRCM · #92
More players (20)
Morgan GuilavoguiRM · #9
Timo WernerLS · #11
Luca MoisaRAM · #34
Stijn SpieringsLCM · #6
S. SolansST · #22
Paul MarieRWB · #3
Nikolas TsakirisRCM · #10
Beau LerouxLCM · #34
Preston JuddRS · #19
DeAndre YedlinRCB · #2
Reid RobertsLCB · #18
Juan SanabriaLAM · #8
Philip QuintonCB · #26
Rafael CabralGK · #1
Kobi HenryLCB · #3
Juan AriasLM · #21
Angus GunnGK · #1
Vítor CostaLWB · #87
David RomneyRCB · #4
Daniel MunieCB · #5
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Sergii Demianchuk will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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