v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Jair Marrufo runs lenient on cards, and 5 of the 6 rows we would back are Los Angeles FC's.
120 players across every market.
Jonathan BellCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap +8pp
Eddie SeguraLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 75% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 75% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 75% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Ryan PorteousRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Son Heung-MinST · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 40% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Nkosi TafariLDM · #91Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Yevhen CheberkoLB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Guilherme BiroLCB · #29Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Myrto UzuniRW · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Facundo TorresLW · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Jacob ShaffelburgLM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Besard ŠabovićLCM · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 70% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Dénis BouangaCAM · #99Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Mathieu ChoinièreRM · #66Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Joseph RosalesRM · #30Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Sergi PalenciaRB · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Mikkel DeslerRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Jonathan GallagherLM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Dénis BouangaCAM · #99Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 100% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 100% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Son Heung-MinST · #7Shots
DataPitch 97% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 97% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 97% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Myrto UzuniRW · #10Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -2pp
Facundo TorresLW · #11Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -8pp
Jonathan BellCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Mikkel DeslerRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Guilherme BiroLCB · #29Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -17pp
Joseph RosalesRM · #30Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -20pp
Jonathan GallagherLM · #17Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -21pp
Nkosi TafariLDM · #91Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -24pp
Ervin TorresRCM · #38Shots
DataPitch 29% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -26pp
Ryan PorteousRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 25% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Sergi PalenciaRB · #14Shots
DataPitch 26% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -36pp
Eddie SeguraLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -42pp
Besard ŠabovićLCM · #14Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -44pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -44pp
Timothy TillmanRDM · #11Shots
DataPitch 49% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 94% at 1.06 Bet365, gap -45pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 94% at 1.06 Bet365, gap -45pp
Yevhen CheberkoLB · #23Shots
DataPitch 7% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -45pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -45pp
Jacob ShaffelburgLM · #18Shots
DataPitch 46% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -48pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -48pp
Mathieu ChoinièreRM · #66Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -48pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -48pp
Jorge AlastueyST · #24Shots
DataPitch 13% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -49pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -49pp
Guilherme BiroLCB · #29Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Jonathan GallagherLM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +1pp
Nkosi TafariLDM · #91Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Jonathan BellCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Mikkel DeslerRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Joseph RosalesRM · #30Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Jorge AlastueyST · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -10pp
Facundo TorresLW · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -11pp
Dénis BouangaCAM · #99Shots on target
DataPitch 83% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 83% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 83% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Sergi PalenciaRB · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -12pp
Yevhen CheberkoLB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Myrto UzuniRW · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 39% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -16pp
Besard ŠabovićLCM · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Eddie SeguraLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -17pp
Ryan PorteousRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Mathieu ChoinièreRM · #66Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 42% at 2.40 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 42% at 2.40 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Son Heung-MinST · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 62% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -24pp
Ervin TorresRCM · #38Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -27pp
Jacob ShaffelburgLM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -38pp
Timothy TillmanRDM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -43pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -43pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Dénis BouangaCAM · #99To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap +17pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap +17pp
Sergi PalenciaRB · #14To be booked
DataPitch 35% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +13pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +13pp
Eddie SeguraLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +12pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Timothy TillmanRDM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +9pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Ryan PorteousRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +8pp
Myrto UzuniRW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Guilherme BiroLCB · #29To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +1pp
Jacob ShaffelburgLM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Son Heung-MinST · #7To be booked
DataPitch 8% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Nkosi TafariLDM · #91To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Mathieu ChoinièreRM · #66To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jonathan GallagherLM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Yevhen CheberkoLB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Besard ŠabovićLCM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 33% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -5pp
Facundo TorresLW · #11To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ervin TorresRCM · #38To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -8pp
Jonathan BellCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Hugo LlorisGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Mikkel DeslerRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Joseph RosalesRM · #30To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -12pp
Bradley StuverGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Nkosi TafariLDM · #91Headed shot on target
DataPitch 29%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ryan PorteousRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Guilherme BiroLCB · #29Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Son Heung-MinST · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mikkel DeslerRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bradley StuverGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hugo LlorisGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Besard ŠabovićLCM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jonathan BellCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Timothy TillmanRDM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Myrto UzuniRW · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jorge AlastueyST · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Facundo TorresLW · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dénis BouangaCAM · #99Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eddie SeguraLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Yevhen CheberkoLB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sergi PalenciaRB · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mathieu ChoinièreRM · #66Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jacob ShaffelburgLM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jonathan GallagherLM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Son Heung-MinST · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 28%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Myrto UzuniRW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mathieu ChoinièreRM · #66Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Facundo TorresLW · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dénis BouangaCAM · #99Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joseph RosalesRM · #30Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jacob ShaffelburgLM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sergi PalenciaRB · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eddie SeguraLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Besard ŠabovićLCM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ervin TorresRCM · #38Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nkosi TafariLDM · #91Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ryan PorteousRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jorge AlastueyST · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jonathan GallagherLM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hugo LlorisGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Timothy TillmanRDM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Yevhen CheberkoLB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mikkel DeslerRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bradley StuverGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jonathan BellCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Guilherme BiroLCB · #29Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Jair Marrufo will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
lenient, 71 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.44/match · Away 1.45/match
2.78/match in tight games · 2.31/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.