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Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET · Market line SF -8.5 · total 51.5

How our calls did

Final: Las Vegas Raiders 17, San Francisco 49ers 38

Called before kickoff: 1. Lost 1.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 8 Nov, 12:26 UK.

Every market we price

31 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards12
Brandin Cooks WR · SF 17+ receiving yards-112price shown when this board was published

Brandin CooksWR · SFReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 25 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 85% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +32pp

Under 16.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 50, median 44
The line
16.5

His last 5, receiving yards

25v LV2026 week 9
13v ATL2026 week 7
13v WAS2026 week 6
7v SEA2026 week 5
0v DEN2026 week 4
Kyle Juszczyk RB · SF 11+ receiving yards-115price shown when this board was published

Kyle JuszczykRB · SFReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 73% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +19pp

Under 10.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 25.7, median 21
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v LV2026 week 9
11v ATL2026 week 7
10v WAS2026 week 6
28v DEN2026 week 4
0v ARI2026 week 3
More players (10)
DoubtfulChristian McCaffrey RB · SF 39+ receiving yards-110price shown when this board was published

Christian McCaffreyRB · SFReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 19 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hamstring - Questionable for Week 9 vs. Las Vegas

DataPitch 65% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +13pp

Under 38.5: -104price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 53.1, median 49
The line
38.5

His last 5, receiving yards

19v LV2026 week 9
61v ATL2026 week 7
53v WAS2026 week 6
15v SEA2026 week 5
18v DEN2026 week 4
Christian Kirk WR · SF 17+ receiving yards-115price shown when this board was published

Christian KirkWR · SFReceiving yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 62% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 16.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 28.3, median 23
The line
16.5

His last 5, receiving yards

20v NE2025 week 20
144v PIT2025 week 19
-3v IND2025 week 18
1v LAC2025 week 17
37v LV2025 week 16
Jack Bech WR · LV 11+ receiving yards-112price shown when this board was published

Jack BechWR · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +4pp

Under 10.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 20, median 16
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

9v SF2026 week 9
25v LAC2026 week 2
23v MIA2026 week 1
0v KC2025 week 18
43v HOU2025 week 16
George Kittle TE · SF 70+ receiving yards-115price shown when this board was published

George KittleTE · SFReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 58 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -10pp

Under 69.5: -115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 69.6, median 64
The line
69.5

His last 5, receiving yards

58v LV2026 week 9
88v ATL2026 week 7
69v WAS2026 week 6
24v SEA2026 week 5
70v DEN2026 week 4
Jalen Nailor WR · LV 21+ receiving yards-120price shown when this board was published

Jalen NailorWR · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 41% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -14pp

Under 20.5: -111price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 21.1, median 16
The line
20.5

His last 5, receiving yards

9v SF2026 week 9
38v NYJ2026 week 8
14v LA2026 week 7
9v BUF2026 week 6
16v NO2026 week 3
Tre Tucker WR · LV 35+ receiving yards-111price shown when this board was published

Tre TuckerWR · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 55 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 30% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 34.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 27, median 21
The line
34.5

His last 5, receiving yards

55v SF2026 week 9
0v NYJ2026 week 8
103v LA2026 week 7
97v BUF2026 week 6
41v NE2026 week 5
Michael Mayer TE · LV 30+ receiving yards-114price shown when this board was published

Michael MayerTE · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 37 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 23% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -30pp

Under 29.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 18.7, median 13
The line
29.5

His last 5, receiving yards

37v SF2026 week 9
53v NYJ2026 week 8
32v LA2026 week 7
95v BUF2026 week 6
2v NE2026 week 5
Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 36+ receiving yards-113price shown when this board was published

Ashton JeantyRB · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, -5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 9% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -44pp

Under 35.5: -111price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 14.4, median 10
The line
35.5

His last 5, receiving yards

-5v SF2026 week 9
64v NYJ2026 week 8
61v LA2026 week 7
36v BUF2026 week 6
50v NE2026 week 5
Brock Bowers TE · LV 77+ receiving yards-112price shown when this board was published

Brock BowersTE · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 111 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 3% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -50pp

Under 76.5: -113price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 23.8, median 18
The line
76.5

His last 5, receiving yards

111v SF2026 week 9
92v NYJ2026 week 8
73v LA2026 week 7
70v BUF2026 week 6
110v NE2026 week 5
Cody White WR · LV 1+ receiving yardsno price held

Cody WhiteWR · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 79%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 25.8, median 19
The line
0.5

His last 5, receiving yards

4v LA2026 week 7
0v BUF2026 week 6
44v NE2026 week 5
36v KC2026 week 4
4v NO2026 week 3
Receptions12
Kyle Juszczyk RB · SF 2+ receptions+115price shown when this board was published

Kyle JuszczykRB · SFReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 74% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap +27pp

Under 1.5: -150price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v LV2026 week 9
3v ATL2026 week 7
1v WAS2026 week 6
2v DEN2026 week 4
0v ARI2026 week 3
Brandin Cooks WR · SF 2+ receptions-120price shown when this board was published

Brandin CooksWR · SFReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 81% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap +26pp

Under 1.5: -105price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.4, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v LV2026 week 9
1v ATL2026 week 7
1v WAS2026 week 6
1v SEA2026 week 5
0v DEN2026 week 4
More players (10)
Christian Kirk WR · SF 2+ receptions-128price shown when this board was published

Christian KirkWR · SFReceptions

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 76% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap +20pp

Under 1.5: -105price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v NE2025 week 20
8v PIT2025 week 19
1v IND2025 week 18
2v LAC2025 week 17
3v LV2025 week 16
DoubtfulChristian McCaffrey RB · SF 6+ receptions+109price shown when this board was published

Christian McCaffreyRB · SFReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hamstring - Questionable for Week 9 vs. Las Vegas

DataPitch 59% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap +11pp

Under 5.5: -141price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.5, median 6
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

2v LV2026 week 9
6v ATL2026 week 7
9v WAS2026 week 6
3v SEA2026 week 5
3v DEN2026 week 4
George Kittle TE · SF 6+ receptions-147price shown when this board was published

George KittleTE · SFReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 63% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 5.5: +115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.8, median 7
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

4v LV2026 week 9
8v ATL2026 week 7
5v WAS2026 week 6
5v SEA2026 week 5
4v DEN2026 week 4
Jack Bech WR · LV 2+ receptions+106price shown when this board was published

Jack BechWR · LVReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 47% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -2pp

Under 1.5: -135price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.7, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v SF2026 week 9
2v LAC2026 week 2
3v MIA2026 week 1
0v KC2025 week 18
2v HOU2025 week 16
Jalen Nailor WR · LV 3+ receptions+141price shown when this board was published

Jalen NailorWR · LVReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 21% · Market 42%

Against this price: Gap -21pp

Under 2.5: -182price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.5, median 1
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v SF2026 week 9
4v NYJ2026 week 8
2v LA2026 week 7
1v BUF2026 week 6
1v NO2026 week 3
Tre Tucker WR · LV 4+ receptions+133price shown when this board was published

Tre TuckerWR · LVReceptions

How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 18% · Market 43%

Against this price: Gap -25pp

Under 3.5: -172price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.1, median 2
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

4v SF2026 week 9
0v NYJ2026 week 8
5v LA2026 week 7
5v BUF2026 week 6
4v NE2026 week 5
Michael Mayer TE · LV 4+ receptions-106price shown when this board was published

Michael MayerTE · LVReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 16% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -36pp

Under 3.5: -120price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

3v SF2026 week 9
5v NYJ2026 week 8
3v LA2026 week 7
7v BUF2026 week 6
1v NE2026 week 5
Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 5+ receptions+105price shown when this board was published

Ashton JeantyRB · LVReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 8% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -41pp

Under 4.5: -135price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

5v SF2026 week 9
3v NYJ2026 week 8
8v LA2026 week 7
4v BUF2026 week 6
3v NE2026 week 5
Brock Bowers TE · LV 7+ receptions-112price shown when this board was published

Brock BowersTE · LVReceptions

How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 4% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -49pp

Under 6.5: -115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.5, median 2
The line
6.5

His last 5, receptions

7v SF2026 week 9
7v NYJ2026 week 8
6v LA2026 week 7
4v BUF2026 week 6
8v NE2026 week 5
Cody White WR · LV 1+ receptionsno price held

Cody WhiteWR · LVReceptions

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 79%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
0.5

His last 5, receptions

1v LA2026 week 7
0v BUF2026 week 6
2v NE2026 week 5
2v KC2026 week 4
1v NO2026 week 3
Rushing yards15
Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 29+ rushing yardsLost25 yds-111price shown when this board was published

Ashton JeantyRB · LVRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 25 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 58% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +5pp

Under 28.5: -120price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 37.4, median 32
The line
28.5

His last 5, rushing yards

25v SF2026 week 9
9v NYJ2026 week 8
15v LA2026 week 7
22v BUF2026 week 6
27v NE2026 week 5
Kirk Cousins QB · LV 2+ rushing yards-110price shown when this board was published

Kirk CousinsQB · LVRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 48% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -4pp

Under 1.5: -116price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 6, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, rushing yards

0v SF2026 week 9
3v NYJ2026 week 8
6v LA2026 week 7
0v BUF2026 week 6
0v NE2026 week 5
More players (3)
Brock Purdy QB · SF 15+ rushing yards-115price shown when this board was published

Brock PurdyQB · SFRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 40 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 35% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 14.5: -102price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 14, median 8
The line
14.5

His last 5, rushing yards

40v LV2026 week 9
5v ATL2026 week 7
28v WAS2026 week 6
6v SEA2026 week 5
29v DEN2026 week 4
Kaelon Black RB · SF 42+ rushing yards-111price shown when this board was published

Kaelon BlackRB · SFRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 70 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 31% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -22pp

Under 41.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 33.9, median 27
The line
41.5

His last 5, rushing yards

70v LV2026 week 9
63v ATL2026 week 7
34v WAS2026 week 6
16v SEA2026 week 5
13v DEN2026 week 4
DoubtfulChristian McCaffrey RB · SF 63+ rushing yards-114price shown when this board was published

Christian McCaffreyRB · SFRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 68 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hamstring - Questionable for Week 9 vs. Las Vegas

DataPitch 30% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 62.5: -113price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 50.4, median 44
The line
62.5

His last 5, rushing yards

68v LV2026 week 9
39v ATL2026 week 7
64v WAS2026 week 6
68v SEA2026 week 5
52v DEN2026 week 4
Passing yards2
Brock Purdy QB · SF 244+ passing yards-115price shown when this board was published

Brock PurdyQB · SFPassing yards

How it ended: Lost, 232 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 24% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -30pp

Under 243.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 200.1, median 194
The line
243.5

His last 5, passing yards

224v LV2026 week 9
277v ATL2026 week 7
249v WAS2026 week 6
177v SEA2026 week 5
218v DEN2026 week 4
Kirk Cousins QB · LV 251+ passing yards-116price shown when this board was published

Kirk CousinsQB · LVPassing yards

How it ended: Lost, 216 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 20% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -34pp

Under 250.5: -116price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 199.5, median 194
The line
250.5

His last 5, passing yards

216v SF2026 week 9
238v NYJ2026 week 8
289v LA2026 week 7
313v BUF2026 week 6
220v NE2026 week 5

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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