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Final: Green Bay Packers 45, New England Patriots 27
Called before kickoff: 5. Won 2, lost 3.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 8 Nov, 12:32 UK.
19 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 46 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 71% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 23.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Hunter HenryTE · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 35 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 37.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tucker KraftTE · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 45.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian WatsonWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 171 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ribs - Questionable for Week 9 at New England
DataPitch 30% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 70.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Josh JacobsRB · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 20.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Matthew GoldenWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 164 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 67.5: -103price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 3.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Hunter HenryTE · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 3.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tucker KraftTE · GBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 4.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian WatsonWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ribs - Questionable for Week 9 at New England
DataPitch 23% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 4.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Josh JacobsRB · GBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 17% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 3.5: -125price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Matthew GoldenWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 10 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 6% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 5.5: -141price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MarShawn LloydRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rushing yards line fell 11.5 to 7.5 between the open and the close, 35% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 78% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +26pp
Under 8.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Josh JacobsRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 47.5: -113price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Corey KinerRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Won, 55 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 21.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 32 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 56.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Drake MayeQB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 3 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 25.5: -112price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Efton Chism IIIWR · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 7% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Drake MayeQB · NEPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 299 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 230.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.