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Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals

Week 8 · Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Market line CIN -12.5 · total 46.5

How our calls did

Final: Tennessee Titans 36, Cincinnati Bengals 43

Called before kickoff: 5. Won 4, lost 1.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 1 Nov, 11:05 UK.

Every market we price

31 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards211
Daniel Bellinger TE · TEN 10+ receiving yardsWon36 yds-109DraftKings

Daniel BellingerTE · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 36 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 77% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +25pp

Under 9.5: -116DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 34.4, median 28
The line
9.5

His last 5, receiving yards

4v CLE2026 week 7
0v IND2026 week 6
5v HOU2026 week 5
2v BAL2026 week 4
16v NYG2026 week 3
Chase Brown RB · CIN 20+ receiving yardsWon46 yds-115consensus market price

Chase BrownRB · CINReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 46 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 64% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +10pp

Under 19.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 31.2, median 27
The line
19.5

His last 5, receiving yards

19v BAL2026 week 7
21v MIA2026 week 5
71v JAX2026 week 4
8v PIT2026 week 3
2v HOU2026 week 2
More players (9)
Michael Carter RB · TEN 8+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Michael CarterRB · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 65% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +12pp

Under 7.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17.6, median 13
The line
7.5

His last 5, receiving yards

7v CLE2026 week 7
21v LA2025 week 18
14v CIN2025 week 17
0v ATL2025 week 16
38v HOU2025 week 15
DoubtfulCalvin Ridley WR · TEN 23+ receiving yards-112DraftKings

Calvin RidleyWR · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hip - Questionable for Week 8 at Cincinnati

DataPitch 63% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +10pp

Under 22.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 38.7, median 32
The line
22.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v IND2026 week 6
33v HOU2026 week 5
13v BAL2026 week 4
0v NYG2026 week 3
35v PHI2026 week 2
Drew Sample TE · CIN 9+ receiving yards-115DraftKings

Drew SampleTE · CINReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 56% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 8.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17.1, median 11
The line
8.5

His last 5, receiving yards

24v BAL2026 week 7
5v MIA2026 week 5
0v PIT2026 week 3
19v TB2026 week 1
17v CLE2025 week 18
Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN 81+ receiving yards-115DraftKings

Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 141 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 56% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 80.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 93.3, median 88
The line
80.5

His last 5, receiving yards

62v BAL2026 week 7
77v MIA2026 week 5
27v JAX2026 week 4
98v PIT2026 week 3
75v HOU2026 week 2
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 15+ receiving yards-106DraftKings

Tony PollardRB · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 14.5: -119DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 16.8, median 12
The line
14.5

His last 5, receiving yards

26v CLE2026 week 7
0v IND2026 week 6
0v HOU2026 week 5
2v BAL2026 week 4
22v NYG2026 week 3
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 22+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Gunnar HelmTE · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 76 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 40% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -14pp

Under 21.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 21.5, median 16
The line
21.5

His last 5, receiving yards

24v CLE2026 week 7
0v HOU2026 week 5
5v BAL2026 week 4
14v NYG2026 week 3
13v PHI2026 week 2
Tee Higgins WR · CIN 71+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Tee HigginsWR · CINReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 155 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 38% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -16pp

Under 70.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 64.2, median 58
The line
70.5

His last 5, receiving yards

148v BAL2026 week 7
22v MIA2026 week 5
157v JAX2026 week 4
90v PIT2026 week 3
95v HOU2026 week 2
Elic Ayomanor WR · TEN 32+ receiving yards-111DraftKings

Elic AyomanorWR · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 34 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 36% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Under 31.5: -115DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 27.7, median 22
The line
31.5

His last 5, receiving yards

44v CLE2026 week 7
3v IND2026 week 6
17v HOU2026 week 5
22v BAL2026 week 4
11v NYG2026 week 3
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 50+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 57 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 21% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -32pp

Under 49.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 31.6, median 26
The line
49.5

His last 5, receiving yards

7v CLE2026 week 7
22v IND2026 week 6
53v HOU2026 week 5
19v BAL2026 week 4
57v NYG2026 week 3
Receptions111
Daniel Bellinger TE · TEN 2+ receptionsWon3 receptions+125Bet365

Daniel BellingerTE · TENReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 64% · Market 44%

Against this price: Gap +20pp

Under 1.5: -161Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.5, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v CLE2026 week 7
0v IND2026 week 6
1v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
2v NYG2026 week 3
Chase Brown RB · CIN 4+ receptions-102DraftKings

Chase BrownRB · CINReceptions

How it ended: Won, 8 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 3.5: -125DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.9, median 4
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

4v BAL2026 week 7
3v MIA2026 week 5
11v JAX2026 week 4
2v PIT2026 week 3
3v HOU2026 week 2
More players (9)
Michael Carter RB · TEN 2+ receptions-111DraftKings

Michael CarterRB · TENReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 1.5: -116DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v CLE2026 week 7
3v LA2025 week 18
2v CIN2025 week 17
0v ATL2025 week 16
4v HOU2025 week 15
DoubtfulCalvin Ridley WR · TEN 2+ receptions-167Bet365

Calvin RidleyWR · TENReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hip - Questionable for Week 8 at Cincinnati

DataPitch 62% · Market 63%

Against this price: Gap -1pp

Under 1.5: +130Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.3, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v IND2026 week 6
2v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
0v NYG2026 week 3
2v PHI2026 week 2
Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN 7+ receptions-132Bet365

Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceptions

How it ended: Won, 11 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 6.5: +100Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 7.1, median 7
The line
6.5

His last 5, receptions

5v BAL2026 week 7
6v MIA2026 week 5
3v JAX2026 week 4
9v PIT2026 week 3
7v HOU2026 week 2
Drew Sample TE · CIN 2+ receptions+103DraftKings

Drew SampleTE · CINReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 46% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 1.5: -132DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.7, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v BAL2026 week 7
1v MIA2026 week 5
1v PIT2026 week 3
3v TB2026 week 1
3v CLE2025 week 18
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 3+ receptions+140Bet365

Tony PollardRB · TENReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 30% · Market 42%

Against this price: Gap -12pp

Under 2.5: -182Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v CLE2026 week 7
0v IND2026 week 6
0v HOU2026 week 5
2v BAL2026 week 4
4v NYG2026 week 3
Tee Higgins WR · CIN 5+ receptions-141Bet365

Tee HigginsWR · CINReceptions

How it ended: Won, 10 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 43% · Market 59%

Against this price: Gap -16pp

Under 4.5: +110Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.4, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

6v BAL2026 week 7
2v MIA2026 week 5
11v JAX2026 week 4
6v PIT2026 week 3
5v HOU2026 week 2
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 3+ receptions-116Bet365

Gunnar HelmTE · TENReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 35% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 2.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.1, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v CLE2026 week 7
0v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
2v NYG2026 week 3
2v PHI2026 week 2
Elic Ayomanor WR · TEN 3+ receptions-152Bet365

Elic AyomanorWR · TENReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 30% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap -30pp

Under 2.5: +120Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v CLE2026 week 7
1v IND2026 week 6
1v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
1v NYG2026 week 3
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 6+ receptions-105Bet365

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceptions

How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 7% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap -44pp

Under 5.5: -125Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.4, median 2
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

4v CLE2026 week 7
3v IND2026 week 6
6v HOU2026 week 5
3v BAL2026 week 4
7v NYG2026 week 3
Rushing yards17
Chase Brown RB · CIN 60+ rushing yardsLost55 yds-115DraftKings

Chase BrownRB · CINRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 55 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 63% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Under 59.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 78, median 73
The line
59.5

His last 5, rushing yards

39v BAL2026 week 7
39v MIA2026 week 5
10v JAX2026 week 4
61v PIT2026 week 3
80v HOU2026 week 2
Michael Carter RB · TEN 13+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Michael CarterRB · TENRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 71% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +17pp

Under 12.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 29, median 23
The line
12.5

His last 5, rushing yards

7v CLE2026 week 7
18v LA2025 week 18
29v CIN2025 week 17
65v ATL2025 week 16
56v HOU2025 week 15
More players (5)
Tahj Brooks RB · CIN 25+ rushing yards+1050consensus market price

Tahj BrooksRB · CINRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 13% · Market 9%

Against this price: Gap +4pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 9.9, median 4
The line
24.5

His last 5, rushing yards

6v BAL2026 week 7
0v MIA2026 week 5
0v PIT2026 week 3
0v TB2026 week 1
10v ARI2025 week 17
Joe Burrow QB · CIN 6+ rushing yards-112DraftKings

Joe BurrowQB · CINRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 49% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -4pp

Under 5.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 12, median 6
The line
5.5

His last 5, rushing yards

12v BAL2026 week 7
10v MIA2026 week 5
6v JAX2026 week 4
13v PIT2026 week 3
-1v HOU2026 week 2
Samaje Perine RB · CIN 23+ rushing yards-118consensus market price

Samaje PerineRB · CINRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 49% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -5pp

Under 22.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 28.7, median 22
The line
22.5

His last 5, rushing yards

16v BAL2026 week 7
68v MIA2026 week 5
7v JAX2026 week 4
9v PIT2026 week 3
6v HOU2026 week 2
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 66+ rushing yards-111DraftKings

Tony PollardRB · TENRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 117 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 65.5: -116DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 65.3, median 59
The line
65.5

His last 5, rushing yards

129v CLE2026 week 7
76v IND2026 week 6
52v HOU2026 week 5
48v BAL2026 week 4
74v NYG2026 week 3
Cam Ward QB · TEN 8+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Cam WardQB · TENRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 41 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 35% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 7.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 8.8, median 3
The line
7.5

His last 5, rushing yards

5v CLE2026 week 7
7v IND2026 week 6
2v HOU2026 week 5
27v BAL2026 week 4
2v NYG2026 week 3
Passing yards12
Cam Ward QB · TEN 193+ passing yardsWon304 yds-116Bet365

Cam WardQB · TENPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 304 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 63% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Under 192.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 221.3, median 215
The line
192.5

His last 5, passing yards

181v CLE2026 week 7
102v IND2026 week 6
130v HOU2026 week 5
214v BAL2026 week 4
181v NYG2026 week 3
Joe Burrow QB · CIN 273+ passing yards-114consensus market price

Joe BurrowQB · CINPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 462 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 26% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -27pp

Under 272.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 229.9, median 224
The line
272.5

His last 5, passing yards

284v BAL2026 week 7
190v MIA2026 week 5
414v JAX2026 week 4
269v PIT2026 week 3
182v HOU2026 week 2

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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