at
Final: New England Patriots 24, Miami Dolphins 19
Called before kickoff: 2. Lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 1 Nov, 11:05 UK.
20 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 46+ receiving yardsLost30 yds-111DraftKingsHunter HenryTE · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 30 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 45.5: -114DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 24+ receiving yardsLost8 yds-112consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 23.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BA.J. Brown WR · NE 51+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceA.J. BrownWR · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 50.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DGreg Dulcich TE · MIA 30+ receiving yards-116Bet365Greg DulcichTE · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 43 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 29.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Washington WR · MIA 42+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceMalik WashingtonWR · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 40 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 8% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Under 41.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3+ receptions-152Bet365Rhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 2.5: +120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 5+ receptions+130Bet365Hunter HenryTE · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 4.5: -167Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BA.J. Brown WR · NE 5+ receptions+115consensus market priceA.J. BrownWR · NEReceptions
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 4.5: -153consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DGreg Dulcich TE · MIA 4+ receptions+122Bet365Greg DulcichTE · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 23% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 3.5: -156Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Washington WR · MIA 5+ receptions+115Bet365Malik WashingtonWR · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 8% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 4.5: -147Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulJaylen Wright RB · MIA 16+ rushing yards-111DraftKingsJaylen WrightRB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Quadriceps - Questionable for Week 8 vs. New England
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 15.5: -114DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IEfton Chism III WR · NE 1+ rushing yards+500Bet365Efton Chism IIIWR · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 5% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 0.5: -833Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 25+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceTreVeyon HendersonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 24.5: -127consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Willis QB · MIA 34+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceMalik WillisQB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 33.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 24+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 23.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 59+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Won, 82 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
Under 58.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IOllie Gordon II RB · MIA 64+ rushing yards-116DraftKingsOllie Gordon IIRB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Won, 69 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 17% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 63.5: -111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KCorey Kiner RB · NE 37+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceCorey KinerRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Won, 38 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
Under 36.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Washington WR · MIA 6+ rushing yards-105DraftKingsMalik WashingtonWR · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 9% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 5.5: -119DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 238+ passing yards-111DraftKingsDrake MayeQB · NEPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 199 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 237.5: -114DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
