← Props Picker, this week's games
at

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

Week 8 · Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Market line NYJ -1.5 · total 46.5

How our calls did

Final: Las Vegas Raiders 38, New York Jets 33

Nothing on this game was called before kickoff, so it has no record.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 1 Nov, 11:05 UK.

Every market we price

28 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards11
Cody White WR · LV 11+ receiving yards+120consensus market price

Cody WhiteWR · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 68% · Market 46%

Against this price: Gap +22pp

Under 10.5: -165consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 28.8, median 22
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

4v LA2026 week 7
0v BUF2026 week 6
44v NE2026 week 5
36v KC2026 week 4
4v NO2026 week 3
Jalen Nailor WR · LV 18+ receiving yards-111DraftKings

Jalen NailorWR · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 38 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -1pp

Under 17.5: -114DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 24.6, median 19
The line
17.5

His last 5, receiving yards

14v LA2026 week 7
9v BUF2026 week 6
16v NO2026 week 3
9v LAC2026 week 2
27v MIA2026 week 1
More players (9)
Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 25+ receiving yards-114DraftKings

Adonai MitchellWR · NYJReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 142 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 32% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -21pp

Under 24.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 19.6, median 16
The line
24.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v MIA2026 week 7
63v GB2026 week 2
60v TEN2026 week 1
0v BUF2025 week 18
22v NE2025 week 17
Michael Mayer TE · LV 26+ receiving yards-115DraftKings

Michael MayerTE · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 53 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 31% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 25.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 20.3, median 14
The line
25.5

His last 5, receiving yards

32v LA2026 week 7
95v BUF2026 week 6
2v NE2026 week 5
82v KC2026 week 4
32v NO2026 week 3
Mason Taylor TE · NYJ 23+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Mason TaylorTE · NYJReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 19 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 24% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -30pp

Under 22.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 14.6, median 11
The line
22.5

His last 5, receiving yards

62v MIA2026 week 7
33v NE2026 week 6
24v CLE2026 week 5
-2v TEN2026 week 1
51v MIA2025 week 14
Tre Tucker WR · LV 49+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Tre TuckerWR · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 20% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -33pp

Under 48.5: -118consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 29.7, median 23
The line
48.5

His last 5, receiving yards

103v LA2026 week 7
97v BUF2026 week 6
41v NE2026 week 5
44v KC2026 week 4
43v NO2026 week 3
Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 28+ receiving yards-112DraftKings

Ashton JeantyRB · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 64 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 19% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -34pp

Under 27.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 15.4, median 10
The line
27.5

His last 5, receiving yards

61v LA2026 week 7
36v BUF2026 week 6
50v NE2026 week 5
68v KC2026 week 4
37v NO2026 week 3
DoubtfulBreece Hall RB · NYJ 19+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Breece HallRB · NYJReceiving yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Quadriceps - Questionable for Week 8 vs. Las Vegas

DataPitch 15% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -38pp

Under 18.5: -118consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 8.3, median 4
The line
18.5

His last 5, receiving yards

23v DET2026 week 3
63v GB2026 week 2
16v TEN2026 week 1
18v NE2025 week 17
9v NO2025 week 16
Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ 64+ receiving yards-115DraftKings

Garrett WilsonWR · NYJReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 83 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 11% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -43pp

Under 63.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 31.9, median 27
The line
63.5

His last 5, receiving yards

26v MIA2026 week 7
44v NE2026 week 6
104v CLE2026 week 5
27v CHI2026 week 4
107v DET2026 week 3
Brock Bowers TE · LV 70+ receiving yards-120Bet365

Brock BowersTE · LVReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 92 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 6% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -49pp

Under 69.5: -111Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 26.7, median 21
The line
69.5

His last 5, receiving yards

73v LA2026 week 7
70v BUF2026 week 6
110v NE2026 week 5
86v KC2026 week 4
116v NO2026 week 3
Isaiah Williams WR · NYJ 5+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-01 capture; an older price is not shown

Isaiah WilliamsWR · NYJReceiving yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 72%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 16.6, median 12
The line
4.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v MIA2026 week 7
0v NE2026 week 6
16v CLE2026 week 5
73v CHI2026 week 4
21v DET2026 week 3
Receptions11
Isaiah Williams WR · NYJ 1+ receptions+145Bet365

Isaiah WilliamsWR · NYJReceptions

How it ended: Won, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 79% · Market 41%

Against this price: Gap +38pp

Under 0.5: -185Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
0.5

His last 5, receptions

0v MIA2026 week 7
0v NE2026 week 6
1v CLE2026 week 5
2v CHI2026 week 4
1v DET2026 week 3
Cody White WR · LV 2+ receptions+210consensus market price

Cody WhiteWR · LVReceptions

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 32%

Against this price: Gap +20pp

Under 1.5: -320consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v LA2026 week 7
0v BUF2026 week 6
2v NE2026 week 5
2v KC2026 week 4
1v NO2026 week 3
More players (9)
Jalen Nailor WR · LV 2+ receptions-116Bet365

Jalen NailorWR · LVReceptions

How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -10pp

Under 1.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.6, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v LA2026 week 7
1v BUF2026 week 6
1v NO2026 week 3
1v LAC2026 week 2
3v MIA2026 week 1
Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 2+ receptions-161DraftKings

Adonai MitchellWR · NYJReceptions

How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 45% · Market 62%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Under 1.5: +126DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.6, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v MIA2026 week 7
6v GB2026 week 2
3v TEN2026 week 1
0v BUF2025 week 18
3v NE2025 week 17
Michael Mayer TE · LV 3+ receptions-120Bet365

Michael MayerTE · LVReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 29% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -26pp

Under 2.5: -111Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v LA2026 week 7
7v BUF2026 week 6
1v NE2026 week 5
8v KC2026 week 4
3v NO2026 week 3
Mason Taylor TE · NYJ 3+ receptions-120Bet365

Mason TaylorTE · NYJReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 24% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -31pp

Under 2.5: -111Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.6, median 1
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

5v MIA2026 week 7
4v NE2026 week 6
3v CLE2026 week 5
2v TEN2026 week 1
5v MIA2025 week 14
DoubtfulBreece Hall RB · NYJ 3+ receptions+125Bet365

Breece HallRB · NYJReceptions

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Quadriceps - Questionable for Week 8 vs. Las Vegas

DataPitch 11% · Market 44%

Against this price: Gap -33pp

Under 2.5: -161Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1, median 1
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v DET2026 week 3
5v GB2026 week 2
2v TEN2026 week 1
2v NE2025 week 17
2v NO2025 week 16
Tre Tucker WR · LV 4+ receptions-120Bet365

Tre TuckerWR · LVReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 18% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -37pp

Under 3.5: -111Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.1, median 2
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

5v LA2026 week 7
5v BUF2026 week 6
4v NE2026 week 5
4v KC2026 week 4
4v NO2026 week 3
Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 4+ receptions-123DraftKings

Ashton JeantyRB · LVReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 15% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -40pp

Under 3.5: -104DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.8, median 2
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

8v LA2026 week 7
4v BUF2026 week 6
3v NE2026 week 5
6v KC2026 week 4
3v NO2026 week 3
Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ 6+ receptions+100DraftKings

Garrett WilsonWR · NYJReceptions

How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 7% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -43pp

Under 5.5: -128DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.6, median 2
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

2v MIA2026 week 7
4v NE2026 week 6
7v CLE2026 week 5
3v CHI2026 week 4
10v DET2026 week 3
Brock Bowers TE · LV 6+ receptions-141Bet365

Brock BowersTE · LVReceptions

How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 7% · Market 59%

Against this price: Gap -52pp

Under 5.5: +110Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.5, median 2
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

6v LA2026 week 7
4v BUF2026 week 6
8v NE2026 week 5
6v KC2026 week 4
10v NO2026 week 3
Rushing yards4
Kirk Cousins QB · LV 1+ rushing yards+105Bet365

Kirk CousinsQB · LVRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 3 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 0.5: -135Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 6.9, median 1
The line
0.5

His last 5, rushing yards

6v LA2026 week 7
0v BUF2026 week 6
0v NE2026 week 5
0v KC2026 week 4
3v NO2026 week 3
DoubtfulBreece Hall RB · NYJ 57+ rushing yards-113consensus market price

Breece HallRB · NYJRushing yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Quadriceps - Questionable for Week 8 vs. Las Vegas

DataPitch 45% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 56.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 58.2, median 52
The line
56.5

His last 5, rushing yards

32v DET2026 week 3
29v GB2026 week 2
102v TEN2026 week 1
111v NE2025 week 17
54v NO2025 week 16
More players (2)
Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 50+ rushing yards-115consensus market price

Ashton JeantyRB · LVRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 45% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 49.5: -107consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 50.7, median 46
The line
49.5

His last 5, rushing yards

15v LA2026 week 7
22v BUF2026 week 6
27v NE2026 week 5
58v KC2026 week 4
56v NO2026 week 3
Geno Smith QB · NYJ 7+ rushing yards-111DraftKings

Geno SmithQB · NYJRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 28% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -25pp

Under 6.5: -114DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 6.1, median 0
The line
6.5

His last 5, rushing yards

0v MIA2026 week 7
-1v NE2026 week 6
7v CLE2026 week 5
0v CHI2026 week 4
12v DET2026 week 3
Passing yards2
Kirk Cousins QB · LV 233+ passing yards-114DraftKings

Kirk CousinsQB · LVPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 247 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 42% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 232.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 222.5, median 216
The line
232.5

His last 5, passing yards

289v LA2026 week 7
313v BUF2026 week 6
220v NE2026 week 5
367v KC2026 week 4
227v NO2026 week 3
Geno Smith QB · NYJ 226+ passing yards-112DraftKings

Geno SmithQB · NYJPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 290 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 14% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -39pp

Under 225.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 161.8, median 157
The line
225.5

His last 5, passing yards

271v MIA2026 week 7
227v NE2026 week 6
142v CLE2026 week 5
98v CHI2026 week 4
279v DET2026 week 3

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

Around this game

Week 8 NFL player props, every gameNew York Jets season simulation and futures pricesLas Vegas Raiders season simulation and futures pricesWeek 7 resultsEvery NFL futures price on the Futures SimulatorHow the simulator works

Also from DataPitch

Futures SimulatorLock a result, re-run the season, and every price re-reads.Pregame PicksToday's fixtures, every player market we price, re-priced to your own numbers.In-Play AlertsCustomised in-play alerts on football player props: pick a player's shots, shots on target, fouls or cards, change the numbers, and the card lands in your Telegram while the match is on, priced when we hold live odds.GuidesPlain-word explainers on futures, player props, in-play alerts and the scenario tool.
Live Drive AlertsThe NFL watched live, with alerts on the markets we price in play.Upcoming

Free on Telegram

Live player alerts, about 20 seconds behind the pitch

Shots, fouls and bookings as they happen, plus the daily match cards. Join the channel, it is free.