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3 of the 11 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and all of them are New England Patriots players.
Strongest of themRhamondre StevensonRB · NE20+ receiving yards-115consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 14 Oct, 10:17 UK.
Called before kickoff: 3. Pending 3.
11 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 20+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceiving yards
DataPitch 85% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +31pp
Under 19.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WGarrett Wilson WR · NYJ 76+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceGarrett WilsonWR · NYJReceiving yards
DataPitch 9% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Under 75.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 38+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-14 capture; an older price is not shownHunter HenryTE · NEReceiving yards
DataPitch 79%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3+ receptions-160consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceptions
DataPitch 85% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
Under 2.5: +118consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WGarrett Wilson WR · NYJ 7+ receptions-104consensus market priceGarrett WilsonWR · NYJReceptions
DataPitch 5% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
Under 6.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 4+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-14 capture; an older price is not shownHunter HenryTE · NEReceptions
DataPitch 71%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 28+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NERushing yards
DataPitch 21% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 27.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 71+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NERushing yards
DataPitch 10% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
Under 70.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SGeno Smith QB · NYJ 9+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-14 capture; an older price is not shownGeno SmithQB · NYJRushing yards
DataPitch 35%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 233+ passing yards-115consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NEPassing yards
DataPitch 64% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 232.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SGeno Smith QB · NYJ 219+ passing yards-115consensus market priceGeno SmithQB · NYJPassing yards
DataPitch 21% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 218.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
