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Nothing on this game is strong enough to back tonight. Every market we price is still below, each row with the market's own price and what our read rests on.
Strongest of themJavonte WilliamsRB · DAL71+ rushing yards-113consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 14 Oct, 10:17 UK. 5 rows on this game carry a doubtful man, marked on the row and with the reason behind its tap.
20 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
FJake Ferguson TE · DAL 28+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJake FergusonTE · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 42% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 27.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PGeorge Pickens WR · DAL 68+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceGeorge PickensWR · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 41% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 67.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 47+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTucker KraftTE · GBReceiving yards
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 46.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 69+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceChristian WatsonWR · GBReceiving yards
DataPitch 40% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 68.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulJavonte Williams RB · DAL 17+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALReceiving yards
Doubtful: his receptions line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 26% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 16.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LDoubtfulCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 79+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALReceiving yards
Doubtful: Questionable: Quadriceps - Questionable for Week 6 at Green Bay
DataPitch 24% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 78.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 63+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceMatthew GoldenWR · GBReceiving yards
DataPitch 23% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 62.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FJake Ferguson TE · DAL 4+ receptions-115consensus market priceJake FergusonTE · DALReceptions
DataPitch 42% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 3.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PGeorge Pickens WR · DAL 5+ receptions-143consensus market priceGeorge PickensWR · DALReceptions
DataPitch 44% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 4.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 5+ receptions+108consensus market priceTucker KraftTE · GBReceptions
DataPitch 32% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 4.5: -139consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 5+ receptions-130consensus market priceChristian WatsonWR · GBReceptions
DataPitch 25% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 4.5: +101consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LDoubtfulCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 7+ receptions+113consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALReceptions
Doubtful: Questionable: Quadriceps - Questionable for Week 6 at Green Bay
DataPitch 15% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 6.5: -148consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulJavonte Williams RB · DAL 3+ receptions-156consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALReceptions
Doubtful: his receptions line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 24% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 2.5: +120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 5+ receptions-149consensus market priceMatthew GoldenWR · GBReceptions
DataPitch 14% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
Under 4.5: +113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulJavonte Williams RB · DAL 71+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALRushing yards
Doubtful: his receptions line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 63% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 70.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LJordan Love QB · GB 7+ rushing yards-120consensus market priceJordan LoveQB · GBRushing yards
DataPitch 57% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 6.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LMarShawn Lloyd RB · GB 40+ rushing yards-107consensus market priceMarShawn LloydRB · GBRushing yards
DataPitch 47% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 39.5: -104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PDak Prescott QB · DAL 11+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceDak PrescottQB · DALRushing yards
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 10.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LJordan Love QB · GB 265+ passing yards-114consensus market priceJordan LoveQB · GBPassing yards
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 264.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PDak Prescott QB · DAL 278+ passing yards-114consensus market priceDak PrescottQB · DALPassing yards
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 277.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
