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Nothing on this game is strong enough to back tonight. Every market we price is still below, each row with the market's own price and what our read rests on.
Strongest of themDerrick HenryRB · BAL9+ receiving yards-110consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 14 Oct, 10:17 UK.
8 rows on 2 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 9+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceDerrick HenryRB · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 40% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 8.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FZay Flowers WR · BAL 62+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceZay FlowersWR · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 39% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 61.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AMark Andrews TE · BAL 28+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceMark AndrewsTE · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 36% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 27.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BRashod Bateman WR · BAL 31+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceRashod BatemanWR · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 22% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 30.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JHarold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 39+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-14 capture; an older price is not shownHarold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceiving yards
DataPitch 73%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 90+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-14 capture; an older price is not shownDerrick HenryRB · BALRushing yards
DataPitch 52%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HJustice Hill RB · BAL 20+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-14 capture; an older price is not shownJustice HillRB · BALRushing yards
DataPitch 16%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDeshaun Watson QB · CLE 27+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-14 capture; an older price is not shownDeshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards
DataPitch 15%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
