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1 of the 28 rows we price on this game clears our bar tonight.
Strongest of themTony PollardRB · TEN46+ rushing yards-115consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 30 Sept, 14:12 UK.
Called before kickoff: 1. Pending 1.
28 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
RCalvin Ridley WR · TEN 18+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceCalvin RidleyWR · TENReceiving yards
DataPitch 68% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 17.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FZay Flowers WR · BAL 67+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceZay FlowersWR · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 52% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 66.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 8+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceDerrick HenryRB · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 52% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 7.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PTony Pollard RB · TEN 10+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTony PollardRB · TENReceiving yards
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 9.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HGunnar Helm TE · TEN 19+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceGunnar HelmTE · TENReceiving yards
DataPitch 45% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 18.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RWan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 36+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceWan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceiving yards
DataPitch 39% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 35.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AMark Andrews TE · BAL 40+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceMark AndrewsTE · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 33% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 39.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AElic Ayomanor WR · TEN 16+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownElic AyomanorWR · TENReceiving yards
DataPitch 69%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
STyjae Spears RB · TEN 14+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownTyjae SpearsRB · TENReceiving yards
DataPitch 56%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BRashod Bateman WR · BAL 29+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownRashod BatemanWR · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 42%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AElic Ayomanor WR · TEN 2+ receptions-114consensus market priceElic AyomanorWR · TENReceptions
DataPitch 63% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 1.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FZay Flowers WR · BAL 6+ receptions+120consensus market priceZay FlowersWR · BALReceptions
DataPitch 39% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 5.5: -160consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HGunnar Helm TE · TEN 3+ receptions-156consensus market priceGunnar HelmTE · TENReceptions
DataPitch 39% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 2.5: +116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AMark Andrews TE · BAL 5+ receptions-103consensus market priceMark AndrewsTE · BALReceptions
DataPitch 26% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 4.5: -125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RWan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 4+ receptions-125consensus market priceWan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceptions
DataPitch 29% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 3.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BRashod Bateman WR · BAL 3+ receptions-154consensus market priceRashod BatemanWR · BALReceptions
DataPitch 33% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 2.5: +116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
STyjae Spears RB · TEN 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownTyjae SpearsRB · TENReceptions
DataPitch 67%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RCalvin Ridley WR · TEN 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownCalvin RidleyWR · TENReceptions
DataPitch 61%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownDerrick HenryRB · BALReceptions
DataPitch 39%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PTony Pollard RB · TEN 3+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownTony PollardRB · TENReceptions
DataPitch 28%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PTony Pollard RB · TEN 46+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceTony PollardRB · TENRushing yards
DataPitch 68% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 45.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 96+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceDerrick HenryRB · BALRushing yards
DataPitch 52% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 95.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FZay Flowers WR · BAL 20+ rushing yards+1000consensus market priceZay FlowersWR · BALRushing yards
DataPitch 6% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
STyjae Spears RB · TEN 16+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceTyjae SpearsRB · TENRushing yards
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 15.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCam Ward QB · TEN 10+ rushing yards-120consensus market priceCam WardQB · TENRushing yards
DataPitch 34% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 9.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JLamar Jackson QB · BAL 38+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownLamar JacksonQB · BALRushing yards
DataPitch 28%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCam Ward QB · TEN 189+ passing yards-115consensus market priceCam WardQB · TENPassing yards
DataPitch 51% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 188.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JLamar Jackson QB · BAL 226+ passing yards-114consensus market priceLamar JacksonQB · BALPassing yards
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 225.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
