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Final: Tennessee Titans 18, Baltimore Ravens 24
Called before kickoff: 4. Won 1, lost 3.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
30 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
PTony Pollard RB · TEN 9+ receiving yardsLost2 yds-115consensus market priceTony PollardRB · TENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 8.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDoubtfulChris Moore WR · BAL 9+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceChris MooreWR · BALReceiving yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 4 vs. Tennessee
DataPitch 93% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +40pp
Under 8.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RCalvin Ridley WR · TEN 7+ receiving yards-120consensus market priceCalvin RidleyWR · TENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 13 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 90% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +35pp
Under 6.5: -107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AElic Ayomanor WR · TEN 20+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceElic AyomanorWR · TENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 22 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 19.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDoubtfulTyjae Spears RB · TEN 13+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceTyjae SpearsRB · TENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, -1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 4 at Baltimore
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 12.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 8+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceDerrick HenryRB · BALReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 7.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BRashod Bateman WR · BAL 27+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceRashod BatemanWR · BALReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 46 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 26.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HGunnar Helm TE · TEN 19+ receiving yards-120consensus market priceGunnar HelmTE · TENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 18.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AMark Andrews TE · BAL 38+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceMark AndrewsTE · BALReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 27 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 37.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RWan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 38+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceWan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 19 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 37.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BDaniel Bellinger TE · TEN 6+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-04 capture; an older price is not shownDaniel BellingerTE · TENReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 90%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BDaniel Bellinger TE · TEN 2+ receptionsLost1 reception+210consensus market priceDaniel BellingerTE · TENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 71% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap +39pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 2+ receptionsWon2 receptions+147consensus market priceDerrick HenryRB · BALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 1.5: -196consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDoubtfulChris Moore WR · BAL 1+ receptions-148consensus market priceChris MooreWR · BALReceptions
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 4 vs. Tennessee
DataPitch 95% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +35pp
Under 0.5: +106consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RCalvin Ridley WR · TEN 2+ receptions+182consensus market priceCalvin RidleyWR · TENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +33pp
Under 1.5: -250consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AElic Ayomanor WR · TEN 2+ receptions-152consensus market priceElic AyomanorWR · TENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 1.5: +115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDoubtfulTyjae Spears RB · TEN 3+ receptions+124consensus market priceTyjae SpearsRB · TENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 4 at Baltimore
DataPitch 47% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 2.5: -165consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PTony Pollard RB · TEN 2+ receptions-156consensus market priceTony PollardRB · TENReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 1.5: +117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BRashod Bateman WR · BAL 3+ receptions+130consensus market priceRashod BatemanWR · BALReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 2.5: -170consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AMark Andrews TE · BAL 4+ receptions-155consensus market priceMark AndrewsTE · BALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 3.5: +120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HGunnar Helm TE · TEN 3+ receptions-141consensus market priceGunnar HelmTE · TENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 2.5: +109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RWan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 4+ receptions-158consensus market priceWan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 3.5: +123consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PTony Pollard RB · TEN 49+ rushing yardsLost48 yds-111consensus market priceTony PollardRB · TENRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 48 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 48.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDoubtfulTyjae Spears RB · TEN 15+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceTyjae SpearsRB · TENRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 4 at Baltimore
DataPitch 49% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 14.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 99+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceDerrick HenryRB · BALRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 73 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 98.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDoubtfulLamar Jackson QB · BAL 32+ rushing yards-111consensus market priceLamar JacksonQB · BALRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 7.5 to 5.5 between the open and the close, 27% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 31.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulCam Ward QB · TEN 11+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceCam WardQB · TENRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 27 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 5.5 to 3.5 between the open and the close, 36% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 10.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HJustice Hill RB · BAL 17+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceJustice HillRB · BALRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 3 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 16.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulCam Ward QB · TEN 188+ passing yards-111consensus market priceCam WardQB · TENPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 222 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 5.5 to 3.5 between the open and the close, 36% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 187.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDoubtfulLamar Jackson QB · BAL 214+ passing yards-112consensus market priceLamar JacksonQB · BALPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 222 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 7.5 to 5.5 between the open and the close, 27% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 41% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 213.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
