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Final: New York Jets 12, Chicago Bears 23
Called before kickoff: 11. Won 9, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
25 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
LColston Loveland TE · CHI 34+ receiving yardsWon57 yds-113consensus market priceColston LovelandTE · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 57 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 89% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +36pp
Under 33.5: -101consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ORome Odunze WR · CHI 33+ receiving yardsWon94 yds-113consensus market priceRome OdunzeWR · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 94 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 32.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyle Monangai RB · CHI 6+ receiving yardsLost4 yds-115consensus market priceKyle MonangaiRB · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 71% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 5.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KCole Kmet TE · CHI 10+ receiving yardsWon13 yds-114consensus market priceCole KmetTE · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 13 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 9.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ILuther Burden III WR · CHI 47+ receiving yardsWon63 yds-114consensus market priceLuther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 63 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 46.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WIsaiah Williams WR · NYJ 23+ receiving yards-118consensus market priceIsaiah WilliamsWR · NYJReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 73 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 22.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJeremy Ruckert TE · NYJ 17+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJeremy RuckertTE · NYJReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 16.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 15+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 16 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 14.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WGarrett Wilson WR · NYJ 76+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceGarrett WilsonWR · NYJReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 27 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 75.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LColston Loveland TE · CHI 4+ receptionsWon6 receptions+100consensus market priceColston LovelandTE · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 81% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +31pp
Under 3.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KCole Kmet TE · CHI 2+ receptionsWon2 receptions+146consensus market priceCole KmetTE · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 1.5: -183consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ORome Odunze WR · CHI 3+ receptionsWon6 receptions-116consensus market priceRome OdunzeWR · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 2.5: -107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyle Monangai RB · CHI 1+ receptionsWon1 reception-230consensus market priceKyle MonangaiRB · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 80% · Market 70%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 0.5: +163consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WIsaiah Williams WR · NYJ 3+ receptions-125consensus market priceIsaiah WilliamsWR · NYJReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 2.5: -104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ILuther Burden III WR · CHI 5+ receptions+105consensus market priceLuther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 4.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJeremy Ruckert TE · NYJ 3+ receptions+115consensus market priceJeremy RuckertTE · NYJReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 2.5: -150consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 3+ receptions+140consensus market priceD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 17% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 2.5: -187consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WGarrett Wilson WR · NYJ 7+ receptions-104consensus market priceGarrett WilsonWR · NYJReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 6.5: -126consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SGeno Smith QB · NYJ 11+ rushing yardsLost0 yds-111consensus market priceGeno SmithQB · NYJRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 10.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyle Monangai RB · CHI 40+ rushing yardsWon146 yds-115consensus market priceKyle MonangaiRB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 146 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 39.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DIsaiah Davis RB · NYJ 22+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceIsaiah DavisRB · NYJRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 21.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 64+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 58 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 63.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ABraelon Allen RB · NYJ 57+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceBraelon AllenRB · NYJRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 59 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 56.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BTyson Bagent QB · CHI 15+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceTyson BagentQB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 14.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SGeno Smith QB · NYJ 228+ passing yards-113consensus market priceGeno SmithQB · NYJPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 119 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 227.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
