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Nothing on this game clears our bar tonight. Every market we price is below anyway, each row with the market's own price and what our read rests on.
Strongest of themAaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN4+ receptions+130consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 30 Sept, 14:12 UK.
6 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 20+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceiving yards
DataPitch 35%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 4+ receptions+130consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceptions
DataPitch 18% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 3.5: -167consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 65+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINRushing yards
DataPitch 93%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 15+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownKyler MurrayQB · MINRushing yards
DataPitch 77%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Willis QB · MIA 34+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownMalik WillisQB · MIARushing yards
DataPitch 65%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 206+ passing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownKyler MurrayQB · MINPassing yards
DataPitch 20%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
