at
Final: Miami Dolphins 10, Minnesota Vikings 15
Called before kickoff: 5. Won 2, lost 3.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
15 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
DGreg Dulcich TE · MIA 30+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-113consensus market priceGreg DulcichTE · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 29.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 20+ receiving yardsWon34 yds-113consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 34 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 19.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJauan Jennings WR · MIN 27+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceJauan JenningsWR · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 26.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 39+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 119 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 38.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 63+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 52 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 62.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DGreg Dulcich TE · MIA 3+ receptionsLost0 receptions-170consensus market priceGreg DulcichTE · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 63%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 2.5: +130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJauan Jennings WR · MIN 3+ receptions+101consensus market priceJauan JenningsWR · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 2.5: -132consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 4+ receptions+120consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 3.5: -158consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 5+ receptions+100consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 13 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 4.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 5+ receptions-102consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 15% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
Under 4.5: -125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 66+ rushing yardsWon94 yds-113consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 94 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 92% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +39pp
Under 65.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 22+ rushing yardsLost16 yds-114consensus market priceKyler MurrayQB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 67% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 21.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Willis QB · MIA 30+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceMalik WillisQB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 99% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +46pp
Under 29.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IOllie Gordon II RB · MIA 25+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceOllie Gordon IIRB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Won, 100 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 99% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +46pp
Under 24.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 206+ passing yards-115consensus market priceKyler MurrayQB · MINPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 247 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
Under 205.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
