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Final: Green Bay Packers 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14
Called before kickoff: 9. Won 6, lost 3.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
27 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SJonnu Smith TE · GB 7+ receiving yardsWon19 yds-114consensus market priceJonnu SmithTE · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 19 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 6.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OCade Otton TE · TB 25+ receiving yardsWon37 yds-112consensus market priceCade OttonTE · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 37 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 24.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 10+ receiving yardsWon22 yds-114consensus market priceKenny GainwellRB · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 22 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 9.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 13+ receiving yards-120consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 12.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 28+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 31 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 27.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
EEmeka Egbuka WR · TB 38+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceEmeka EgbukaWR · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 13 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 37.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 41+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceTucker KraftTE · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 42 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 40.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 68+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceChristian WatsonWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 47 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 67.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 57+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceMatthew GoldenWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 17% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 56.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SJonnu Smith TE · GB 2+ receptionsLost1 reception+170consensus market priceJonnu SmithTE · GBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 1.5: -230consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OCade Otton TE · TB 3+ receptionsWon4 receptions-157consensus market priceCade OttonTE · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 70% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 2.5: +125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 3+ receptionsWon6 receptions-122consensus market priceChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 2.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 3+ receptions+135consensus market priceKenny GainwellRB · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 2.5: -190consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
EEmeka Egbuka WR · TB 4+ receptions+109consensus market priceEmeka EgbukaWR · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 3.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 3+ receptions-117consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 2.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 4+ receptions-155consensus market priceTucker KraftTE · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 3.5: +120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 5+ receptions-143consensus market priceChristian WatsonWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 15% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
Under 4.5: +113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 5+ receptions-114consensus market priceMatthew GoldenWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 7% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
Under 4.5: -107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 56+ rushing yardsWon61 yds-114consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 61 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 91% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +38pp
Under 55.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 15+ rushing yardsLost5 yds-114consensus market priceKenny GainwellRB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 14.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LJordan Love QB · GB 5+ rushing yardsLost-8 yds-114consensus market priceJordan LoveQB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, -8 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 4.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LMarShawn Lloyd RB · GB 24+ rushing yards-106consensus market priceMarShawn LloydRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 13 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 23.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 1+ rushing yards+275consensus market priceChristian WatsonWR · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 0.5: -385consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 1+ rushing yards+240consensus market priceMatthew GoldenWR · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 0.5: -333consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JKameron Johnson WR · TB 35+ rushing yards+105consensus market priceKameron JohnsonWR · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 1% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
Under 34.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChris Brooks RB · GB 8+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-04 capture; an older price is not shownChris BrooksRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 30 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LJordan Love QB · GB 239+ passing yards-113consensus market priceJordan LoveQB · GBPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 197 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 238.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
