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Final: Denver Broncos 14, San Francisco 49ers 24
Called before kickoff: 8. Won 1, lost 7.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
28 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
TAdam Trautman TE · DEN 6+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-110consensus market priceAdam TrautmanTE · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 5.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MChristian McCaffrey RB · SF 40+ receiving yardsLost18 yds-120consensus market priceChristian McCaffreyRB · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 68% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 39.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SCourtland Sutton WR · DEN 40+ receiving yardsLost4 yds-112consensus market priceCourtland SuttonWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 39.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FTroy Franklin WR · DEN 6+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceTroy FranklinWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 89% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +37pp
Under 5.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JKyle Juszczyk RB · SF 9+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceKyle JuszczykRB · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 28 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 8.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BPat Bryant WR · DEN 23+ receiving yards-113consensus market pricePat BryantWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 47 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 22.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KGeorge Kittle TE · SF 65+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceGeorge KittleTE · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 70 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 64.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HRJ Harvey RB · DEN 22+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceRJ HarveyRB · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 68 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 21.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDeebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 35+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceDeebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 26 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 34.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Waddle WR · DEN 57+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJaylen WaddleWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 35 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 56.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMarvin Mims Jr. WR · DEN 9+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-04 capture; an older price is not shownMarvin Mims Jr.WR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 90%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KGeorge Kittle TE · SF 5+ receptionsLost4 receptions-141consensus market priceGeorge KittleTE · SFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 79% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 4.5: +111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MChristian McCaffrey RB · SF 5+ receptionsLost3 receptions-139consensus market priceChristian McCaffreyRB · SFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 76% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 4.5: +114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TAdam Trautman TE · DEN 1+ receptionsLost0 receptions-182consensus market priceAdam TrautmanTE · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 78% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 0.5: +135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SCourtland Sutton WR · DEN 4+ receptionsLost1 reception+113consensus market priceCourtland SuttonWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 3.5: -145consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMarvin Mims Jr. WR · DEN 2+ receptions+160consensus market priceMarvin Mims Jr.WR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 81% · Market 39%
Against this price: Gap +42pp
Under 1.5: -213consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FTroy Franklin WR · DEN 1+ receptions-182consensus market priceTroy FranklinWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 90% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap +25pp
Under 0.5: +144consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JKyle Juszczyk RB · SF 2+ receptions+150consensus market priceKyle JuszczykRB · SFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
Under 1.5: -198consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BPat Bryant WR · DEN 3+ receptions+118consensus market pricePat BryantWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 2.5: -155consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDeebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 4+ receptions+114consensus market priceDeebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 3.5: -150consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HRJ Harvey RB · DEN 4+ receptions-101consensus market priceRJ HarveyRB · DENReceptions
How it ended: Won, 10 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 3.5: -127consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Waddle WR · DEN 5+ receptions+100consensus market priceJaylen WaddleWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 4.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HRJ Harvey RB · DEN 16+ rushing yardsWon25 yds-115consensus market priceRJ HarveyRB · DENRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 25 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 83% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +29pp
Under 15.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
NBo Nix QB · DEN 17+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceBo NixQB · DENRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 16.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PBrock Purdy QB · SF 18+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceBrock PurdyQB · SFRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 29 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 17.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MChristian McCaffrey RB · SF 66+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceChristian McCaffreyRB · SFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 52 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 65.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
NBo Nix QB · DEN 225+ passing yards-113consensus market priceBo NixQB · DENPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 214 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 224.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PBrock Purdy QB · SF 234+ passing yards-113consensus market priceBrock PurdyQB · SFPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 218 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 233.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
