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3 of the 19 rows we price on this game clear our bar tonight, and 2 of them are Kansas City Chiefs players.
Strongest of themPatrick MahomesQB · KC236+ passing yards-114consensus market pricePrices taken Thu 24 Sept, 09:34 UK.
Called before kickoff: 3. Pending 3.
19 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 49+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceRashee RiceWR · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 48.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 52+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceTravis KelceTE · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 51.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 36+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 35.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ADe'Von Achane RB · MIA 27+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceDe'Von AchaneRB · MIAReceiving yards
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 26.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 23+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 22.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DGreg Dulcich TE · MIA 24+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownGreg DulcichTE · MIAReceiving yards
DataPitch 59%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Washington WR · MIA 40+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownMalik WashingtonWR · MIAReceiving yards
DataPitch 18%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 5+ receptions+120consensus market priceRashee RiceWR · KCReceptions
DataPitch 57% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 4.5: -158consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 5+ receptions-110consensus market priceTravis KelceTE · KCReceptions
DataPitch 40% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 4.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ADe'Von Achane RB · MIA 4+ receptions-122consensus market priceDe'Von AchaneRB · MIAReceptions
DataPitch 32% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 3.5: -107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 4+ receptions+123consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceptions
DataPitch 20% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 3.5: -160consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 4+ receptions-103consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceptions
DataPitch 24% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 3.5: -127consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Washington WR · MIA 4+ receptions-141consensus market priceMalik WashingtonWR · MIAReceptions
DataPitch 28% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 3.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DGreg Dulcich TE · MIA 3+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownGreg DulcichTE · MIAReceptions
DataPitch 56%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ADe'Von Achane RB · MIA 60+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceDe'Von AchaneRB · MIARushing yards
DataPitch 71% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 59.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Willis QB · MIA 34+ rushing yards-116consensus market priceMalik WillisQB · MIARushing yards
DataPitch 24% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 33.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 18+ rushing yards-114consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCRushing yards
DataPitch 20% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 17.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 86+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCRushing yards
DataPitch 5% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
Under 85.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 236+ passing yards-114consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCPassing yards
DataPitch 76% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
Under 235.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
