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Final: Kansas City Chiefs 24, Miami Dolphins 10
Called before kickoff: 5. Won 4, lost 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.
21 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
DGreg Dulcich TE · MIA 23+ receiving yardsWon55 yds-113consensus market priceGreg DulcichTE · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 55 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 22.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJalen Tolbert WR · MIA 30+ receiving yards+108consensus market priceJalen TolbertWR · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 53+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceTravis KelceTE · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 59 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 52.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 24+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 3 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 23.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ADe'Von Achane RB · MIA 28+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceDe'Von AchaneRB · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 27.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 39+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 38.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Washington WR · MIA 38+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceMalik WashingtonWR · MIAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 56 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 15% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 37.5: -104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 49+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-27 capture; an older price is not shownRashee RiceWR · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 88 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 5+ receptionsWon7 receptions+115consensus market priceRashee RiceWR · KCReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 4.5: -145consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DGreg Dulcich TE · MIA 3+ receptionsWon5 receptions+116consensus market priceGreg DulcichTE · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 2.5: -153consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJalen Tolbert WR · MIA 1+ receptions+165consensus market priceJalen TolbertWR · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 80% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +42pp
Under 0.5: -220consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 5+ receptions-110consensus market priceTravis KelceTE · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 4.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 4+ receptions+115consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 3.5: -149consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 4+ receptions-109consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 3.5: -119consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ADe'Von Achane RB · MIA 4+ receptions-125consensus market priceDe'Von AchaneRB · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 3.5: -102consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Washington WR · MIA 4+ receptions-135consensus market priceMalik WashingtonWR · MIAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 3.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ADe'Von Achane RB · MIA 60+ rushing yardsLost17 yds-113consensus market priceDe'Von AchaneRB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 71% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 59.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WMalik Willis QB · MIA 34+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceMalik WillisQB · MIARushing yards
How it ended: Won, 56 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 33.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 16+ rushing yards-115consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 15.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 83+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 70 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 6% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -47pp
Under 82.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 236+ passing yardsWon246 yds-111consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 246 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 75% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +22pp
Under 235.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
