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4 of the 23 rows we price on this game clear our bar tonight, and they split evenly between the two sides.
Strongest of themDarnell WashingtonTE · PIT2+ receptions-102consensus market pricePrices taken Thu 24 Sept, 09:34 UK.
Called before kickoff: 4. Pending 4.
23 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 22+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINReceiving yards
DataPitch 58% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 21.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDK Metcalf WR · PIT 53+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceDK MetcalfWR · PITReceiving yards
DataPitch 58% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 52.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 77+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceiving yards
DataPitch 54% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 76.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 54+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceiving yards
DataPitch 49% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 53.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FPat Freiermuth TE · PIT 35+ receiving yards-117consensus market pricePat FreiermuthTE · PITReceiving yards
DataPitch 38% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 34.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDarnell Washington TE · PIT 12+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownDarnell WashingtonTE · PITReceiving yards
DataPitch 70%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 7+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownDrew SampleTE · CINReceiving yards
DataPitch 61%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 22+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJaylen WarrenRB · PITReceiving yards
DataPitch 31%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDarnell Washington TE · PIT 2+ receptions-102consensus market priceDarnell WashingtonTE · PITReceptions
DataPitch 63% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 1.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 2+ receptions+160consensus market priceDrew SampleTE · CINReceptions
DataPitch 44% · Market 39%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 4+ receptions+105consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINReceptions
DataPitch 50% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 3.5: -136consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 7+ receptions-123consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceptions
DataPitch 51% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 6.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDK Metcalf WR · PIT 5+ receptions+104consensus market priceDK MetcalfWR · PITReceptions
DataPitch 42% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 4.5: -136consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 5+ receptions+105consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceptions
DataPitch 41% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 4.5: -140consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FPat Freiermuth TE · PIT 4+ receptions-148consensus market pricePat FreiermuthTE · PITReceptions
DataPitch 30% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 3.5: +111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 4+ receptions-102consensus market priceJaylen WarrenRB · PITReceptions
DataPitch 17% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 3.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 64+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINRushing yards
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 63.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 51+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJaylen WarrenRB · PITRushing yards
DataPitch 72%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PSamaje Perine RB · CIN 17+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownSamaje PerineRB · CINRushing yards
DataPitch 59%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RAaron Rodgers QB · PIT 1+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownAaron RodgersQB · PITRushing yards
DataPitch 47%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BJoe Burrow QB · CIN 8+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJoe BurrowQB · CINRushing yards
DataPitch 20%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RAaron Rodgers QB · PIT 221+ passing yards-114consensus market priceAaron RodgersQB · PITPassing yards
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 220.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BJoe Burrow QB · CIN 254+ passing yards-114consensus market priceJoe BurrowQB · CINPassing yards
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 253.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
