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Final: Cincinnati Bengals 27, Pittsburgh Steelers 30
Called before kickoff: 13. Won 6, lost 7.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.
24 rows on 3 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 7+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-110consensus market priceDrew SampleTE · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 6.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 76+ receiving yardsWon98 yds-113consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 98 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 67% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 75.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 22+ receiving yardsLost8 yds-113consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 21.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDK Metcalf WR · PIT 53+ receiving yardsLost31 yds-113consensus market priceDK MetcalfWR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 31 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 52.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMichael Pittman Jr. WR · PIT 27+ receiving yardsLost16 yds-114consensus market priceMichael Pittman Jr.WR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 26.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDarnell Washington TE · PIT 16+ receiving yardsWon67 yds-110consensus market priceDarnell WashingtonTE · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 67 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 15.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 55+ receiving yardsWon90 yds-115consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 90 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 54.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WRoman Wilson WR · PIT 23+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceRoman WilsonWR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 60 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 22.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FPat Freiermuth TE · PIT 37+ receiving yards-120consensus market pricePat FreiermuthTE · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 30 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 36.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulJaylen Warren RB · PIT 26+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceJaylen WarrenRB · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 49 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Shoulder - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. Cincinnati
DataPitch 23% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 25.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 4+ receptionsLost2 receptions+105consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 3.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 2+ receptionsLost1 reception+145consensus market priceDrew SampleTE · CINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 1.5: -190consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 7+ receptionsWon9 receptions-123consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 9 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 6.5: -104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 5+ receptionsWon6 receptions+125consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 4.5: -160consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDarnell Washington TE · PIT 2+ receptionsWon3 receptions-132consensus market priceDarnell WashingtonTE · PITReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 1.5: +102consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDK Metcalf WR · PIT 5+ receptions+100consensus market priceDK MetcalfWR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 4.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMichael Pittman Jr. WR · PIT 3+ receptions-154consensus market priceMichael Pittman Jr.WR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 2.5: +117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WRoman Wilson WR · PIT 3+ receptions+112consensus market priceRoman WilsonWR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 2.5: -144consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FPat Freiermuth TE · PIT 4+ receptions-150consensus market pricePat FreiermuthTE · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 3.5: +115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulJaylen Warren RB · PIT 4+ receptions-155consensus market priceJaylen WarrenRB · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Shoulder - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. Cincinnati
DataPitch 15% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
Under 3.5: +124consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PSamaje Perine RB · CIN 15+ rushing yardsLost9 yds-109consensus market priceSamaje PerineRB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 14.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulJaylen Warren RB · PIT 58+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceJaylen WarrenRB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 127 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Shoulder - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. Cincinnati
DataPitch 93% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +40pp
Under 57.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 64+ rushing yards-111consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 61 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 63.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTravis Homer RB · PIT 14+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-27 capture; an older price is not shownTravis HomerRB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
