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Final: Atlanta Falcons 35, Green Bay Packers 14
Called before kickoff: 2. Won 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Thu 24 Sept, 09:34 UK.
29 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SJonnu Smith TE · GB 8+ receiving yardsWon16 yds-118consensus market priceJonnu SmithTE · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 16 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 7.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SKyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL 36+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceKyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 35.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJahan Dotson WR · ATL 20+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJahan DotsonWR · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 19.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RBijan Robinson RB · ATL 40+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceBijan RobinsonRB · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 19 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 39.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LDrake London WR · ATL 66+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceDrake LondonWR · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 194 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 65.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 47+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTucker KraftTE · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 26 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 23% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 46.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 70+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceChristian WatsonWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 96 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 69.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 55+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceMatthew GoldenWR · GBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 100 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
Under 54.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HAustin Hooper TE · ATL 10+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownAustin HooperTE · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 64%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SJonnu Smith TE · GB 2+ receptionsWon2 receptions+143consensus market priceJonnu SmithTE · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 1.5: -185consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SKyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL 4+ receptions-115consensus market priceKyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 3.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJahan Dotson WR · ATL 2+ receptions-157consensus market priceJahan DotsonWR · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 1.5: +120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RBijan Robinson RB · ATL 5+ receptions-124consensus market priceBijan RobinsonRB · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 4.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 4+ receptions-155consensus market priceTucker KraftTE · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 3.5: +124consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LDrake London WR · ATL 6+ receptions+100consensus market priceDrake LondonWR · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Won, 9 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 15% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
Under 5.5: -128consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GMatthew Golden WR · GB 5+ receptions+104consensus market priceMatthew GoldenWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 5% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
Under 4.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WChristian Watson WR · GB 5+ receptions-143consensus market priceChristian WatsonWR · GBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 10% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
Under 4.5: +111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HAustin Hooper TE · ATL 1+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownAustin HooperTE · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Ungradeable, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 80%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LMarShawn Lloyd RB · GB 26+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceMarShawn LloydRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 25.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTucker Kraft TE · GB 20+ rushing yards+1700consensus market priceTucker KraftTE · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 4% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LJordan Love QB · GB 9+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceJordan LoveQB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 8.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChris Brooks RB · GB 15+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceChris BrooksRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 14.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
JMichael Penix Jr. QB · ATL 4+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceMichael Penix Jr.QB · ATLRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, -2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 3.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RBijan Robinson RB · ATL 79+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceBijan RobinsonRB · ATLRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 194 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 78.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RDoubtfulBrian Robinson RB · ATL 23+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceBrian RobinsonRB · ATLRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 50 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Questionable for Week 3 at Green Bay
DataPitch 24% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 22.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JKaleb Johnson RB · GB 35+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceKaleb JohnsonRB · GBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
Under 34.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMichael Penix Jr. QB · ATL 206+ passing yards-111consensus market priceMichael Penix Jr.QB · ATLPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 256 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 205.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LJordan Love QB · GB 227+ passing yards-114consensus market priceJordan LoveQB · GBPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 312 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 226.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RCooper Rush QB · ATL 200+ passing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownCooper RushQB · ATLPassing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 26%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
