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Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 3, New England Patriots 20
Called before kickoff: 7. Won 1, lost 6.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
28 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 18+ receiving yardsLost3 yds-115consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 3 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
Under 17.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDK Metcalf WR · PIT 60+ receiving yardsLost27 yds+100consensus market priceDK MetcalfWR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 27 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 59.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRomeo Doubs WR · NE 40+ receiving yardsWon96 yds-115consensus market priceRomeo DoubsWR · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 96 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 39.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HMack Hollins WR · NE 36+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceMack HollinsWR · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 86% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +32pp
Under 35.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRico Dowdle RB · PIT 15+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceRico DowdleRB · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 22 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 14.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 40+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceHunter HenryTE · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 40 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 39.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMichael Pittman Jr. WR · PIT 35+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceMichael Pittman Jr.WR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 34.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FPat Freiermuth TE · PIT 32+ receiving yards-111consensus market pricePat FreiermuthTE · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 32 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 31.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 19+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceJaylen WarrenRB · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 34 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 18.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WRoman Wilson WR · PIT 34+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceRoman WilsonWR · PITReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 28 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 33.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDK Metcalf WR · PIT 5+ receptionsLost4 receptions-103consensus market priceDK MetcalfWR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 4.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3+ receptionsLost1 reception-145consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 70% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 2.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HMack Hollins WR · NE 4+ receptions+125consensus market priceMack HollinsWR · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 76% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +32pp
Under 3.5: -160consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 4+ receptions+108consensus market priceHunter HenryTE · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 3.5: -138consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRomeo Doubs WR · NE 4+ receptions+105consensus market priceRomeo DoubsWR · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 3.5: -136consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRico Dowdle RB · PIT 3+ receptions-105consensus market priceRico DowdleRB · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 2.5: -122consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMichael Pittman Jr. WR · PIT 4+ receptions-130consensus market priceMichael Pittman Jr.WR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 3.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FPat Freiermuth TE · PIT 4+ receptions+108consensus market pricePat FreiermuthTE · PITReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 3.5: -140consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 4+ receptions+132consensus market priceJaylen WarrenRB · PITReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 3.5: -180consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WRoman Wilson WR · PIT 3+ receptions-140consensus market priceRoman WilsonWR · PITReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 2.5: +112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJaylen Warren RB · PIT 44+ rushing yardsLost43 yds-114consensus market priceJaylen WarrenRB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 43 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 43.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRico Dowdle RB · PIT 33+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceRico DowdleRB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 22 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 32.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RAaron Rodgers QB · PIT 1+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceAaron RodgersQB · PITRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 0.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 36+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceTreVeyon HendersonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Won, 76 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 35.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 49+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 43 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 48.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 28+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 23% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 27.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 225+ passing yardsLost208 yds-112consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NEPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 208 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 224.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RAaron Rodgers QB · PIT 213+ passing yards-114consensus market priceAaron RodgersQB · PITPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 187 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 212.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
