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Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

Week 2 · Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET · Market line TEN +7 · total 39.5

How our calls did

Final: Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20

Called before kickoff: 9. Won 5, lost 4.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.

Every market we price

26 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards39
Dallas Goedert TE · PHI 39+ receiving yardsLost4 yds-111consensus market price

Dallas GoedertTE · PHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 84% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +31pp

Under 38.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 81, median 75
The line
38.5

His last 5, receiving yards

77v WAS2026 week 1
33v SF2025 week 19
8v BUF2025 week 17
32v WAS2025 week 16
70v LV2025 week 15
Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 11+ receiving yardsWon11 yds-117consensus market price

Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 11 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 83% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +29pp

Under 10.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 34.5, median 30
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

-3v WAS2026 week 1
25v SF2025 week 19
0v BUF2025 week 17
0v WAS2025 week 16
14v LV2025 week 15
More players (7)
DeVonta Smith WR · PHI 61+ receiving yardsWon117 yds-112consensus market price

DeVonta SmithWR · PHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 117 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 72% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +19pp

Under 60.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 93.4, median 87
The line
60.5

His last 5, receiving yards

53v WAS2026 week 1
70v SF2025 week 19
52v WAS2025 week 18
25v BUF2025 week 17
42v WAS2025 week 16
Calvin Ridley WR · TEN 18+ receiving yards-118consensus market price

Calvin RidleyWR · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 35 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 69% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 17.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 37.4, median 31
The line
17.5

His last 5, receiving yards

13v HOU2025 week 11
18v LV2025 week 6
131v ARI2025 week 5
30v HOU2025 week 4
27v IND2025 week 3
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 10+ receiving yards-111consensus market price

Tony PollardRB · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 56% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 9.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17, median 12
The line
9.5

His last 5, receiving yards

-1v NYJ2026 week 1
17v JAX2025 week 18
10v NO2025 week 17
0v KC2025 week 16
8v SF2025 week 15
Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 17+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Tyjae SpearsRB · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 29 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 50% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 16.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 22, median 17
The line
16.5

His last 5, receiving yards

12v NYJ2026 week 1
9v JAX2025 week 18
-1v NO2025 week 17
53v KC2025 week 16
2v SF2025 week 15
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 23+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Gunnar HelmTE · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 13 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 39% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -14pp

Under 22.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 22.2, median 17
The line
22.5

His last 5, receiving yards

28v NYJ2026 week 1
1v NO2025 week 17
9v KC2025 week 16
49v SF2025 week 15
8v CLE2025 week 14
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 38+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 37% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -16pp

Under 37.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 34.2, median 27
The line
37.5

His last 5, receiving yards

38v NYJ2026 week 1
113v LV2025 week 17
19v MIN2025 week 16
54v WAS2025 week 15
34v NE2025 week 13
Daniel Bellinger TE · TEN 3+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shown

Daniel BellingerTE · TENReceiving yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 88%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 38, median 31
The line
2.5

His last 5, receiving yards

7v NYJ2026 week 1
38v DAL2025 week 18
11v LV2025 week 17
35v WAS2025 week 15
0v DET2025 week 12
Receptions49
Dallas Goedert TE · PHI 4+ receptionsLost1 reception-127consensus market price

Dallas GoedertTE · PHIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 91% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap +35pp

Under 3.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 7.7, median 7
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

4v WAS2026 week 1
4v SF2025 week 19
3v BUF2025 week 17
3v WAS2025 week 16
6v LV2025 week 15
Daniel Bellinger TE · TEN 2+ receptionsLost0 receptions+177consensus market price

Daniel BellingerTE · TENReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 70% · Market 36%

Against this price: Gap +34pp

Under 1.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.9, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v NYJ2026 week 1
2v DAL2025 week 18
2v LV2025 week 17
3v WAS2025 week 15
0v DET2025 week 12
More players (7)
Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 2+ receptionsLost1 reception-175consensus market price

Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 85% · Market 64%

Against this price: Gap +21pp

Under 1.5: +136consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.9, median 4
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v WAS2026 week 1
3v SF2025 week 19
0v BUF2025 week 17
0v WAS2025 week 16
2v LV2025 week 15
DeVonta Smith WR · PHI 5+ receptionsWon10 receptions-137consensus market price

DeVonta SmithWR · PHIReceptions

How it ended: Won, 10 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 73% · Market 58%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 4.5: +106consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.7, median 6
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

3v WAS2026 week 1
8v SF2025 week 19
3v WAS2025 week 18
2v BUF2025 week 17
6v WAS2025 week 16
Calvin Ridley WR · TEN 2+ receptions-124consensus market price

Calvin RidleyWR · TENReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 64% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Under 1.5: -105consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.4, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v HOU2025 week 11
1v LV2025 week 6
5v ARI2025 week 5
2v HOU2025 week 4
1v IND2025 week 3
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 2+ receptions-109consensus market price

Tony PollardRB · TENReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 55% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 1.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.1, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v NYJ2026 week 1
3v JAX2025 week 18
2v NO2025 week 17
0v KC2025 week 16
1v SF2025 week 15
Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 3+ receptions-125consensus market price

Tyjae SpearsRB · TENReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 47% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 2.5: -105consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.8, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v NYJ2026 week 1
7v JAX2025 week 18
1v NO2025 week 17
5v KC2025 week 16
2v SF2025 week 15
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 3+ receptions-176consensus market price

Gunnar HelmTE · TENReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 41% · Market 64%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 2.5: +124consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.4, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

4v NYJ2026 week 1
1v NO2025 week 17
2v KC2025 week 16
4v SF2025 week 15
1v CLE2025 week 14
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 5+ receptions+115consensus market price

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 19% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -28pp

Under 4.5: -148consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.8, median 2
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

5v NYJ2026 week 1
11v LV2025 week 17
3v MIN2025 week 16
5v WAS2025 week 15
7v NE2025 week 13
Rushing yards16
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 42+ rushing yardsWon64 yds-113consensus market price

Tony PollardRB · TENRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 64 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 80% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +27pp

Under 41.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 76.7, median 71
The line
41.5

His last 5, rushing yards

35v NYJ2026 week 1
48v JAX2025 week 18
85v NO2025 week 17
102v KC2025 week 16
104v SF2025 week 15
Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 18+ rushing yards-113consensus market price

Tyjae SpearsRB · TENRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 41 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 47% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 17.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 22.7, median 16
The line
17.5

His last 5, rushing yards

12v NYJ2026 week 1
18v JAX2025 week 18
2v NO2025 week 17
52v KC2025 week 16
34v SF2025 week 15
More players (4)
Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 81+ rushing yards-115consensus market price

Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 35% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 80.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 70, median 64
The line
80.5

His last 5, rushing yards

83v WAS2026 week 1
106v SF2025 week 19
68v BUF2025 week 17
132v WAS2025 week 16
78v LV2025 week 15
Cam Ward QB · TEN 12+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Cam WardQB · TENRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 32% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -21pp

Under 11.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 10.8, median 5
The line
11.5

His last 5, rushing yards

21v NYJ2026 week 1
11v JAX2025 week 18
10v NO2025 week 17
9v KC2025 week 16
2v SF2025 week 15
Jalen Hurts QB · PHI 30+ rushing yards-112consensus market price

Jalen HurtsQB · PHIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 21% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -32pp

Under 29.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 17.3, median 11
The line
29.5

His last 5, rushing yards

46v WAS2026 week 1
14v SF2025 week 19
5v BUF2025 week 17
40v WAS2025 week 16
39v LV2025 week 15
Tank Bigsby RB · PHI 10+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shown

Tank BigsbyRB · PHIRushing yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 33 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 66%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 25.6, median 18
The line
9.5

His last 5, rushing yards

3v WAS2026 week 1
19v SF2025 week 19
75v WAS2025 week 18
7v BUF2025 week 17
37v WAS2025 week 16
Passing yards12
Jalen Hurts QB · PHI 207+ passing yardsWon264 yds-111consensus market price

Jalen HurtsQB · PHIPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 264 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 75% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +22pp

Under 206.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 263.6, median 258
The line
206.5

His last 5, passing yards

182v WAS2026 week 1
167v SF2025 week 19
108v BUF2025 week 17
178v WAS2025 week 16
171v LV2025 week 15
Cam Ward QB · TEN 187+ passing yards-115consensus market price

Cam WardQB · TENPassing yards

How it ended: Lost, 183 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 48% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 186.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 189.1, median 184
The line
186.5

His last 5, passing yards

127v NYJ2026 week 1
52v JAX2025 week 18
228v NO2025 week 17
212v KC2025 week 16
170v SF2025 week 15

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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