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New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams

Week 2 · Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · Market line LA -7 · total 47.5

How our calls did

Final: New York Giants 6, Los Angeles Rams 28

Called before kickoff: 2. Won 2.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.

Every market we price

25 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards9
DoubtfulPuka Nacua WR · LA 85+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Puka NacuaWR · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hip - Did Not Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 vs. N.Y. Giants

DataPitch 67% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +14pp

Under 84.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 113.6, median 107
The line
84.5

His last 5, receiving yards

74v SF2026 week 1
165v SEA2025 week 21
56v CHI2025 week 20
111v CAR2025 week 19
76v ARI2025 week 18
Davante Adams WR · LA 55+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Davante AdamsWR · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 195 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 54.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 65.6, median 59
The line
54.5

His last 5, receiving yards

26v SF2026 week 1
89v SEA2025 week 21
24v CHI2025 week 20
72v CAR2025 week 19
71v DET2025 week 15
More players (7)
Kyren Williams RB · LA 13+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 12 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 51% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -2pp

Under 12.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17.3, median 13
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

24v SF2026 week 1
22v SEA2025 week 21
30v CHI2025 week 20
18v CAR2025 week 19
21v ARI2025 week 18

His other lines in this market

25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 36%+180book price at this line
Cam Skattebo RB · NYG 12+ receiving yards-118consensus market price

Cam SkatteboRB · NYGReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 19 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 42% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -12pp

Under 11.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 13.4, median 9
The line
11.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v DAL2026 week 1
18v PHI2025 week 8
34v DEN2025 week 7
12v PHI2025 week 6
45v NO2025 week 5

His other lines in this market

15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 35% · Market 49%+105book price at this line
Malik Nabers WR · NYG 66+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Malik NabersWR · NYGReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 11% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -42pp

Under 65.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 29.1, median 22
The line
65.5

His last 5, receiving yards

69v DAL2026 week 1
20v LAC2025 week 4
13v KC2025 week 3
167v DAL2025 week 2
71v WAS2025 week 1
Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 46+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 33 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 10% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -43pp

Under 45.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17.4, median 11
The line
45.5

His last 5, receiving yards

78v DAL2026 week 1
32v PIT2025 week 18
27v GB2025 week 17
0v NE2025 week 16
25v PIT2025 week 14
Darnell Mooney WR · NYG 10+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shown

Darnell MooneyWR · NYGReceiving yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 48 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 59%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 21.8, median 15
The line
9.5

His last 5, receiving yards

27v DAL2026 week 1
20v NO2025 week 18
35v LA2025 week 17
24v ARI2025 week 16
35v TB2025 week 15
Colby Parkinson TE · LA 27+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shown

Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 56%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 36.2, median 30
The line
26.5

His last 5, receiving yards

6v SF2026 week 1
62v SEA2025 week 21
56v CHI2025 week 20
34v CAR2025 week 19
36v ARI2025 week 18
Terrance Ferguson TE · LA 21+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shown

Terrance FergusonTE · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 54 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 46%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 27, median 18
The line
20.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v SF2026 week 1
0v SEA2025 week 21
19v CHI2025 week 20
54v ATL2025 week 17
33v SEA2025 week 16
Receptions9
DoubtfulPuka Nacua WR · LA 7+ receptions-130consensus market price

Puka NacuaWR · LAReceptions

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hip - Did Not Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 vs. N.Y. Giants

DataPitch 65% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 6.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 8.1, median 8
The line
6.5

His last 5, receptions

5v SF2026 week 1
9v SEA2025 week 21
5v CHI2025 week 20
10v CAR2025 week 19
10v ARI2025 week 18
Darnell Mooney WR · NYG 1+ receptions-222consensus market price

Darnell MooneyWR · NYGReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 71% · Market 69%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.5, median 1
The line
0.5

His last 5, receptions

2v DAL2026 week 1
3v NO2025 week 18
2v LA2025 week 17
2v ARI2025 week 16
3v TB2025 week 15
More players (7)
Colby Parkinson TE · LA 4+ receptions+124consensus market price

Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 45% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap +0pp

Under 3.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.5, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

1v SF2026 week 1
3v SEA2025 week 21
3v CHI2025 week 20
2v CAR2025 week 19
4v ARI2025 week 18
Kyren Williams RB · LA 3+ receptions+136consensus market price

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 36% · Market 42%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 2.5: -180consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.2, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v SF2026 week 1
2v SEA2025 week 21
4v CHI2025 week 20
2v CAR2025 week 19
3v ARI2025 week 18
Davante Adams WR · LA 5+ receptions+105consensus market price

Davante AdamsWR · LAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 8 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 40% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 4.5: -131consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.2, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

3v SF2026 week 1
4v SEA2025 week 21
2v CHI2025 week 20
5v CAR2025 week 19
4v DET2025 week 15
Terrance Ferguson TE · LA 2+ receptions-126consensus market price

Terrance FergusonTE · LAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap -12pp

Under 1.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.6, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v SF2026 week 1
0v SEA2025 week 21
1v CHI2025 week 20
2v ATL2025 week 17
3v SEA2025 week 16
Cam Skattebo RB · NYG 2+ receptions-150consensus market price

Cam SkatteboRB · NYGReceptions

How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 43% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Under 1.5: +115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.7, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v DAL2026 week 1
1v PHI2025 week 8
3v DEN2025 week 7
2v PHI2025 week 6
6v NO2025 week 5
Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 5+ receptions-105consensus market price

Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 7% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap -44pp

Under 4.5: -125consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.7, median 1
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

8v DAL2026 week 1
2v PIT2025 week 18
3v GB2025 week 17
0v NE2025 week 16
4v PIT2025 week 14
Malik Nabers WR · NYG 6+ receptions-116consensus market price

Malik NabersWR · NYGReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 4% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -50pp

Under 5.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

6v DAL2026 week 1
2v LAC2025 week 4
2v KC2025 week 3
9v DAL2025 week 2
5v WAS2025 week 1
Rushing yards26
Kyren Williams RB · LA 62+ rushing yardsWon85 yds-112consensus market price

Kyren WilliamsRB · LARushing yards

How it ended: Won, 85 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 70% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +17pp

Under 61.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 90.9, median 84
The line
61.5

His last 5, rushing yards

41v SF2026 week 1
39v SEA2025 week 21
87v CHI2025 week 20
57v CAR2025 week 19
60v ARI2025 week 18
Blake Corum RB · LA 46+ rushing yardsWon79 yds-113consensus market price

Blake CorumRB · LARushing yards

How it ended: Won, 79 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 63% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +10pp

Under 45.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 66.6, median 59
The line
45.5

His last 5, rushing yards

54v SF2026 week 1
55v SEA2025 week 21
19v CHI2025 week 20
45v CAR2025 week 19
59v ARI2025 week 18
More players (4)
DoubtfulJaxson Dart QB · NYG 32+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Jaxson DartQB · NYGRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 9.5 to 6.5 between the open and the close, 32% at consensus: the market is pricing him down

DataPitch 27% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -26pp

Under 31.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 23, median 15
The line
31.5

His last 5, rushing yards

54v DAL2026 week 1
32v DAL2025 week 18
48v LV2025 week 17
7v MIN2025 week 16
63v WAS2025 week 15
Cam Skattebo RB · NYG 50+ rushing yards-120consensus market price

Cam SkatteboRB · NYGRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 36 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 25% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -30pp

Under 49.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 34.5, median 27
The line
49.5

His last 5, rushing yards

81v DAL2026 week 1
12v PHI2025 week 8
60v DEN2025 week 7
98v PHI2025 week 6
59v NO2025 week 5
Devin Singletary RB · NYG 16+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shown

Devin SingletaryRB · NYGRushing yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 57%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 25.9, median 19
The line
15.5

His last 5, rushing yards

16v DAL2026 week 1
26v DAL2025 week 18
45v LV2025 week 17
47v MIN2025 week 16
13v WAS2025 week 15
DoubtfulPuka Nacua WR · LA 1+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shown

Puka NacuaWR · LARushing yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hip - Did Not Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 vs. N.Y. Giants

DataPitch 42%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 8, median 0
The line
0.5

His last 5, rushing yards

0v SF2026 week 1
4v SEA2025 week 21
6v CHI2025 week 20
14v CAR2025 week 19
24v ARI2025 week 18
Passing yards1
DoubtfulJaxson Dart QB · NYG 214+ passing yards-114consensus market price

Jaxson DartQB · NYGPassing yards

How it ended: Lost, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 9.5 to 6.5 between the open and the close, 32% at consensus: the market is pricing him down

DataPitch 37% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -16pp

Under 213.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 196.8, median 192
The line
213.5

His last 5, passing yards

229v DAL2026 week 1
219v DAL2025 week 18
188v LV2025 week 17
13v MIN2025 week 16
238v WAS2025 week 15

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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