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New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams

Week 2 · Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · Market line LA -7 · total 48.5

Our read on this game

1 of the 15 rows we price on this game clears our bar tonight.

Strongest of themPuka NacuaWR · LA94+ receiving yards-116consensus market price

Prices taken Tue 15 Sept, 14:25 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 1. Pending 1.

15 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards17
Puka Nacua WR · LA 94+ receiving yards-116consensus market price

Puka NacuaWR · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 60% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +6pp

Under 93.5: -116consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 112.6, median 106
The line
93.5

His last 5, receiving yards

165v SEA2025 week 21
56v CHI2025 week 20
111v CAR2025 week 19
76v ARI2025 week 18
47v ATL2025 week 17
Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 42+ receiving yards-108consensus market price

Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGReceiving yards

DataPitch 14% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -38pp

Under 41.5: -108consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 19.1, median 12
The line
41.5

His last 5, receiving yards

32v PIT2025 week 18
27v GB2025 week 17
0v NE2025 week 16
25v PIT2025 week 14
95v CIN2025 week 13
More players (5)
Colby Parkinson TE · LA 23+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 62%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 35.9, median 30
The line
22.5

His last 5, receiving yards

62v SEA2025 week 21
56v CHI2025 week 20
34v CAR2025 week 19
36v ARI2025 week 18
53v ATL2025 week 17
Davante Adams WR · LA 54+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Davante AdamsWR · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 54%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 65, median 58
The line
53.5

His last 5, receiving yards

89v SEA2025 week 21
24v CHI2025 week 20
72v CAR2025 week 19
71v DET2025 week 15
29v ARI2025 week 14
Kyren Williams RB · LA 14+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 48%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17.2, median 13
The line
13.5

His last 5, receiving yards

22v SEA2025 week 21
30v CHI2025 week 20
18v CAR2025 week 19
21v ARI2025 week 18
38v ATL2025 week 17
Cameron Skattebo RB · NYG 13+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Cameron SkatteboRB · NYGReceiving yards

DataPitch 44%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 15.1, median 10
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

18v PHI2025 week 8
34v DEN2025 week 7
12v PHI2025 week 6
45v NO2025 week 5
11v LAC2025 week 4
Malik Nabers WR · NYG 60+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Malik NabersWR · NYGReceiving yards

DataPitch 17%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 32, median 24
The line
59.5

His last 5, receiving yards

20v LAC2025 week 4
13v KC2025 week 3
167v DAL2025 week 2
71v WAS2025 week 1
64v PHI2024 week 18
Receptions3
Cameron Skattebo RB · NYG 2+ receptions-182consensus market price

Cameron SkatteboRB · NYGReceptions

DataPitch 48% · Market 65%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.8, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v PHI2025 week 8
3v DEN2025 week 7
2v PHI2025 week 6
6v NO2025 week 5
2v LAC2025 week 4
Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 5+ receptions+120consensus market price

Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGReceptions

DataPitch 10% · Market 46%

Against this price: Gap -36pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 1
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

2v PIT2025 week 18
3v GB2025 week 17
0v NE2025 week 16
4v PIT2025 week 14
5v CIN2025 week 13
More players (1)
Malik Nabers WR · NYG 5+ receptions-147consensus market price

Malik NabersWR · NYGReceptions

DataPitch 11% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap -49pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.1, median 2
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

2v LAC2025 week 4
2v KC2025 week 3
9v DAL2025 week 2
5v WAS2025 week 1
5v PHI2024 week 18
Rushing yards3
Kyren Williams RB · LA 58+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Kyren WilliamsRB · LARushing yards

DataPitch 75%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 92.1, median 86
The line
57.5

His last 5, rushing yards

39v SEA2025 week 21
87v CHI2025 week 20
57v CAR2025 week 19
60v ARI2025 week 18
92v ATL2025 week 17
Jaxson Dart QB · NYG 39+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Jaxson DartQB · NYGRushing yards

DataPitch 20%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 22.6, median 14
The line
38.5

His last 5, rushing yards

32v DAL2025 week 18
48v LV2025 week 17
7v MIN2025 week 16
63v WAS2025 week 15
20v NE2025 week 13
More players (1)
Cameron Skattebo RB · NYG 57+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Cameron SkatteboRB · NYGRushing yards

DataPitch 19%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 34.1, median 27
The line
56.5

His last 5, rushing yards

12v PHI2025 week 8
60v DEN2025 week 7
98v PHI2025 week 6
59v NO2025 week 5
79v LAC2025 week 4
Passing yards2
Jaxson Dart QB · NYG 195+ passing yards-116consensus market price

Jaxson DartQB · NYGPassing yards

DataPitch 49% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -5pp

Under 194.5: -116consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 198, median 193
The line
194.5

His last 5, passing yards

219v DAL2025 week 18
188v LV2025 week 17
13v MIN2025 week 16
238v WAS2025 week 15
130v NE2025 week 13
Matthew Stafford QB · LA 260+ passing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Matthew StaffordQB · LAPassing yards

DataPitch 56%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 276, median 270
The line
259.5

His last 5, passing yards

365v SEA2025 week 21
229v CHI2025 week 20
295v CAR2025 week 19
252v ARI2025 week 18
248v ATL2025 week 17

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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