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Final: Cleveland Browns 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19
Called before kickoff: 7. Won 5, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
24 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
JHarold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 34+ receiving yardsWon54 yds-113consensus market priceHarold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 54 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 68% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 33.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJerry Jeudy WR · CLE 30+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-111consensus market priceJerry JeudyWR · CLEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 29.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
JQuinshon Judkins RB · CLE 12+ receiving yardsWon27 yds-115consensus market priceQuinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 27 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 11.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ODoubtfulCade Otton TE · TB 28+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceCade OttonTE · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 38 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his receptions line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 27.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 13+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceKenny GainwellRB · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 12.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDoubtfulJalen McMillan WR · TB 25+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceJalen McMillanWR · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Knee - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 vs. Cleveland
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 24.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 17+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 16.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 38+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 46 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 37.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
EEmeka Egbuka WR · TB 53+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceEmeka EgbukaWR · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 52.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JHarold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 4+ receptionsWon5 receptions-142consensus market priceHarold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 3.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3+ receptionsLost0 receptions-113consensus market priceJerry JeudyWR · CLEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 2.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JQuinshon Judkins RB · CLE 3+ receptionsWon5 receptions+140consensus market priceQuinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 2.5: -183consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ODoubtfulCade Otton TE · TB 3+ receptions-160consensus market priceCade OttonTE · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his receptions line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 60% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 2.5: +120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDoubtfulJalen McMillan WR · TB 3+ receptions+140consensus market priceJalen McMillanWR · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Knee - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 vs. Cleveland
DataPitch 30% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 2.5: -187consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 2+ receptions-182consensus market priceKenny GainwellRB · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 1.5: +140consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 3+ receptions+101consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 2.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 4+ receptions-130consensus market priceChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 3.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
EEmeka Egbuka WR · TB 4+ receptions-160consensus market priceEmeka EgbukaWR · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 3.5: +125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 65+ rushing yardsWon89 yds-120consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 89 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 89% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +34pp
Under 64.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 27+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceKenny GainwellRB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 26.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MBaker Mayfield QB · TB 17+ rushing yards-111consensus market priceBaker MayfieldQB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 29 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 16.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JQuinshon Judkins RB · CLE 50+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceQuinshon JudkinsRB · CLERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 23% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 49.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDeshaun Watson QB · CLE 23+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceDeshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 22 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 17% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 22.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MBaker Mayfield QB · TB 217+ passing yards-113consensus market priceBaker MayfieldQB · TBPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 182 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 216.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
