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Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Week 2 · Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET · Market line ATL +1.5 · total 43.5

Our read on this game

Nothing on this game clears our bar tonight. Every market we price is below anyway, each row with the market's own price and what our read rests on.

Strongest of themJalen CokerWR · CAR4+ receptions-137consensus market price

Prices taken Tue 15 Sept, 14:25 UK.

Every market we price

10 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards4
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 59+ receiving yards-110consensus market price

Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 29% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 58.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 44.8, median 38
The line
58.5

His last 5, receiving yards

81v LA2025 week 19
85v TB2025 week 18
5v SEA2025 week 17
73v TB2025 week 16
25v NO2025 week 15
Bijan Robinson RB · ATL 37+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Bijan RobinsonRB · ATLReceiving yards

DataPitch 49%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 41.4, median 36
The line
36.5

His last 5, receiving yards

10v NO2025 week 18
34v LA2025 week 17
92v ARI2025 week 16
82v TB2025 week 15
8v SEA2025 week 14
More players (2)
Jalen Coker WR · CAR 47+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Jalen CokerWR · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 43%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 47.1, median 41
The line
46.5

His last 5, receiving yards

134v LA2025 week 19
47v TB2025 week 18
16v SEA2025 week 17
47v TB2025 week 16
60v NO2025 week 15
Drake London WR · ATL 55+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Drake LondonWR · ATLReceiving yards

DataPitch 42%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 53.7, median 47
The line
54.5

His last 5, receiving yards

78v NO2025 week 18
4v LA2025 week 17
27v ARI2025 week 16
119v CAR2025 week 11
104v IND2025 week 10
Receptions2
Jalen Coker WR · CAR 4+ receptions-137consensus market price

Jalen CokerWR · CARReceptions

DataPitch 43% · Market 58%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 3.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.5, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

9v LA2025 week 19
6v TB2025 week 18
2v SEA2025 week 17
3v TB2025 week 16
4v NO2025 week 15
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 5+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARReceptions

DataPitch 21%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3, median 3
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

5v LA2025 week 19
4v TB2025 week 18
1v SEA2025 week 17
6v TB2025 week 16
2v NO2025 week 15
Rushing yards3
Bryce Young QB · CAR 15+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Bryce YoungQB · CARRushing yards

DataPitch 47%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 19.5, median 13
The line
14.5

His last 5, rushing yards

24v LA2025 week 19
-1v TB2025 week 18
27v SEA2025 week 17
20v TB2025 week 16
49v NO2025 week 15
Bijan Robinson RB · ATL 81+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Bijan RobinsonRB · ATLRushing yards

DataPitch 46%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 83.4, median 76
The line
80.5

His last 5, rushing yards

33v NO2025 week 18
195v LA2025 week 17
76v ARI2025 week 16
93v TB2025 week 15
86v SEA2025 week 14
More players (1)
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 53+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Chuba HubbardRB · CARRushing yards

DataPitch 20%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 32.9, median 26
The line
52.5

His last 5, rushing yards

46v LA2025 week 19
10v TB2025 week 18
12v SEA2025 week 17
27v TB2025 week 16
29v NO2025 week 15
Passing yards1
Bryce Young QB · CAR 216+ passing yards-125consensus market price

Bryce YoungQB · CARPassing yards

DataPitch 28% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap -28pp

Under 215.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 183.3, median 178
The line
215.5

His last 5, passing yards

250v LA2025 week 19
266v TB2025 week 18
40v SEA2025 week 17
174v TB2025 week 16
154v NO2025 week 15

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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