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21 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 57% · Market 54% · Gap +3pp
Under 92.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 109.3, median 102. The line is 92.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 51% · Market 54% · Gap -2pp
Under 49.5: -115 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 58.1, median 51. The line is 49.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 46% · Market 54% · Gap -9pp
Under 40.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 42.6, median 37. The line is 40.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 19% · Market 54% · Gap -35pp
Under 58.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 34, median 26. The line is 58.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. NacuaWR · LA | ||||
| D. AdamsWR · LA | ||||
| C. McCaffreyRB · SF | ||||
| M. EvansWR · SF |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 60% · Market 46% · Gap +14pp
Under 2.5: -160 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.5, median 3. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 69% · Market 61% · Gap +8pp
Under 3.5: +115 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 5.4, median 5. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 52% · Market 47% · Gap +6pp
Under 7.5: -150 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 8.1, median 8. The line is 7.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 52% · Market 51% · Gap +1pp
Under 4.5: -124 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 5.1, median 5. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 56% · Market 59% · Gap -3pp
Under 2.5: +109 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.4, median 3. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 57% · Market 60% · Gap -3pp
Under 1.5: +115 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.3, median 2. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 35% · Market 50% · Gap -15pp
Under 4.5: -128 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.8, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 40% · Market 61% · Gap -21pp
Under 1.5: +120 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.5, median 1. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 26% · Market 57% · Gap -31pp
Under 3.5: +100 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.5, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby ParkinsonTE · LA | ||||
| George KittleTE · SF | ||||
| Puka NacuaWR · LA | ||||
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | ||||
| Deebo SamuelWR · SF | ||||
| Kyren WilliamsRB · LA | ||||
| Davante AdamsWR · LA | ||||
| Terrance FergusonTE · LA | ||||
| Mike EvansWR · SF |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 61% · Market 53% · Gap +8pp
Under 59.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 72.9, median 68. The line is 59.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 47% · Market 44% · Gap +2pp
Under 0.5: -180 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 3.8, median 0. The line is 0.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53% · Gap -1pp
Under 37.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 43.9, median 39. The line is 37.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53% · Gap -2pp
Under 56.5: -115 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 61.4, median 57. The line is 56.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 41% · Market 54% · Gap -12pp
Under 17.5: -111 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 18, median 15. The line is 17.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 52%
Our simulated rushing yards: average 5.7, median 1. The line is 0.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
| Player | 25+ | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | ||||
| Blake CorumRB · LA | ||||
| Kyren WilliamsRB · LA | ||||
| Brock PurdyQB · SF |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 50% · Market 54% · Gap -4pp
Under 244.5: -115 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 250.9, median 244. The line is 244.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53% · Gap -10pp
Under 265.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 258.3, median 252. The line is 265.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 240+ | 250+ | 260+ | 270+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock PurdyQB · SF | ||||
| Matthew StaffordQB · LA |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
