at
16 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 41% · Market 54% · Gap -13pp
Under 19.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 20.9, median 15. The line is 19.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 23% · Market 54% · Gap -31pp
Under 29.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 19.1, median 13. The line is 29.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 18% · Market 54% · Gap -37pp
Under 62.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 36.2, median 29. The line is 62.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 20+ | 25+ | 40+ | 50+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. JeantyRB · LV | · | · | · | |
| D. AchaneRB · MIA | ||||
| B. BowersTE · LV | · |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 56% · Market 51% · Gap +5pp
Under 1.5: -125 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.3, median 2. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 63% · Market 64% · Gap -1pp
Under 1.5: +130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.7, median 2. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 42% · Market 47% · Gap -5pp
Under 2.5: -155 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.6, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 56% · Market 62% · Gap -6pp
Under 1.5: +115 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 41% · Market 53% · Gap -12pp
Under 2.5: -115 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.5, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 33% · Market 52% · Gap -19pp
Under 3.5: -122 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.9, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 59% · Gap -25pp
Under 2.5: +111 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 16% · Market 49% · Gap -33pp
Under 4.5: -141 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.4, median 2. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 20% · Market 58% · Gap -38pp
Under 5.5: +104 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.5, median 3. The line is 5.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack BechWR · LV | · | · | · | |
| Michael MayerTE · LV | ||||
| Ashton JeantyRB · LV | · | · | · | |
| Jalen NailorWR · LV | ||||
| Greg DulcichTE · MIA | ||||
| Tre TuckerWR · LV | ||||
| Malik WashingtonWR · MIA | ||||
| Devon AchaneRB · MIA | ||||
| Brock BowersTE · LV | · |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 66% · Market 52% · Gap +14pp
Under 50.5: -120 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 70.1, median 64. The line is 50.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53% · Gap -1pp
Under 69.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 77.8, median 72. The line is 69.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 23% · Market 54% · Gap -30pp
Under 36.5: -115 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 24.5, median 19. The line is 36.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon AchaneRB · MIA | ||||
| Malik WillisQB · MIA |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 38% · Market 53% · Gap -16pp
Under 215.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 198.7, median 192. The line is 215.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
