at
21 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 40% · Market 54% · Gap -15pp
Under 53.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 51.9, median 41. The line is 53.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 24% · Market 54% · Gap -30pp
Under 52.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 35.5, median 29. The line is 52.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 19% · Market 54% · Gap -35pp
Under 76.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 47, median 39. The line is 76.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. WatsonWR · GB | ||||
| T. KraftTE · GB | ||||
| J. JeffersonWR · MIN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 38% · Market 44% · Gap -5pp
Under 2.5: -165 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.3, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 37% · Market 55% · Gap -17pp
Under 2.5: -110 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.3, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 27% · Market 44% · Gap -18pp
Under 4.5: -165 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.3, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 30% · Market 51% · Gap -21pp
Under 3.5: -125 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.7, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53% · Gap -23pp
Under 3.5: -115 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.7, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 21% · Market 50% · Gap -29pp
Under 3.5: -130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 22% · Market 52% · Gap -30pp
Under 3.5: -125 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 33% · Market 63% · Gap -30pp
Under 3.5: +128 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.9, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 19% · Market 60% · Gap -40pp
Under 5.5: +113 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.5, median 3. The line is 5.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jauan JenningsWR · MIN | ||||
| Aaron JonesRB · MIN | ||||
| Tucker KraftTE · GB | ||||
| Jayden ReedWR · GB | ||||
| T.J. HockensonTE · MIN | ||||
| Matthew GoldenWR · GB | ||||
| Jordan AddisonWR · MIN | ||||
| Christian WatsonWR · GB | ||||
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 85% · Market 54% · Gap +31pp
Under 29.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 58.8, median 54. The line is 29.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 57% · Market 53% · Gap +4pp
Under 52.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 63.1, median 58. The line is 52.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 50% · Market 53% · Gap -3pp
Under 22.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 27.8, median 22. The line is 22.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 52% · Gap -18pp
Under 10.5: -116 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 10, median 6. The line is 10.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 32% · Market 54% · Gap -22pp
Under 43.5: -113 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 36.9, median 31. The line is 43.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 10% · Market 54% · Gap -43pp
Under 51.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 24, median 19. The line is 51.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 0% · Market 53% · Gap -53pp
Under 43.5: -116 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 1.7, median 0. The line is 43.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
| Player | 25+ | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron JonesRB · MIN | ||||
| Kyler MurrayQB · MIN | ||||
| Jordan LoveQB · GB | ||||
| Jordan MasonRB · MIN | ||||
| MarShawn LloydRB · GB |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53% · Gap -23pp
Under 238.5: -113 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 205.3, median 199. The line is 238.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 18% · Market 53% · Gap -35pp
Under 221.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 168.1, median 162. The line is 221.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 220+ | 230+ | 240+ | 250+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan LoveQB · GB | ||||
| Kyler MurrayQB · MIN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
