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22 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 46% · Market 54% · Gap -8pp
Under 19.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 23.6, median 17. The line is 19.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 35% · Market 54% · Gap -19pp
Under 10.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 10.1, median 6. The line is 10.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 33% · Market 54% · Gap -21pp
Under 67.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 56.2, median 48. The line is 67.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 29% · Market 54% · Gap -25pp
Under 32.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 24.7, median 19. The line is 32.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 24% · Market 54% · Gap -30pp
Under 74.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 51, median 42. The line is 74.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. WilliamsRB · DAL | ||||
| G. PickensWR · DAL | ||||
| J. FergusonTE · DAL | ||||
| C. LambWR · DAL |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 71% · Market 48% · Gap +23pp
Under 1.5: -137 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.1, median 3. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 84% · Market 69% · Gap +15pp
Under 0.5: +145 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.6, median 2. The line is 0.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 56% · Market 43% · Gap +14pp
Under 2.5: -126 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.4, median 3. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 45% · Market 47% · Gap -2pp
Under 2.5: -151 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.7, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 33% · Market 48% · Gap -15pp
Under 3.5: -150 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.9, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 51% · Gap -17pp
Under 3.5: -128 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 20% · Market 46% · Gap -26pp
Under 5.5: -155 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.6, median 3. The line is 5.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 62% · Gap -27pp
Under 4.5: +120 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.8, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 37% · Market 65% · Gap -27pp
Under 1.5: +129 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.4, median 1. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 14% · Market 47% · Gap -33pp
Under 6.5: -145 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.6, median 3. The line is 6.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL | · | · | · | |
| Cameron SkatteboRB · NYG | ||||
| Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG | ||||
| Jake FergusonTE · DAL | ||||
| Malik NabersWR · NYG | ||||
| George PickensWR · DAL | ||||
| Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL | ||||
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 57% · Market 53% · Gap +4pp
Under 73.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 85.9, median 80. The line is 73.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 54% · Market 54% · Gap +0pp
Under 29.5: -115 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 38.9, median 32. The line is 29.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 51% · Market 54% · Gap -2pp
Under 49.5: -110 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 56.5, median 50. The line is 49.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 50% · Market 54% · Gap -3pp
Under 7.5: -113 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 11.9, median 8. The line is 7.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 76%
Our simulated rushing yards: average 29, median 24. The line is 12.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
| Player | 25+ | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL | · | |||
| Jaxson DartQB · NYG | ||||
| Cameron SkatteboRB · NYG | ||||
| Dak PrescottQB · DAL |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53% · Gap -6pp
Under 260.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 261.5, median 256. The line is 260.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53% · Gap -11pp
Under 217.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 211.1, median 203. The line is 217.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 220+ | 230+ | 240+ | 250+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak PrescottQB · DAL | ||||
| Jaxson DartQB · NYG |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
