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17 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 55% · Market 54% · Gap +1pp
Under 9.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 17.1, median 11. The line is 9.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 54% · Gap -20pp
Under 45.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 39.3, median 33. The line is 45.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 26% · Market 54% · Gap -28pp
Under 48.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 34.5, median 27. The line is 48.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. JudkinsRB · CLE | ||||
| H. Fannin Jr.TE · CLE | ||||
| B. Thomas Jr.WR · JAX |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53% · Gap -1pp
Under 3.5: -114 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4, median 4. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 54% · Market 57% · Gap -4pp
Under 1.5: +100 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 41% · Market 45% · Gap -4pp
Under 4.5: -160 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.3, median 4. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 39% · Market 45% · Gap -6pp
Under 4.5: -165 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.2, median 4. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 44% · Market 50% · Gap -6pp
Under 3.5: -130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.5, median 3. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 43% · Market 60% · Gap -17pp
Under 2.5: +123 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.5, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 38% · Market 62% · Gap -25pp
Under 2.5: +124 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.3, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi MeyersWR · JAX | ||||
| Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE | ||||
| Parker WashingtonWR · JAX | ||||
| Harold FanninTE · CLE | ||||
| Brenton StrangeTE · JAX | ||||
| Jerry JeudyWR · CLE | ||||
| Brian ThomasWR · JAX |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 30% · Market 14% · Gap +16pp
Under 0.5: -1000 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 2.9, median 0. The line is 0.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 54% · Market 54% · Gap +0pp
Under 33.5: -112 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 41.4, median 36. The line is 33.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 44% · Market 53% · Gap -9pp
Under 17.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 19.9, median 15. The line is 17.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 37% · Market 53% · Gap -16pp
Under 59.5: -117 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 54.3, median 49. The line is 59.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 31% · Market 54% · Gap -23pp
Under 16.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 13.6, median 10. The line is 16.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 8% · Market 53% · Gap -45pp
Under 50.5: -115 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 21.9, median 17. The line is 50.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 25+ | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAX | ||||
| Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE | ||||
| Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE | ||||
| Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | ||||
| Bhayshul TutenRB · JAX |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53% · Gap -11pp
Under 238.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 230.2, median 224. The line is 238.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
