← Props Picker, this week's games
at

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 1 · Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET · Market line JAX -8.5 · total 40.5

How our calls did

Final: Cleveland Browns 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 34

Called before kickoff: 5. Won 2, lost 3.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 13 Sept, 13:34 UK.

Every market we price

24 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards28
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 10+ receiving yardsWon17 yds-113price shown when this board was published

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 17 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 67% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +14pp

Under 9.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 21.2, median 16
The line
9.5

His last 5, receiving yards

29v BUF2025 week 16
-4v CHI2025 week 15
58v TEN2025 week 14
18v SF2025 week 13
0v LV2025 week 12
Travis Hunter WR · JAX 11+ receiving yardsLost8 yds-135price shown when this board was published

Travis HunterWR · JAXReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 69% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap +12pp

Under 10.5: -115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 29, median 22
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

101v LA2025 week 7
15v SEA2025 week 6
64v KC2025 week 5
42v SF2025 week 4
21v HOU2025 week 3
More players (6)
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 30+ receiving yards-115price shown when this board was published

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 26 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 29.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 39.8, median 35
The line
29.5

His last 5, receiving yards

17v CIN2025 week 18
54v PIT2025 week 17
12v BUF2025 week 16
22v CHI2025 week 15
76v TEN2025 week 14
Harold Fannin TE · CLE 37+ receiving yards-120price shown when this board was published

Harold FanninTE · CLEReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 36.5: -110price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 47.8, median 42
The line
36.5

His last 5, receiving yards

30v PIT2025 week 17
34v BUF2025 week 16
48v CHI2025 week 15
114v TEN2025 week 14
43v SF2025 week 13
Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 38+ receiving yards-114price shown when this board was published

Jakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 40 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -1pp

Under 37.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 44.9, median 39
The line
37.5

His last 5, receiving yards

12v BUF2025 week 19
44v TEN2025 week 18
39v IND2025 week 17
45v DEN2025 week 16
71v NYJ2025 week 15
Parker Washington WR · JAX 54+ receiving yards-115price shown when this board was published

Parker WashingtonWR · JAXReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 83 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 48% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 53.5: -111price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 58.7, median 51
The line
53.5

His last 5, receiving yards

107v BUF2025 week 19
87v TEN2025 week 18
115v IND2025 week 17
145v DEN2025 week 16
53v NYJ2025 week 15
Brenton Strange TE · JAX 36+ receiving yards-115price shown when this board was published

Brenton StrangeTE · JAXReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 39% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 35.5: -115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 33.6, median 26.5
The line
35.5

His last 5, receiving yards

9v BUF2025 week 19
52v TEN2025 week 18
54v IND2025 week 17
39v DEN2025 week 16
26v NYJ2025 week 15
Brian Thomas WR · JAX 39+ receiving yards-113price shown when this board was published

Brian ThomasWR · JAXReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 40 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 30% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 38.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 29.5, median 23
The line
38.5

His last 5, receiving yards

21v BUF2025 week 19
49v TEN2025 week 18
39v IND2025 week 17
18v DEN2025 week 16
66v NYJ2025 week 15
Receptions38
Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2+ receptionsLost1 reception+110price shown when this board was published

Travis HunterWR · JAXReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 65% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap +17pp

Under 1.5: -185price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.6, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

8v LA2025 week 7
4v SEA2025 week 6
3v KC2025 week 5
3v SF2025 week 4
1v HOU2025 week 3
Harold Fannin TE · CLE 5+ receptionsLost2 receptions+124price shown when this board was published

Harold FanninTE · CLEReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 53% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 4.5: -164price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 5.1, median 5
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

2v PIT2025 week 17
4v BUF2025 week 16
7v CHI2025 week 15
8v TEN2025 week 14
3v SF2025 week 13
More players (6)
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 2+ receptionsWon2 receptions-140price shown when this board was published

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 66% · Market 58%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 1.5: +105price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.8, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

5v BUF2025 week 16
3v CHI2025 week 15
1v TEN2025 week 14
3v SF2025 week 13
0v LV2025 week 12
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3+ receptions-164price shown when this board was published

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 56% · Market 62%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 2.5: +125price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.1, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v CIN2025 week 18
5v PIT2025 week 17
3v BUF2025 week 16
2v CHI2025 week 15
3v TEN2025 week 14
Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 4+ receptions-114price shown when this board was published

Jakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 3.5: -115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.5, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

1v BUF2025 week 19
5v TEN2025 week 18
6v IND2025 week 17
4v DEN2025 week 16
5v NYJ2025 week 15
Parker Washington WR · JAX 5+ receptions+115price shown when this board was published

Parker WashingtonWR · JAXReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 32% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 4.5: -150price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.7, median 3
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

7v BUF2025 week 19
5v TEN2025 week 18
8v IND2025 week 17
6v DEN2025 week 16
3v NYJ2025 week 15
Brenton Strange TE · JAX 4+ receptions+100price shown when this board was published

Brenton StrangeTE · JAXReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 35% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 3.5: -131price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

2v BUF2025 week 19
6v TEN2025 week 18
3v IND2025 week 17
5v DEN2025 week 16
1v NYJ2025 week 15
Brian Thomas WR · JAX 3+ receptions-165price shown when this board was published

Brian ThomasWR · JAXReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 31% · Market 62%

Against this price: Gap -31pp

Under 2.5: +127price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v BUF2025 week 19
3v TEN2025 week 18
4v IND2025 week 17
2v DEN2025 week 16
4v NYJ2025 week 15
Rushing yards7
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 1+ rushing yards+625price shown when this board was published

Jerry JeudyWR · CLERushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 11% · Market 14%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 0.5: -1000price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 1.5, median 0
The line
0.5

His last 5, rushing yards

5v CIN2025 week 18
0v PIT2025 week 17
0v BUF2025 week 16
0v CHI2025 week 15
0v TEN2025 week 14
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 38+ rushing yards-113price shown when this board was published

Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 40% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 37.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 36.7, median 30
The line
37.5

His last 5, rushing yards

65v PHI2025 week 18
63v PHI2025 week 16
52v MIN2025 week 14
41v DEN2025 week 13
79v MIA2025 week 11
More players (5)
Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX 18+ rushing yards-111price shown when this board was published

Trevor LawrenceQB · JAXRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 3 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 39% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -14pp

Under 17.5: -117price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 17.8, median 13
The line
17.5

His last 5, rushing yards

31v BUF2025 week 19
11v TEN2025 week 18
26v IND2025 week 17
20v DEN2025 week 16
51v NYJ2025 week 15
Deshaun Watson QB · CLE 17+ rushing yards-114price shown when this board was published

Deshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards

How it ended: Won, 38 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 20% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -33pp

Under 16.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 9.6, median 3
The line
16.5

His last 5, rushing yards

0v CIN2024 week 7
17v PHI2024 week 6
14v WAS2024 week 5
32v LV2024 week 4
26v NYG2024 week 3
Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 47+ rushing yards-113price shown when this board was published

Bhayshul TutenRB · JAXRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 66 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 14% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -39pp

Under 46.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 22, median 15
The line
46.5

His last 5, rushing yards

51v BUF2025 week 19
23v TEN2025 week 18
7v NYJ2025 week 15
5v IND2025 week 14
17v TEN2025 week 13
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 57+ rushing yards-113price shown when this board was published

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLERushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 33 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 12% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -41pp

Under 56.5: -113price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 28.2, median 22
The line
56.5

His last 5, rushing yards

22v BUF2025 week 16
21v CHI2025 week 15
26v TEN2025 week 14
91v SF2025 week 13
47v LV2025 week 12
Dylan Sampson RB · CLE 7+ rushing yardsno price held

Dylan SampsonRB · CLERushing yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 42%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 9.6, median 4
The line
6.5

His last 5, rushing yards

32v CIN2025 week 18
27v PIT2025 week 17
4v TEN2025 week 14
23v SF2025 week 13
23v LV2025 week 12
Passing yards1
Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX 234+ passing yards-114price shown when this board was published

Trevor LawrenceQB · JAXPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 245 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 47% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 233.5: -111price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 232.5, median 227
The line
233.5

His last 5, passing yards

205v BUF2025 week 19
239v TEN2025 week 18
249v IND2025 week 17
265v DEN2025 week 16
330v NYJ2025 week 15

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

Around this game

Week 1 NFL player props, every gameJacksonville Jaguars season simulation and futures pricesCleveland Browns season simulation and futures pricesEvery NFL futures price on the Futures SimulatorHow the simulator works

Also from DataPitch

Futures SimulatorLock a result, re-run the season, and every price re-reads.Pregame PicksToday's fixtures, every player market we price, re-priced to your own numbers.In-Play AlertsCustomised in-play alerts on football player props: pick a player's shots, shots on target, fouls or cards, change the numbers, and the card lands in your Telegram while the match is on, priced when we hold live odds.GuidesPlain-word explainers on futures, player props, in-play alerts and the scenario tool.
Live Drive AlertsThe NFL watched live, with alerts on the markets we price in play.Upcoming