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18 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 53% · Market 54% · Gap -1pp
Under 56.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 66, median 59. The line is 56.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 44% · Market 54% · Gap -10pp
Under 58.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 60.5, median 52. The line is 58.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 37% · Market 54% · Gap -17pp
Under 54.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 48.9, median 42. The line is 54.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 36% · Market 54% · Gap -18pp
Under 50.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 44.9, median 37. The line is 50.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. LovelandTE · CHI | ||||
| T. McMillanWR · CAR | ||||
| L. Burden IIIWR · CHI | ||||
| R. OdunzeWR · CHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 58% · Market 57% · Gap +1pp
Under 3.5: +101 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.4, median 4. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 52% · Market 52% · Gap -1pp
Under 4.5: -116 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 5, median 5. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 36% · Market 43% · Gap -6pp
Under 2.5: -180 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 44% · Market 57% · Gap -13pp
Under 1.5: +102 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.7, median 1. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 54% · Gap -19pp
Under 4.5: -112 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.9, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 30% · Market 51% · Gap -21pp
Under 3.5: -125 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.7, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 32% · Market 57% · Gap -25pp
Under 4.5: +103 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.7, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 14% · Market 43% · Gap -28pp
Under 2.5: -175 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.1, median 1. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen CokerWR · CAR | ||||
| Colston LovelandTE · CHI | ||||
| Xavier LegetteWR · CAR | ||||
| Cole KmetTE · CHI | ||||
| Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR | ||||
| Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | ||||
| Luther BurdenWR · CHI | ||||
| D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 61% · Market 52% · Gap +9pp
Under 14.5: -116 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 23.9, median 19. The line is 14.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53% · Gap -13pp
Under 69.5: -113 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 66.5, median 61. The line is 69.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 28% · Market 54% · Gap -25pp
Under 19.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 15, median 11. The line is 19.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 39%
Our simulated rushing yards: average 4, median 0. The line is 0.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
| Player | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce YoungQB · CAR | ||||
| D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI | ||||
| Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53% · Gap 0pp
Under 208.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 219.2, median 214. The line is 208.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 40% · Market 54% · Gap -13pp
Under 228.5: -115 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 216.9, median 210. The line is 228.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 200+ | 210+ | 220+ | 230+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce YoungQB · CAR | ||||
| Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
