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21 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 52% · Market 54% · Gap -3pp
Under 48.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 58.5, median 50. The line is 48.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 49% · Market 54% · Gap -5pp
Under 38.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 43.8, median 38. The line is 38.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 44% · Market 54% · Gap -10pp
Under 52.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 53.3, median 47. The line is 52.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 36% · Market 54% · Gap -18pp
Under 41.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 37.1, median 30. The line is 41.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 31% · Market 54% · Gap -24pp
Under 72.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 57.5, median 51. The line is 72.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK MetcalfWR · PIT | ||||
| B. RobinsonRB · ATL | ||||
| K. Pitts Sr.TE · ATL | ||||
| M. Pittman Jr.WR · PIT | ||||
| D. LondonWR · ATL |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 51% · Market 47% · Gap +4pp
Under 4.5: -147 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 5, median 5. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 48% · Market 49% · Gap -1pp
Under 4.5: -140 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.7, median 4. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 59% · Market 64% · Gap -4pp
Under 1.5: +130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.4, median 2. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 51% · Market 57% · Gap -6pp
Under 3.5: +100 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4, median 4. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 50% · Market 59% · Gap -10pp
Under 1.5: +109 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2, median 1. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 54% · Market 64% · Gap -10pp
Under 1.5: +135 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 42% · Market 57% · Gap -15pp
Under 2.5: +101 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.6, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 24% · Market 47% · Gap -22pp
Under 4.5: -155 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.1, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 29% · Market 53% · Gap -24pp
Under 2.5: -116 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.9, median 1. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 26% · Market 55% · Gap -28pp
Under 5.5: -110 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.1, median 4. The line is 5.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle PittsTE · ATL | ||||
| Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | ||||
| Jahan DotsonWR · ATL | ||||
| DK MetcalfWR · PIT | ||||
| Rico DowdleRB · PIT | ||||
| Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT | ||||
| Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT | ||||
| Michael PittmanWR · PIT | ||||
| Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | ||||
| Drake LondonWR · ATL |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53% · Gap +15pp
Under 39.5: -115 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 59, median 53. The line is 39.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 59% · Market 54% · Gap +6pp
Under 50.5: -113 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 63.5, median 58. The line is 50.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 58% · Market 53% · Gap +5pp
Under 76.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 89.2, median 84. The line is 76.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53% · Gap -3pp
Under 0.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 5.8, median 1. The line is 0.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | ||||
| Rico DowdleRB · PIT | ||||
| Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 39% · Market 54% · Gap -15pp
Under 212.5: -115 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 197.1, median 190. The line is 212.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53% · Gap -17pp
Under 207.5: -115 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 188.3, median 183. The line is 207.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 200+ | 210+ | 220+ | 230+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersQB · PIT | ||||
| Tua TagovailoaQB · ATL |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
