49 captures so far, 2026-08-17 to 2026-09-15. Every point is de-vigged; a bookmaker point is the consensus of the books quoting this runner that day.
Settles: End of Super Bowl LXI. Market-consistent, prices as of 2026-09-15T10:29:04+00:00.
At +1400 we only get a 1.6 point gap after shrink, and once we strip out the tilt we apply to this whole market there is just 0.9 points left on the Chiefs, under our 1.5 point bar to bet. The exchange sitting on the same side as us backs up that this is more about a small modeling disagreement than a big misread on an 11 win, sixth rated team with a softer schedule but real offensive question marks.
Sim it yourself →Board run Tue Sep 15, 6:31 AM ET
