v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
T. Danaskos runs average on cards, and 2 of the 2 rows we would back are Sydney's.
87 players across every market.
Benjamin GaruccioLB · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 70% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap +12pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap +12pp
Jonny YullCAM · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Jay BarnettRB · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Ethan AlagichRM · #55Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Panagiotis KikianisLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Alexandar PopovicRCB · #41Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Rhyan GrantRB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Ryan KittoLB · #7-24ppRyan KittoLB · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Craig GoodwinLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Rhys YoulleyLDM · #36Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
AnselmoST · #87-32ppAnselmoST · #87Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -32pp
Jordan Courtney-PerkinsLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Alexandar PopovicRCB · #41Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +15pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +15pp
Panagiotis KikianisLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 48% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap +4pp
Jordan Courtney-PerkinsLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap +2pp
AnselmoST · #87Shots
DataPitch 83% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 83% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 83% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap +0pp
Ethan AlagichRM · #55Shots
DataPitch 71% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 71% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 71% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -6pp
Ryan KittoLB · #7Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Craig GoodwinLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 80% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 80% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 80% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -8pp
Jonny YullCAM · #12Shots
DataPitch 76% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 76% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 76% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -12pp
Rhyan GrantRB · #23Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Jay BarnettRB · #14Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Benjamin GaruccioLB · #17Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Rhys YoulleyLDM · #36Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -53pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -53pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -53pp
Alexandar PopovicRCB · #41Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +11pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +11pp
Jordan Courtney-PerkinsLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Ryan KittoLB · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +3pp
Jay BarnettRB · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Benjamin GaruccioLB · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Rhyan GrantRB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Panagiotis KikianisLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Jonny YullCAM · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 39% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Craig GoodwinLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 46% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -6pp
AnselmoST · #87-10ppAnselmoST · #87Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -10pp
Ethan AlagichRM · #55Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Rhys YoulleyLDM · #36Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -29pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Wataru KamijoRDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 45% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +23pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +23pp
Jordan Courtney-PerkinsLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Rhyan GrantRB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap +2pp
Craig GoodwinLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Alexandar PopovicRCB · #41To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap +0pp
Rhys YoulleyLDM · #36To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -1pp
AnselmoST · #87To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
not offered at this price
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap -4pp
Panagiotis KikianisLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -7pp
Ethan AlagichRM · #55To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Ryan KittoLB · #7-11ppRyan KittoLB · #7To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Al ToureRM · #35-11ppAl ToureRM · #35To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Jay BarnettRB · #14To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Takahiro SekineLM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -15pp
Harrison Devenish-MearesGK · #12To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Jonny YullCAM · #12To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Benjamin GaruccioLB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -18pp
Bart VriendsRCB · #3Bart VriendsRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ryan WhiteRDM · #44Ryan WhiteRDM · #44To be booked
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
AnselmoST · #87Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bart VriendsRCB · #3Bart VriendsRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jordan Courtney-PerkinsLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joshua SmitsGK · #22Joshua SmitsGK · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Harrison Devenish-MearesGK · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Al ToureRM · #35Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ryan KittoLB · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Oriola SundayST · #9Oriola SundayST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rhyan GrantRB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Benjamin GaruccioLB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Craig GoodwinLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Takahiro SekineLM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rhys YoulleyLDM · #36Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 36%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tiago QuintalCAM · #20Tiago QuintalCAM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Al ToureRM · #35Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Craig GoodwinLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Oriola SundayST · #9Oriola SundayST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
AnselmoST · #87Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ryan WhiteRDM · #44Ryan WhiteRDM · #44Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Takahiro SekineLM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jonny YullCAM · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ethan AlagichRM · #55Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Wataru KamijoRDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ryan KittoLB · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jay BarnettRB · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bart VriendsRCB · #3Bart VriendsRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Panagiotis KikianisLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sotiri PhillisLDM · #52Sotiri PhillisLDM · #52Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rhyan GrantRB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Benjamin GaruccioLB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jordan Courtney-PerkinsLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alexandar PopovicRCB · #41Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Harrison Devenish-MearesGK · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think T. Danaskos will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 44 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.84/match · Away 2.00/match
3.87/match in tight games · 3.6/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.