v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
S. Kelly runs average on cards, and 5 of the 6 rows we would back are Wellington Phoenix's.
96 players across every market.
Storm RouxRB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Rafael DuránLW · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Bill TuilomaLCB · #28Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Oliver LavaleLS · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Lucas MauragisLB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Lukas Kelly-HealdLB · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Haine EamesRCM · #6-13ppHaine EamesRCM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Kazuki NagasawaCM · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
James McGarryRCB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Chris DonnellLCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Bailey BrandtmanRS · #37Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Corban PiperST · #99Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 67% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 67% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Matthew SheridanRB · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 44% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Ali AuglahLM · #72-37ppAli AuglahLM · #72Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -37pp
Corban PiperST · #99Shots
DataPitch 97% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 97% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 97% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap +6pp
Ali AuglahLM · #72Shots
DataPitch 79% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 79% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 79% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -3pp
Oliver LavaleLS · #9Shots
DataPitch 78% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -4pp
Matthew SheridanRB · #27Shots
DataPitch 35% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Rafael DuránLW · #9-20ppRafael DuránLW · #9Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 73% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 73% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Bill TuilomaLCB · #28Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -21pp
Haine EamesRCM · #6-27ppHaine EamesRCM · #6Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Lucas MauragisLB · #5Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -27pp
Storm RouxRB · #15-27ppStorm RouxRB · #15Shots
DataPitch 21% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Lukas Kelly-HealdLB · #18Shots
DataPitch 11% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -29pp
Bailey BrandtmanRS · #37Shots
DataPitch 57% · Market 89%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -32pp
James McGarryRCB · #23Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -32pp
Chris DonnellLCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -36pp
Kazuki NagasawaCM · #25Shots
DataPitch 31% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -51pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -51pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -51pp
Bryce DukeRW · #7-86ppBryce DukeRW · #7Shots
DataPitch 2% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -86pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -86pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -86pp
Matthew SheridanRB · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
James McGarryRCB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Storm RouxRB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Lucas MauragisLB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -4pp
Bailey BrandtmanRS · #37Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Bill TuilomaLCB · #28Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Lukas Kelly-HealdLB · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Kazuki NagasawaCM · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -11pp
Oliver LavaleLS · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -15pp
Ali AuglahLM · #72-19ppAli AuglahLM · #72Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -19pp
Haine EamesRCM · #6-20ppHaine EamesRCM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Chris DonnellLCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Corban PiperST · #99Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -25pp
Rafael DuránLW · #9-28ppRafael DuránLW · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 49% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -28pp
Bryce DukeRW · #7-49ppBryce DukeRW · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -49pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -49pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Diesel HerringtonRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 36% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +11pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +11pp
Corban PiperST · #99To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +6pp
James McGarryRCB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +6pp
Max AndersonLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +6pp
Bill TuilomaLCB · #28To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Bryce DukeRW · #7To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Bailey BrandtmanRS · #37To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Lucas MauragisLB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Kazuki NagasawaCM · #25To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Storm RouxRB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Matthew SheridanRB · #27To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Oliver LavaleLS · #9To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Ali AuglahLM · #72To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -6pp
Lukas Kelly-HealdLB · #18To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Andrew RedmayneGK · #30To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Chris DonnellLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Haine EamesRCM · #6-17ppHaine EamesRCM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 8% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Lukas Kelly-HealdLB · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 41%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rafael DuránLW · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Henry GrayGK · #13Henry GrayGK · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Diesel HerringtonRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andrew RedmayneGK · #30Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James McGarryRCB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Storm RouxRB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas MauragisLB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bill TuilomaLCB · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bryce DukeRW · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew SheridanRB · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kazuki NagasawaCM · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Max AndersonLCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Corban PiperST · #99Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 28%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Max AndersonLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rafael DuránLW · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bailey BrandtmanRS · #37Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kazuki NagasawaCM · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Oliver LavaleLS · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ali AuglahLM · #72Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
N. WalkerRCM · #17N. WalkerRCM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James McGarryRCB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bill TuilomaLCB · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas MauragisLB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lukas Kelly-HealdLB · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew SheridanRB · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Haine EamesRCM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
J. MantellRM · #45J. MantellRM · #45Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Chris DonnellLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bryce DukeRW · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Henry GrayGK · #13Henry GrayGK · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Storm RouxRB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Diesel HerringtonRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Noah McCannLCB · #12Noah McCannLCB · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andrew RedmayneGK · #30Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think S. Kelly will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 11 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.09/match · Away 2.18/match
4.88/match in tight games · 3.5/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.