v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Florian Badstubner runs average on cards, and nothing on this match is strong enough to back tonight, so we are backing none of it.
64 players across every market.
The books expect about 3.5 cards.
32Marco FriedlLCB · #32Marco FriedlLCB · #32To be booked
DataPitch 29%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
48Kacper PotulskiLCB · #48Kacper PotulskiLCB · #48To be booked
DataPitch 26%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
4Stefan PoschRCB · #4Stefan PoschRCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 26%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
2Olivier DemanLB · #2Olivier DemanLB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
17Marco GrüllLM · #17Marco GrüllLM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 22%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
9Phillip TietzRS · #9Phillip TietzRS · #9To be booked
DataPitch 22%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
19Anthony CaciRM · #19Anthony CaciRM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
10Nadiem AmiriLCM · #10Nadiem AmiriLCM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
2Phillipp MweneLM · #2Phillipp MweneLM · #2To be booked
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
15Ludovit ReisRDM · #15Ludovit ReisRDM · #15To be booked
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
10Niclas FüllkrugST · #10Niclas FüllkrugST · #10To be booked
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
44Youri RegeerLDM · #44Youri RegeerLDM · #44To be booked
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
18Eren DinkçiRM · #18Eren DinkçiRM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
23Sheraldo BeckerLS · #23Sheraldo BeckerLS · #23To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
13ArthurRB · #13ArthurRB · #13To be booked
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
20Chuky San JoséCAM · #20Chuky San JoséCAM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Amos PieperRCB · #5Amos PieperRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
6Kaishu SanoCM · #6Kaishu SanoCM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
21Danny da CostaRCM · #21Danny da CostaRCM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Alexander SchwolowGK · #1Alexander SchwolowGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Karl HeinGK · #1Karl HeinGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
48Kacper PotulskiLCB · #48Kacper PotulskiLCB · #48Headed shot on target
DataPitch 32%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
9Phillip TietzRS · #9Phillip TietzRS · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 24%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
4Stefan PoschRCB · #4Stefan PoschRCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Amos PieperRCB · #5Amos PieperRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
3Fabio GruberCB · #3Fabio GruberCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
10Niclas FüllkrugST · #10Niclas FüllkrugST · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
32Marco FriedlLCB · #32Marco FriedlLCB · #32Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Alexander SchwolowGK · #1Alexander SchwolowGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Karl HeinGK · #1Karl HeinGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
21Danny da CostaRCM · #21Danny da CostaRCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
23Sheraldo BeckerLS · #23Sheraldo BeckerLS · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
18Eren DinkçiRM · #18Eren DinkçiRM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
2Olivier DemanLB · #2Olivier DemanLB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
19Anthony CaciRM · #19Anthony CaciRM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
13ArthurRB · #13ArthurRB · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
17Marco GrüllLM · #17Marco GrüllLM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
10Nadiem AmiriLCM · #10Nadiem AmiriLCM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
2Phillipp MweneLM · #2Phillipp MweneLM · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
6Kaishu SanoCM · #6Kaishu SanoCM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
15Ludovit ReisRDM · #15Ludovit ReisRDM · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
44Youri RegeerLDM · #44Youri RegeerLDM · #44Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
10Nadiem AmiriLCM · #10Nadiem AmiriLCM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 34%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
9Phillip TietzRS · #9Phillip TietzRS · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 28%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
23Sheraldo BeckerLS · #23Sheraldo BeckerLS · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
6Kaishu SanoCM · #6Kaishu SanoCM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
10Niclas FüllkrugST · #10Niclas FüllkrugST · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
17Marco GrüllLM · #17Marco GrüllLM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
19Anthony CaciRM · #19Anthony CaciRM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
3Fabio GruberCB · #3Fabio GruberCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
4Stefan PoschRCB · #4Stefan PoschRCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
20Chuky San JoséCAM · #20Chuky San JoséCAM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
2Olivier DemanLB · #2Olivier DemanLB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Amos PieperRCB · #5Amos PieperRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
21Danny da CostaRCM · #21Danny da CostaRCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
15Ludovit ReisRDM · #15Ludovit ReisRDM · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
44Youri RegeerLDM · #44Youri RegeerLDM · #44Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
2Phillipp MweneLM · #2Phillipp MweneLM · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Alexander SchwolowGK · #1Alexander SchwolowGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
48Kacper PotulskiLCB · #48Kacper PotulskiLCB · #48Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
18Eren DinkçiRM · #18Eren DinkçiRM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
32Marco FriedlLCB · #32Marco FriedlLCB · #32Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Karl HeinGK · #1Karl HeinGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
13ArthurRB · #13ArthurRB · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Florian Badstubner will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 101 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.79/match · Away 1.74/match
3.6/match in tight games · 2.96/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
