v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Bastian Dankert runs average on cards, and the 2 rows we would back lean evenly between the two sides.
140 players across every market.
Łukasz PorębaCAM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 99% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
our number here has no precedent, so we stand it down
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap +24pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap +24pp
Maximilian RohrLCB · #31Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap +3pp
Castello LukebaLCB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -4pp
Antonio NusaCM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -6pp
Rocco ReitzRCM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -9pp
W. OrbánRCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -9pp
Christopher NkunkuLW · #28Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -10pp
Lukas PinckertRCB · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Lasse GüntherLB · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -12pp
Jan GyamerahRB · #30Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -14pp
Brajan GrudaRW · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -15pp
Neil El AynaouiLCM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -20pp
David MokwaST · #42Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -22pp
Lukas PetkovRM · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -23pp
David RaumLB · #22-29ppDavid RaumLB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -29pp
Felix KeidelRDM · #43Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -30pp
Lukas PetkovRM · #25Fouls drawn
DataPitch 98% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
our number here has no precedent, so we stand it down
This morning: DataPitch 98% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap +23pp
Now: DataPitch 98% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap +23pp
Maximilian RohrLCB · #31Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -5pp
Rocco ReitzRCM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 77% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 77% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 77% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -15pp
Lukas PinckertRCB · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 50% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -15pp
Lasse GüntherLB · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Neil El AynaouiLCM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -16pp
Brajan GrudaRW · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 68% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -20pp
Castello LukebaLCB · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 30% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Christopher NkunkuLW · #28Fouls drawn
DataPitch 71% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 71% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 71% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -21pp
David RaumLB · #22-22ppDavid RaumLB · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 28% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -22pp
W. OrbánRCB · #4-27ppW. OrbánRCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -27pp
Felix KeidelRDM · #43Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -28pp
Jan GyamerahRB · #30Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -30pp
David MokwaST · #42Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -31pp
Antonio NusaCM · #7-34ppAntonio NusaCM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -34pp
Łukasz PorębaCAM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -40pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -40pp
Castello LukebaLCB · #23Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -14pp
Neil El AynaouiLCM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -20pp
David MokwaST · #42Tackles
DataPitch 0% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
David RaumLB · #22-21ppDavid RaumLB · #22Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Christopher NkunkuLW · #28Tackles
DataPitch 12% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -21pp
Lukas PetkovRM · #25Tackles
DataPitch 48% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -23pp
Antonio NusaCM · #7-23ppAntonio NusaCM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -23pp
W. OrbánRCB · #4-23ppW. OrbánRCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -23pp
Brajan GrudaRW · #10Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -25pp
Felix KeidelRDM · #43Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -29pp
Lasse GüntherLB · #21Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -33pp
Maximilian RohrLCB · #31Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -34pp
Łukasz PorębaCAM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -35pp
Rocco ReitzRCM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -39pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -39pp
Jan GyamerahRB · #30Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -42pp
Lukas PinckertRCB · #19Tackles
DataPitch 0% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -64pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -64pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -64pp
Maximilian RohrLCB · #31Shots
DataPitch 53% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap +17pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap +17pp
Lasse GüntherLB · #21Shots
DataPitch 53% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap +11pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap +11pp
David MokwaST · #42Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -2pp
Lukas PinckertRCB · #19Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -2pp
Antonio NusaCM · #7Shots
DataPitch 94% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 94% · Market 98% at 1.02 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 94% · Market 98% at 1.02 Bet365, gap -4pp
W. OrbánRCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -4pp
Brajan GrudaRW · #10Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 89% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 89% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -6pp
Rocco ReitzRCM · #20Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -13pp
Lukas PetkovRM · #25Shots
DataPitch 68% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -17pp
Jan GyamerahRB · #30Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -20pp
Christopher NkunkuLW · #28Shots
DataPitch 78% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 99% at 1.01 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 99% at 1.01 Bet365, gap -21pp
David RaumLB · #22-25ppDavid RaumLB · #22Shots
DataPitch 42% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -25pp
Felix KeidelRDM · #43Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -29pp
Neil El AynaouiLCM · #21Shots
DataPitch 57% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -31pp
Łukasz PorębaCAM · #8Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -32pp
Castello LukebaLCB · #23Shots
DataPitch 11% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -39pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -39pp
Maximilian RohrLCB · #31Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Lasse GüntherLB · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
David RaumLB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Łukasz PorębaCAM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Felix KeidelRDM · #43Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
W. OrbánRCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
David MokwaST · #42Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Jan GyamerahRB · #30Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Lukas PinckertRCB · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Castello LukebaLCB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -16pp
Rocco ReitzRCM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -25pp
Lukas PetkovRM · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -25pp
Christopher NkunkuLW · #28Shots on target
DataPitch 51% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -29pp
Antonio NusaCM · #7-29ppAntonio NusaCM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 48% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -29pp
Neil El AynaouiLCM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -29pp
Brajan GrudaRW · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 42% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -31pp
The books expect about 3 cards.
Felix KeidelRDM · #43To be booked
DataPitch 38% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +11pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +11pp
Christopher NkunkuLW · #28To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Benjamin HenrichsRB · #39To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Neil El AynaouiLCM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
W. OrbánRCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Rocco ReitzRCM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Jan GyamerahRB · #30To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Castello LukebaLCB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Antonio NusaCM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Brajan GrudaRW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Lukas PetkovRM · #25To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Łukasz PorębaCAM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -4pp
Lasse GüntherLB · #21To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
David RaumLB · #22To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Maarten VandevoordtGK · #26To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Lukas PinckertRCB · #19To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -11pp
Maximilian RohrLCB · #31To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -15pp
RômuloST · #40RômuloST · #40To be booked
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Maximilian RohrLCB · #31Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 183cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +15pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +15pp
Benjamin HenrichsRB · #39Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
David RaumLB · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Castello LukebaLCB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
gives up height in the air (184cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Jan GyamerahRB · #30Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
level in the air (184cm against a 183cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Lasse GüntherLB · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
level in the air (183cm against a 183cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Lukas PinckertRCB · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
level in the air (185cm against a 183cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Frederik SchmahlLDM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
level in the air (183cm against a 183cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Łukasz PorębaCAM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 183cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Antonio NusaCM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Felix KeidelRDM · #43Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 183cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
W. OrbánRCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
level in the air (186cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Lukas PetkovRM · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
level in the air (183cm against a 183cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Rocco ReitzRCM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Neil El AynaouiLCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
level in the air (186cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Christopher NkunkuLW · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -41pp
Brajan GrudaRW · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -48pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -48pp
RômuloST · #40RômuloST · #40Headed shot on target
DataPitch 38%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Maarten VandevoordtGK · #26Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicolas KristofGK · #20Nicolas KristofGK · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
W. OrbánRCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
David RaumLB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Neil El AynaouiLCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Castello LukebaLCB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Felix KeidelRDM · #43Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Maximilian RohrLCB · #31Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Lukas PinckertRCB · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 6 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jan GyamerahRB · #30Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Lasse GüntherLB · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Brajan GrudaRW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 31% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Maurice KrattenmacherLM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Antonio NusaCM · #7-13ppAntonio NusaCM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 23% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -13pp
Łukasz PorębaCAM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Frederik SchmahlLDM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
no shots from outside the box in the 3 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -14pp
Christopher NkunkuLW · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Rocco ReitzRCM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
no shots from outside the box in the 6 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Lukas PetkovRM · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -16pp
David MokwaST · #42Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -23pp
Benjamin HenrichsRB · #39Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -31pp
RômuloST · #40RômuloST · #40Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Maarten VandevoordtGK · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicolas KristofGK · #20Nicolas KristofGK · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Bastian Dankert will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 102 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.76/match · Away 1.89/match
3.65/match in tight games · 2.85/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.