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Your model for Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · Fri 9 Oct, 19:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

237 lines on 8 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.

Fouls committed19
Ethan NwaneriRM · #18
Marco FriedlCB · #32
More players (17)
Nico SchlotterbeckLCB · #4
Marco GrüllLAM · #17
Eren DinkçiRAM · #18
Daniel SvenssonLM · #24
Olivier DemanLCB · #2
Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22
Niclas FüllkrugST · #10
Johannes VeermanLCM · #25
Felix NmechaRCM · #8
Amos PieperRCB · #5
Jens StageRCM · #6
Ludovit ReisLM · #15
Waldemar AntonCB · #3
Youri RegeerLCM · #44
Fábio SilvaLAM · #21
Maximilian BeierRAM · #14
Serhou GuirassyST · #9
Fouls drawn19
Maximilian BeierRAM · #14
Daniel SvenssonLM · #24
More players (17)
Amos PieperRCB · #5
Eren DinkçiRAM · #18
Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22
Marco FriedlCB · #32
Serhou GuirassyST · #9
Johannes VeermanLCM · #25
Marco GrüllLAM · #17
Youri RegeerLCM · #44
Felix NmechaRCM · #8
Fábio SilvaLAM · #21
Ludovit ReisLM · #15
Waldemar AntonCB · #3
Jens StageRCM · #6
Ethan NwaneriRM · #18
Nico SchlotterbeckLCB · #4
Niclas FüllkrugST · #10
Olivier DemanLCB · #2
Tackles18
Ethan NwaneriRM · #18
Niclas FüllkrugST · #10
More players (16)
Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22
Fábio SilvaLAM · #21
Johannes VeermanLCM · #25
Nico SchlotterbeckLCB · #4
Daniel SvenssonLM · #24
Maximilian BeierRAM · #14
Felix NmechaRCM · #8
Youri RegeerLCM · #44
Waldemar AntonCB · #3
Jens StageRCM · #6
Amos PieperRCB · #5
Ludovit ReisLM · #15
Olivier DemanLCB · #2
Marco GrüllLAM · #17
Eren DinkçiRAM · #18
Marco FriedlCB · #32
Shots20
Niclas FüllkrugST · #10
Serhou GuirassyST · #9
More players (18)
Eren DinkçiRAM · #18
Marco GrüllLAM · #17
Johannes VeermanLCM · #25
Waldemar AntonCB · #3
Felix NmechaRCM · #8
Olivier DemanLCB · #2
Marco FriedlCB · #32
Maximilian BeierRAM · #14
Youri RegeerLCM · #44
Ethan NwaneriRM · #18
ArthurRM · #13
Fábio SilvaLAM · #21
Ludovit ReisLM · #15
Amos PieperRCB · #5
Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22
Daniel SvenssonLM · #24
Nico SchlotterbeckLCB · #4
Jens StageRCM · #6
Shots on target19
Olivier DemanLCB · #2
Amos PieperRCB · #5
More players (17)
Waldemar AntonCB · #3
Youri RegeerLCM · #44
Niclas FüllkrugST · #10
Serhou GuirassyST · #9
Ludovit ReisLM · #15
Marco FriedlCB · #32
Marco GrüllLAM · #17
Felix NmechaRCM · #8
Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22
Daniel SvenssonLM · #24
Nico SchlotterbeckLCB · #4
Eren DinkçiRAM · #18
Johannes VeermanLCM · #25
Ethan NwaneriRM · #18
Maximilian BeierRAM · #14
Jens StageRCM · #6
Fábio SilvaLAM · #21
To be booked322

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Nico SchlotterbeckLCB · #4
Jens StageRCM · #6
More players (20)
Olivier DemanLCB · #2
Johannes VeermanLCM · #25
Marco FriedlCB · #32
Marco GrüllLAM · #17
Waldemar AntonCB · #3
Fábio SilvaLAM · #21
Niclas FüllkrugST · #10
Serhou GuirassyST · #9
Youri RegeerLCM · #44
Amos PieperRCB · #5
Ethan NwaneriRM · #18
Maximilian BeierRAM · #14
Daniel SvenssonLM · #24
Felix NmechaRCM · #8
Eren DinkçiRAM · #18
Ludovit ReisLM · #15
Gregor KobelGK · #1
Karl HeinGK · #1
Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22
ArthurRM · #13
Headed shot on target22
Amos PieperRCB · #5
Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22
More players (20)
Felix NmechaRCM · #8
Waldemar AntonCB · #3
Marco FriedlCB · #32
Daniel SvenssonLM · #24
Nico SchlotterbeckLCB · #4
Johannes VeermanLCM · #25
Olivier DemanLCB · #2
Ethan NwaneriRM · #18
Youri RegeerLCM · #44
Niclas FüllkrugST · #10
Jens StageRCM · #6
Eren DinkçiRAM · #18
Marco GrüllLAM · #17
Ludovit ReisLM · #15
Fábio SilvaLAM · #21
Serhou GuirassyST · #9
Maximilian BeierRAM · #14
Gregor KobelGK · #1
Karl HeinGK · #1
ArthurRM · #13
Shot on target from outside the box22
Serhou GuirassyST · #9
Amos PieperRCB · #5
More players (20)
Ethan NwaneriRM · #18
Olivier DemanLCB · #2
Waldemar AntonCB · #3
Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22
Marco FriedlCB · #32
Niclas FüllkrugST · #10
Youri RegeerLCM · #44
Daniel SvenssonLM · #24
Nico SchlotterbeckLCB · #4
Jens StageRCM · #6
Marco GrüllLAM · #17
Felix NmechaRCM · #8
Ludovit ReisLM · #15
Johannes VeermanLCM · #25
Fábio SilvaLAM · #21
Maximilian BeierRAM · #14
Eren DinkçiRAM · #18
Gregor KobelGK · #1
Karl HeinGK · #1
ArthurRM · #13
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Christian Dingert will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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