v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Javier Alberola Rojas runs average on cards, and 2 of the 3 rows we would back are Real Sociedad's.
149 players across every market.
Jon MartínRCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Aïssa MandiCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -8pp
Manu SánchezLWB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 68% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Enzo BardeliRCM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -11pp
Jon GorrotxategiRDM · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Takefusa KuboRM · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Mamadou SarrLCB · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -13pp
Mikel OyarzabalST · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Jon Ander OlasagastiLCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Carlos SolerLDM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Iván RomeroRS · #9-18ppIván RomeroRS · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Víctor GarcíaCM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Luka SučićCAM · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -18pp
BarrenetxeaLM · #7-19ppBarrenetxeaLM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Jeremy ToljanRWB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Sergio GómezLB · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Thiago FernándezLS · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 43% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Héctor FortRB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 38% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -42pp
Mamadou SarrLCB · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Aïssa MandiCB · #2-10ppAïssa MandiCB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Jon GorrotxategiRDM · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -11pp
BarrenetxeaLM · #7-18ppBarrenetxeaLM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -18pp
Sergio GómezLB · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Jeremy ToljanRWB · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Jon MartínRCB · #6-22ppJon MartínRCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Mikel OyarzabalST · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -23pp
Enzo BardeliRCM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 32% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -24pp
Takefusa KuboRM · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 66% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -26pp
Luka SučićCAM · #24Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -26pp
Carlos SolerLDM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Manu SánchezLWB · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Iván RomeroRS · #9-29ppIván RomeroRS · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Thiago FernándezLS · #24Fouls drawn
DataPitch 39% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Víctor GarcíaCM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -32pp
Jon Ander OlasagastiLCM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Héctor FortRB · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 0% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -52pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -52pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -52pp
Takefusa KuboRM · #14Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Jon MartínRCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Mikel OyarzabalST · #10Tackles
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Iván RomeroRS · #9Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -9pp
Aïssa MandiCB · #2-15ppAïssa MandiCB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 27% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -15pp
Enzo BardeliRCM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 25% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -17pp
Luka SučićCAM · #24Tackles
DataPitch 27% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -18pp
BarrenetxeaLM · #7-22ppBarrenetxeaLM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -22pp
Mamadou SarrLCB · #19Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -24pp
Jon GorrotxategiRDM · #4Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -26pp
Carlos SolerLDM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 19% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -26pp
Jon Ander OlasagastiLCM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 50% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -27pp
Sergio GómezLB · #17Tackles
DataPitch 50% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -32pp
Héctor FortRB · #22Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -33pp
Thiago FernándezLS · #24Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -38pp
Víctor GarcíaCM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -44pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -44pp
Jeremy ToljanRWB · #22Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -50pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -50pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -50pp
Thiago FernándezLS · #24Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 89% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 89% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Mikel OyarzabalST · #10Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
BarrenetxeaLM · #7Shots
DataPitch 91% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 91% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 91% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Carlos SolerLDM · #18Shots
DataPitch 77% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 77% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 77% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Jeremy ToljanRWB · #22Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -2pp
Víctor GarcíaCM · #17Shots
DataPitch 71% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 71% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 71% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -7pp
Jon Ander OlasagastiLCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 63% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Luka SučićCAM · #24Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Iván RomeroRS · #9-10ppIván RomeroRS · #9Shots
DataPitch 80% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 80% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 80% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -10pp
Jon MartínRCB · #6-10ppJon MartínRCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 45% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -10pp
Enzo BardeliRCM · #18Shots
DataPitch 50% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -14pp
Takefusa KuboRM · #14Shots
DataPitch 69% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Sergio GómezLB · #17Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Manu SánchezLWB · #23Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Jon GorrotxategiRDM · #4Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -25pp
Héctor FortRB · #22Shots
DataPitch 39% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Mamadou SarrLCB · #19Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Aïssa MandiCB · #2-27ppAïssa MandiCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 9% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -27pp
Sergio GómezLB · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +3pp
Héctor FortRB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Aïssa MandiCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Jon MartínRCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Enzo BardeliRCM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 31% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Manu SánchezLWB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Jeremy ToljanRWB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Iván RomeroRS · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 49% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -9pp
Mamadou SarrLCB · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Thiago FernándezLS · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -11pp
Jon GorrotxategiRDM · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Carlos SolerLDM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Mikel OyarzabalST · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 61% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -21pp
Víctor GarcíaCM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -21pp
Takefusa KuboRM · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -22pp
BarrenetxeaLM · #7-23ppBarrenetxeaLM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -23pp
Luka SučićCAM · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -24pp
Jon Ander OlasagastiLCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
The books expect about 4 cards.
Iván RomeroRS · #9+13ppIván RomeroRS · #9To be booked
DataPitch 33% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +13pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +13pp
BarrenetxeaLM · #7+11ppBarrenetxeaLM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
not offered at this price
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +11pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +11pp
Mamadou SarrLCB · #19To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +9pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +9pp
Manu SánchezLWB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Enzo BardeliRCM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 11% at 9.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 11% at 9.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Jon MartínRCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +1pp
Mikel OyarzabalST · #10To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Jon GorrotxategiRDM · #4To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +0pp
Aïssa MandiCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Jon Ander OlasagastiLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Sergio GómezLB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Jeremy ToljanRWB · #22To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Luka SučićCAM · #24To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Takefusa KuboRM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Carlos SolerLDM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
not offered at this price
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Thiago FernándezLS · #24To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Álex RemiroGK · #1-13ppÁlex RemiroGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Mathew RyanGK · #13To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Víctor GarcíaCM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -15pp
DelaRCB · #4DelaRCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 33%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jeremy ToljanRWB · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (182cm over a 178cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Sergio GómezLB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
gives up height in the air (171cm against a 181cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Jon MartínRCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 181cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Aïssa MandiCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (184cm over a 178cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Jon GorrotxategiRDM · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 181cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Carlos SolerLDM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
level in the air (180cm against a 181cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Mikel OyarzabalST · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
level in the air (181cm against a 181cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Luka SučićCAM · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 181cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
BarrenetxeaLM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 181cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Takefusa KuboRM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 181cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Jon Ander OlasagastiLCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 178cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Thiago FernándezLS · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (175cm against a 178cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Víctor GarcíaCM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (180cm over a 178cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Iván RomeroRS · #9-13ppIván RomeroRS · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 178cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Álex RemiroGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mathew RyanGK · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
DelaRCB · #4DelaRCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Manu SánchezLWB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mikel OyarzabalST · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 50% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
shoots from range 1.0 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +23pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +23pp
Sergio GómezLB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Jon MartínRCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 11 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
BarrenetxeaLM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Aïssa MandiCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
no shots from outside the box in the 13 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 2% at 41.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 2% at 41.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Luka SučićCAM · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Jon GorrotxategiRDM · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Mamadou SarrLCB · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
no shots from outside the box in the 14 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Carlos SolerLDM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jeremy ToljanRWB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Iván RomeroRS · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Enzo BardeliRCM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Thiago FernándezLS · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -11pp
Jon Ander OlasagastiLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Víctor GarcíaCM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
no shots from outside the box in the 9 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -14pp
Héctor FortRB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
no shots from outside the box in the 9 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -18pp
Takefusa KuboRM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -19pp
DelaRCB · #4DelaRCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
IfeanyiIfeanyi NdukweLCB · #3IfeanyiIfeanyi NdukweLCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Álex RemiroGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Manu SánchezLWB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mathew RyanGK · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Javier Alberola Rojas will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 207 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.65/match · Away 1.93/match
3.87/match in tight games · 2.86/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.