v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Juan Martinez Munuera runs average on cards, and 3 of the 3 rows we would back are Real Madrid's.
155 players across every market.
RaphinhaST · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -6pp
8PedriLCM · #8-6ppPedriLCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -6pp
X. EspartLB · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 77% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 77% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 77% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Ibrahima KonatéRB · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
5Pau CubarsíRCB · #5-12ppPau CubarsíRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Lamine YamalRW · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Gerard MartínLCB · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Yan DiomandeLM · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Anthony GordonLW · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 32% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -20pp
2João CanceloRB · #2-21ppJoão CanceloRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
16RodriCM · #16-22ppRodriCM · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLDM · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Éder MilitãoRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -24pp
Marc CucurellaLB · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -26pp
15Arda GülerRM · #15-26ppArda GülerRM · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Éder MilitãoRCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 66% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap +6pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap +6pp
João CanceloRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -1pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLDM · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -1pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Gerard MartínLCB · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 77% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 77% · Market 94% at 1.06 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 77% · Market 94% at 1.06 Bet365, gap -17pp
8PedriLCM · #8-19ppPedriLCM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 69% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
5Pau CubarsíRCB · #5-19ppPau CubarsíRCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 29% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -19pp
16RodriCM · #16-22ppRodriCM · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
15Arda GülerRM · #15-24ppArda GülerRM · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -24pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Yan DiomandeLM · #25Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -26pp
Lamine YamalRW · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 89%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -26pp
12X. EspartLB · #12-28ppX. EspartLB · #12Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Anthony GordonLW · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -29pp
11RaphinhaST · #11-32ppRaphinhaST · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -32pp
Marc CucurellaLB · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 39% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Ibrahima KonatéRB · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -36pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 31% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -38pp
The books expect about 34.5 tackles.
Kylian MbappéST · #10Tackles
DataPitch 7% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 12% at 8.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Yan DiomandeLM · #25Tackles
DataPitch 54% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -6pp
Éder MilitãoRCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 53% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -7pp
11RaphinhaST · #11-10ppRaphinhaST · #11Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -10pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5Tackles
DataPitch 57% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -16pp
5Pau CubarsíRCB · #5-16ppPau CubarsíRCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -16pp
8PedriLCM · #8-19ppPedriLCM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 50% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -19pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -20pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -22pp
Anthony GordonLW · #17Tackles
DataPitch 21% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -23pp
Ibrahima KonatéRB · #16Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -26pp
16RodriCM · #16-27ppRodriCM · #16Tackles
DataPitch 48% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -27pp
2João CanceloRB · #2-28ppJoão CanceloRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 54% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -28pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLDM · #14Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -29pp
Lamine YamalRW · #10Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -29pp
15Arda GülerRM · #15-31ppArda GülerRM · #15Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -31pp
Marc CucurellaLB · #17Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -37pp
12X. EspartLB · #12-37ppX. EspartLB · #12Tackles
DataPitch 45% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -37pp
Gerard MartínLCB · #18Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -48pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -48pp
12X. EspartLB · #12+10ppX. EspartLB · #12Shots
DataPitch 77% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 77% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap +10pp
Now: DataPitch 77% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap +10pp
Yan DiomandeLM · #25Shots
DataPitch 88% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 88% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 88% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 100% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 100% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Ibrahima KonatéRB · #16Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Arda GülerRM · #15Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Lamine YamalRW · #10Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
RaphinhaST · #11Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Marc CucurellaLB · #17Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 36% at 2.75 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 36% at 2.75 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Anthony GordonLW · #17Shots
DataPitch 88% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 88% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 88% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Éder MilitãoRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 59% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -10pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLDM · #14Shots
DataPitch 54% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -15pp
5Pau CubarsíRCB · #5-16ppPau CubarsíRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 21% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5Shots
DataPitch 66% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
16RodriCM · #16-27ppRodriCM · #16Shots
DataPitch 42% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Gerard MartínLCB · #18Shots
DataPitch 9% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -31pp
8PedriLCM · #8-43ppPedriLCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -43pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -43pp
2João CanceloRB · #2-62ppJoão CanceloRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 12% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -62pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -62pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -62pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +8pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +8pp
X. EspartLB · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Marc CucurellaLB · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLDM · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ibrahima KonatéRB · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Gerard MartínLCB · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 83% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 83% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 83% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -10pp
16RodriCM · #16-10ppRodriCM · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 36% at 2.80 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
11RaphinhaST · #11-12ppRaphinhaST · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 78% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -12pp
8PedriLCM · #8-18ppPedriLCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
15Arda GülerRM · #15-20ppArda GülerRM · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -20pp
2João CanceloRB · #2-24ppJoão CanceloRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Anthony GordonLW · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 56% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -26pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Éder MilitãoRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -27pp
Yan DiomandeLM · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -29pp
Lamine YamalRW · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 60% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -32pp
The books expect about 6 cards.
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 43% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap +5pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap +5pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 35% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap +4pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Arda GülerRM · #15To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
RaphinhaST · #11To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -2pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
16RodriCM · #16-3ppRodriCM · #16To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Gerard MartínLCB · #18To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Lamine YamalRW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Yan DiomandeLM · #25To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Ibrahima KonatéRB · #16To be booked
DataPitch 34% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
João CanceloRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLDM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Éder MilitãoRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
X. EspartLB · #12To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 36% at 2.75 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 36% at 2.75 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Marc CucurellaLB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 38% at 2.60 Bet365, gap -11pp
8PedriLCM · #8-12ppPedriLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Anthony GordonLW · #17To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Thibaut CourtoisGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -31pp
7FermínRCM · #7FermínRCM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gerard MartínLCB · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
level in the air (186cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Ibrahima KonatéRB · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (194cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +7pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Anthony GordonLW · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
João CanceloRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
16RodriCM · #16-4ppRodriCM · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
8PedriLCM · #8-5ppPedriLCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (174cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Marc CucurellaLB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Éder MilitãoRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (186cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLDM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
11RaphinhaST · #11-11ppRaphinhaST · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 187cm back line); the book expects 6.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
15Arda GülerRM · #15-21ppArda GülerRM · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -21pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -22pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (186cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -26pp
Thibaut CourtoisGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Joan GarcíaGK · #1Joan GarcíaGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Pau CubarsíRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 4% at 26.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
X. EspartLB · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Ibrahima KonatéRB · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Gerard MartínLCB · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 12 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
8PedriLCM · #8-5ppPedriLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Éder MilitãoRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
no shots from outside the box in the 2 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 14 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Marc CucurellaLB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Yan DiomandeLM · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLDM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -14pp
Anthony GordonLW · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -17pp
16RodriCM · #16-17ppRodriCM · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -17pp
2João CanceloRB · #2-18ppJoão CanceloRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -18pp
Lamine YamalRW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 50% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
shoots from range 1.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -21pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
15Arda GülerRM · #15-22ppArda GülerRM · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
shoots from range 1.0 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -22pp
11RaphinhaST · #11-36ppRaphinhaST · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -36pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -36pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -41pp
7FermínRCM · #7FermínRCM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Joan GarcíaGK · #1Joan GarcíaGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thibaut CourtoisGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Juan Martinez Munuera will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 216 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.29/match · Away 2.53/match
3.94/match in tight games · 4.51/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
